Konutların Günlük Elektrik Güç Tüketimi Tahmini İçin Uygun Model Seçimi

Year 2018, Volume: 30 Issue: 3, 15 - 21, 20.09.2018

Aykut Çayır İşıl Yenidoğan Hasan Dağ

Abstract

Zamana bağlı değişim gösteren olayların modellenmesi zorlu
bir veri analizi problemidir. Bu olaylardan biri olan elektrik güç tüketiminde
ise veriden mevsimsel etki ve tatil günleri gibi örüntülerin öğrenilerek bir
tüketim tahmin modelinin geliştirilebilmesi için klasik makine öğrenmesi ve
derin öğrenme yöntemlerinden yararlanılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, İngiltere’nin
Londra şehrindeki belirli bir bölgede 30 farklı eve ait yaklaşık 3 yıllık elektrik
güç tüketimi veri kümesi kullanılarak uygun bir kısa vadeli tüketim tahmin
modelinin makine öğrenmesi algoritmaları ile bulunması amaçlanmıştır.

Keywords

Zaman serisi, makine öğrenmesi, derin öğrenme, konut bazlı elektrik enerjisi tüketim tahmini

References

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