Ticari Açıklık ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: 11 Avrasya Ülkesi İçin Panel Veri Analizi

Year 2022, Volume: 3 Issue: 2, 295 - 311, 30.10.2022

İbrahim Halil Sugözü , Sayed Abdullah Omer

https://doi.org/10.53662/esamdergisi.1172401

Abstract

Bu çalışma, 1995-2020 dönemi için 11 Avrasya ülkesinde ticari dışa açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin etkisini analiz etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda, ticari dışa açıklık ile büyüme arasındaki ilişkiler, panel veri analizleri kullanılarak araştırılmıştır. Yatay kesit bağımlılığının varlığı dolayısıyla değişkenlere ikinci nesil birim kök testlerinden CADF testi uygulanmıştır. Otokorelasyon ve değişen varyans sonuçlarıyla uyumlu olarak Driscoll-Kraay regresyon testi yapılmış, test neticesinde, ticari açıklık ile ekonomik büyüme arasında negatif ilişki bulunmuştur. Ayrıca kontrol değişkeni olarak modele dahil edilen gayrisafi sabit sermaye oluşumu ile büyüme arasında pozitif yönlü ilişki olduğu görülmüştür. Böylece 11 Avrasya ülkesi üzerinde yapılan bu çalışma, özellikle gelişmekte olan ülkelerde ticari açıklık ile büyüme arasında negatif ilişki bulunduğunu açıklayan teorileri desteklemektedir.

Keywords

Ticari açıklık, ekonomik büyüme, Avrasya ülkeleri

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