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The Effect of Inflation Targeting on Financial Discipline

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 59 - 76, 26.04.2022
https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.1080116

Öz

Global düzeyde yaşanan ekonomik krizler ve Covid-19 pandemi sürecinin ortaya çıkardığı ekonomik sorunlar politikaların koordinasyonunu daha önemli hale getirmiştir. Enflasyon hedeflemesi rejimini seçen ülkelerde politikaların etkinliği koordinasyon sürecine daha çok bağımlıdır. Buna bağlı olarak çalışmada 20 ülke için 2006-2021 yılları arasındaki enflasyon hedefinden sapma oranları ve birincil bütçe açıkları kullanılarak statik panel veri analizi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmada enflasyon hedefinden sapmanın birincil bütçe açığını arttırıcı etkisi tespit edilmiştir.

Kaynakça

  • Aktaş, Z., Kaya, N. and Özlale, Ü. (2010). Coordination Between Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy for an Inflation Targeting Emerging Market. Journal of International Money and Finance, 29, 123-138.
  • Arellano, M. ve Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations, Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277-297.
  • Azad, N. F., Serletis, A. ve Xu, L. (2021). Covid-19 and monetary–fiscal policy interactions in Canada. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance ; 81:376-384
  • Baltagi, B.H, (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. 3rd Edition, New York: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
  • Bernanke, B.S. and Mishkin, F.S. (1997). Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11, 97-116.
  • Blinder, A. (1982). Issues in the Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy, Nber Working Paper Series, No. 982.
  • Bullard, James B. (2020). Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Crisis,The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 28(4).
  • Canzoneri, M. B. and J. A. Gray (1985). Monetary Policy Games and the Consequences of Noncooperative Behavior. International Economic Review, 26(3), 547-564.
  • Chadha, J. S.,Corrado, L., Meaning, J. ve Schuler, T. (2021). Monetary and Fiscal Complementarity in the COVID-19 Pandemic., Covid Economics, 81,76-117.
  • Combes, J.L. , Debrun, X. and Minea, A. (2014). Inflation Targeting and Fisca Rules: Do Interactions and Sequencing Matter? IMF Working Paper, WP/14/89.
  • de Carvalho Filho, I. (2010). Inflation Targeting And The Crisis: An Empirical Assessment. Working Paper, No.10/45, IMF,1-22.
  • Dennis, Richard (2010). The Inflation in Inflation Targeting. FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010-17, June 7, .http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2010/el2010-17.html. 14.012.2021
  • Diaz-Bonilla, E. (2020). Fiscal and monetary responses to the COVID-19 pandemic: Some thoughts for developing countries and the international community. In COVID-19 and global food security, (Eds). Johan Swinnen and John McDermott. Part Seven: Policy responses, Chapter 22, 98-101. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  • Dietsch, P. (2021). Designing the Fiscal-Monetary Nexus: Policy Options for The EU. Review of Social Economy.
  • Eggertsson, G. B. (2010). Fiscal Multipliers and Policy Coordination. Federal Reserv Bank of New York, <http://www.ny.frb.org/research/economists/eggertsson/preliminary>, 05.09.2021.
  • Englama, A., Tarawalie, A. veAhortor, C. (2013). Fiscal and monetary coordination in the WAMZ: Implications for member states’ performance on the convergence criteria. Fourth Annual Conference for Regional Integration in Africa, 4-6 July 2013, Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire.
  • Ferre, M. (2008). Fiscal Policy Coordination in the EMU. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30, 221-235.
  • Green, H. W., (1997). Econometric Analysis, Third Edition, USA, PrenticeHall.
  • Halaç, U. (2007). Türkiye'de Para ve Maliye Politikalarının Koordinasyonu. İktisat, İşletme ve Finans, No:254, 31-47.
  • Hamada, K. (1976). A Strategic Analysis of Monetary Interdependence. Journal of Political Economy, 84(4), 677-700.
  • Hanif M. N ve Arby, M. F. (2003). Monetary and Fiscal Policy Coordination. Munich Personal Repec Archive, No: 10307, <http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/10307>, 14.06.2021.
  • Hsio, C., (2003). Analyses of Panel Data, Cambridge University Press.
  • Kadria, M. and Aissa, M. (2014). Implementation Of Inflation Targeting And Budget Deficit Performance In Emerging Countries: A Treatment Effect Evaluation. The Journal of Applied Business Research – July/August 2014, 30(4), 1077-1089.
  • Laurens, B ve Piedra, E. G. (1998). Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies. A Working Paper of International Monetary Fund, IMF
  • Lucotte, Y. (2012). Adoption of Inflation Targeting and Taz Revenue Performance in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Investigation. Economic Systems, 36, 609-628.
  • Matei, A ve Dogaru, T. (2013). Coordination of Public Policies in Romania, an Emprical Analysis. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 81, 65-71.
  • Miles, W. (2015). Do Inflation Targeting Handcuffs Restrain Leviathan? Hard Pegs vs. Inflation Targets for Fisal Discipline in emerging Markets. Applied Economics Letters, 14(9), 647-651.
  • Minea, A. and Tapsoba, R. (2014). Does Inflation Targeting Improve Fiscal Discipline?. Journal of International Money and Finance, 40, 185-203.
  • Mishkin, S. ve Schimidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does inflation targeting make a difference?. Working Paper No.12876, NBER.
  • Nordhaus, W. D. (1994). Policy Games: Co-ordination and Independence in Monetary and Fiscal Policeis. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 139-216.
  • Roodman, D. M. (2009b). How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata, The Stata Journal, 9(1), 86-136.
  • Sherwin, M. (2000). Institutional Frameworks for Inflation Targeting. Reserve Bank Of New Zealand: Bulletin, 63 (4), 28-34.
  • Şahin, Ö. U. (2014). Türkiye'de Enflasyon Hedeflemesinin Kamu Cari (Tüketim) Harcamalarına ve Çıktı Açığına Etkisi. Journal of Life Economics, 2/2014, 115-124.
  • Tapsoba, R. (2010). Does Inflation Targeting Improve Fiscal Discipline? An Empirical Investigation. CERDI, Etudes et Documents.
  • Zaroomi, H. K., Samimi, A.J. ve Potanlar, S.K. (2020). The Effect of Inflation Targeting on Indirect Tax Performance in Selected Countries Using Propensity Score Matching Model. International Journal of Business and Development Studies, 12(1), 5-19.

The Effect of Inflation Targeting on Financial Discipline

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 59 - 76, 26.04.2022
https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.1080116

Öz

ÖZ
Global düzeyde yaşanan ekonomik krizler ve Covid-19 pandemi sürecinin ortaya çıkardığı ekonomik sorunlar politikaların koordinasyonunu daha önemli hale getirmiştir. Enflasyon hedeflemesi rejimini seçen ülkelerde politikaların etkinliği koordinasyon sürecine daha çok bağımlıdır. Buna bağlı olarak çalışmada 20 ülke için 2006-2021 yılları arasındaki enflasyon hedefinden sapma oranları ve birincil bütçe açıkları kullanılarak statik panel veri analizi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmada enflasyon hedefinden sapmanın birincil bütçe açığını arttırıcı etkisi tespit edilmiştir.

Kaynakça

  • Aktaş, Z., Kaya, N. and Özlale, Ü. (2010). Coordination Between Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy for an Inflation Targeting Emerging Market. Journal of International Money and Finance, 29, 123-138.
  • Arellano, M. ve Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations, Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277-297.
  • Azad, N. F., Serletis, A. ve Xu, L. (2021). Covid-19 and monetary–fiscal policy interactions in Canada. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance ; 81:376-384
  • Baltagi, B.H, (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. 3rd Edition, New York: John Wiley & Sons Inc.
  • Bernanke, B.S. and Mishkin, F.S. (1997). Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11, 97-116.
  • Blinder, A. (1982). Issues in the Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy, Nber Working Paper Series, No. 982.
  • Bullard, James B. (2020). Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy Responses to the COVID-19 Crisis,The Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 28(4).
  • Canzoneri, M. B. and J. A. Gray (1985). Monetary Policy Games and the Consequences of Noncooperative Behavior. International Economic Review, 26(3), 547-564.
  • Chadha, J. S.,Corrado, L., Meaning, J. ve Schuler, T. (2021). Monetary and Fiscal Complementarity in the COVID-19 Pandemic., Covid Economics, 81,76-117.
  • Combes, J.L. , Debrun, X. and Minea, A. (2014). Inflation Targeting and Fisca Rules: Do Interactions and Sequencing Matter? IMF Working Paper, WP/14/89.
  • de Carvalho Filho, I. (2010). Inflation Targeting And The Crisis: An Empirical Assessment. Working Paper, No.10/45, IMF,1-22.
  • Dennis, Richard (2010). The Inflation in Inflation Targeting. FRBSF Economic Letter, 2010-17, June 7, .http://www.frbsf.org/publications/economics/letter/2010/el2010-17.html. 14.012.2021
  • Diaz-Bonilla, E. (2020). Fiscal and monetary responses to the COVID-19 pandemic: Some thoughts for developing countries and the international community. In COVID-19 and global food security, (Eds). Johan Swinnen and John McDermott. Part Seven: Policy responses, Chapter 22, 98-101. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  • Dietsch, P. (2021). Designing the Fiscal-Monetary Nexus: Policy Options for The EU. Review of Social Economy.
  • Eggertsson, G. B. (2010). Fiscal Multipliers and Policy Coordination. Federal Reserv Bank of New York, <http://www.ny.frb.org/research/economists/eggertsson/preliminary>, 05.09.2021.
  • Englama, A., Tarawalie, A. veAhortor, C. (2013). Fiscal and monetary coordination in the WAMZ: Implications for member states’ performance on the convergence criteria. Fourth Annual Conference for Regional Integration in Africa, 4-6 July 2013, Abidjan, Cote d’Ivoire.
  • Ferre, M. (2008). Fiscal Policy Coordination in the EMU. Journal of Policy Modeling, 30, 221-235.
  • Green, H. W., (1997). Econometric Analysis, Third Edition, USA, PrenticeHall.
  • Halaç, U. (2007). Türkiye'de Para ve Maliye Politikalarının Koordinasyonu. İktisat, İşletme ve Finans, No:254, 31-47.
  • Hamada, K. (1976). A Strategic Analysis of Monetary Interdependence. Journal of Political Economy, 84(4), 677-700.
  • Hanif M. N ve Arby, M. F. (2003). Monetary and Fiscal Policy Coordination. Munich Personal Repec Archive, No: 10307, <http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/10307>, 14.06.2021.
  • Hsio, C., (2003). Analyses of Panel Data, Cambridge University Press.
  • Kadria, M. and Aissa, M. (2014). Implementation Of Inflation Targeting And Budget Deficit Performance In Emerging Countries: A Treatment Effect Evaluation. The Journal of Applied Business Research – July/August 2014, 30(4), 1077-1089.
  • Laurens, B ve Piedra, E. G. (1998). Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies. A Working Paper of International Monetary Fund, IMF
  • Lucotte, Y. (2012). Adoption of Inflation Targeting and Taz Revenue Performance in Emerging Market Economies: An Empirical Investigation. Economic Systems, 36, 609-628.
  • Matei, A ve Dogaru, T. (2013). Coordination of Public Policies in Romania, an Emprical Analysis. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 81, 65-71.
  • Miles, W. (2015). Do Inflation Targeting Handcuffs Restrain Leviathan? Hard Pegs vs. Inflation Targets for Fisal Discipline in emerging Markets. Applied Economics Letters, 14(9), 647-651.
  • Minea, A. and Tapsoba, R. (2014). Does Inflation Targeting Improve Fiscal Discipline?. Journal of International Money and Finance, 40, 185-203.
  • Mishkin, S. ve Schimidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does inflation targeting make a difference?. Working Paper No.12876, NBER.
  • Nordhaus, W. D. (1994). Policy Games: Co-ordination and Independence in Monetary and Fiscal Policeis. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2, 139-216.
  • Roodman, D. M. (2009b). How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata, The Stata Journal, 9(1), 86-136.
  • Sherwin, M. (2000). Institutional Frameworks for Inflation Targeting. Reserve Bank Of New Zealand: Bulletin, 63 (4), 28-34.
  • Şahin, Ö. U. (2014). Türkiye'de Enflasyon Hedeflemesinin Kamu Cari (Tüketim) Harcamalarına ve Çıktı Açığına Etkisi. Journal of Life Economics, 2/2014, 115-124.
  • Tapsoba, R. (2010). Does Inflation Targeting Improve Fiscal Discipline? An Empirical Investigation. CERDI, Etudes et Documents.
  • Zaroomi, H. K., Samimi, A.J. ve Potanlar, S.K. (2020). The Effect of Inflation Targeting on Indirect Tax Performance in Selected Countries Using Propensity Score Matching Model. International Journal of Business and Development Studies, 12(1), 5-19.
Toplam 35 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Research Articles
Yazarlar

Hilmi Çoban 0000-0001-6351-6547

Eda Yeşil 0000-0002-2525-6745

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 26 Nisan 2022
Yayımlanma Tarihi 26 Nisan 2022
Kabul Tarihi 12 Mart 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Çoban, H., & Yeşil, E. (2022). The Effect of Inflation Targeting on Financial Discipline. BİLTÜRK Ekonomi Ve İlişkili Çalışmalar Dergisi, 4(2), 59-76. https://doi.org/10.47103/bilturk.1080116

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