TÜRKİYE’DE DOĞRUDAN YABANCI YATIRIMLAR VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİLERİN NEDENSELLİK ANALİZLERİ İLE TESTİ

Year 2017, Issue: 49, 135 - 154, 28.06.2017

Şükran Kahveci , Harun Terzi

https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.323908

Cited By: 13

Abstract

Bu
çalışmada, DYY ile ekonomik büyüme, istihdam ve sermaye birikimi arasında
nedensellik ilişkileri 1984-2015 dönemi Türkiye ekonomisi için Sims ve DL-VAR
nedensellik yöntemleri ile incelenmiştir. Çalışma ile birlikte DYY girişlerinin
Türkiye ekonomisi üzerine etkisinin belirlenmesi amaçlanmıştır.  Analiz sonuçları, ekonomik büyüme ve sermaye
birikiminden, DYY’ye doğru pozitif ve tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin
olduğunu, ancak DYY ile istihdam arasında herhangi bir nedensellik ilişkisinin
olmadığını göstermektedir. Aynı zamanda genelleştirilmiş etki-tepki ve varyans
ayrıştırma analizleri de Sims ve DL-VAR nedensellik yöntemleri sonuçlarını
desteklemektedir. Sonuç olarak Türkiye ekonomisinde yaşanan büyüme, ülkeye
gelen doğrudan yabancı yatırımları olumlu yönde etkilemektedir.

Keywords

DYY, Ekonomik Büyüme, Sermaye Birikimi, Nedensellik Testi, Türkiye

CAUSALITY ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TURKEY

Abstract

In
this study, the relations between FDI and economic growth, employment and
capital formation have been analyzed for the period of 1984-2015 by using the
Sims and DL-VAR causality methods for the Turkish economy. It is aimed to
determine the effect of FDI inflows on the Turkish economy with the study.The
results of the analysis indicate that there is a positive one-way causality
relationship running from the economic growth and capital formation to FDI, but
there is no any causality relationship between FDI and employment.
Additionally, the findings of generalized impulse-response functions and
variance decomposition analyses also support the results of the Sims and DL-VAR
causality tests results. As a result, growth in Turkish economy has a positive
impact on foreign direct investments inflows.

Keywords

FDI, Economic Growth, Capital Formation, Causality Test, Turkey

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