The Factors Affecting Household Electricity Demand: An Application on Turkey

Year 2018, Issue: 52, 71 - 92, 28.12.2018

Gürkan Çalmaşur , Kadir İnan

https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.435627

Cited By: 3

Abstract

In the 19th century electrical energy available to mankind, it is presented to the public in Turkey in the early 20th century. The fact that it is clean and easy to use and that it can be produced from both fossil and renewable sources makes electricity energy superior to other energy forms. In this study, the factors affecting the electricity consumption of households in Turkey are examined what direction these factors affect electricity consumption. In the study, Partial Proportional Odds Model (PPOM) which is a special type of sequential logit model was used and also marginal effects after estimation were calculated. The study found that monthly income, the number of people living in the household, the housing characteristics, and the technological equipment of the household are significant influences on electricity consumption.

Keywords

Household, Partial Proportional Odds Model, Electricity Demand

Hanehalkı Elektrik Talebini Etkileyen Faktörler: Türkiye Üzerine Bir Uygulama

Abstract

19. yy’da insanlığın kullanımına sunulan elektrik enerjisi 20. yy’ın başlarında Türkiye’de halkın hizmetine sunulmuştur. Temiz ve kolay bir kullanımının olması, hem fosil hemde yenilenebilir kaynaklardan üretilebilmesi elektrik enerjisini diğer enerji formlarından üstün kılmaktadır. Çalışmada Türkiye için hanehalkı elektrik tüketimini etkileyen faktörlerin neler olduğu ve bu faktörlerin elektrik tüketimini ne yönde etkilediği araştırılmıştır. Çalışmada sıralı logit modelin özel bir türü olan Kısmi Oransal Bahis Modeli (PPOM) kullanılmış ve ayrıca tahmin sonrası marjinal etkiler hesaplanmıştır. Çalışma sonucunda aylık gelir, hanede yaşayan kişi sayısı, konut özellikleri ve hanedeki teknolojik aletlerin elektrik tüketimi üzerinde önemli etkileri olduğu tespit edilmiştir.

Keywords

Hanehalkı, Elektrik Talebi, Kısmi Oransal Bahis Modeli

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