An assessment of livestock breeding and livestock production in turkey

Year 2019, Volume: 3 Issue: 2, 270 - 278, 23.12.2019

Figen Ceylan , Metin Göksel Akpınar , Çağrı Bayraktar Duygu Bayraktar Esra Mülazımoğulları

Abstract

Human nutrition should be composed of a balanced daily intake of glutens,
vitamins and proteins. In contrast to gluten and vitamins, proteins can be
retrieved only from animal based products. Accordingly, bovine breeding and
poultry are important to secure protein requirements of societies. With
changing climatic conditions and declining interest to maintain livestock
breeding, the supply has been in declination recently which corresponded to
rising consumer prices in Turkey. Within this study, it was aimed to measure
the impact of prices of animals per head and changing milked or slaughtered
animal stocks on the supply of main outputs of animal breeding, milk and meat. The
findings of supply response analyses of meat and milk supplies for the years
between 2001 and 2017 indicated that price mostly affects supply in the long
term as the breeder can change the aim of keeping animals. Yet, short term
impact is also visible, despite being lower. However, the analyses showed us
that most of the fluctuation in supplies is related with non-price factors. Analysis
interrelated with sector supports and international trade is essential for
proper inferences specifically for milk supplies. This is related with the
input characteristics of milk for the food industry. 

Keywords

livestock breeding, milk, meat, producer, supply response, Nerlove

Thanks

Paper presented in the 2nd International Conference on "Agriculture, Forestry & Life Sciences", 18-20 April, 2019 in Prague, Czech Republic.

References

• Anonymous, 2019a. FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization), http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data, retrieved on 10.07.2019.
• Anonymous, 2019b. Milk Report 2018, Chamber of Agricultural Engineers, http://www.zmo.org.tr/genel/bizden_detay.php?kod=31590&tipi=17&sube=0, retrieved on 10.07.2019.
• Anonymous, 2019c. TUIK (Turkish Statistical Institute), https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/disticaretapp/disticaret.zul?param1=21&param2=0&sitcrev=0&isicrev=0&sayac=5802, retrieved on 10.07.2019.
• Askan, E., Dagdemir, V. (2016). TRA1 Düzey 2 Bölgesinde Destek ve Teşvik Alan Süt Sığırcılığı İşletmelerinde Süt Üretim Maliyeti ve Karlılık Durumu (Milk Production Cost and Profitability in Dairy Cattle Farms Supported and Encouraged in TRA1 Level 2 Region). Tarım Ekonomisi Araştırmaları Dergisi, 2(1), 1-12 (Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 2 (1): 1-12). retrieved from http://dergipark.org.tr/tead/issue/22253/238850.
• Banerjee, A., Dolado, J.J., Mestre, R. (1998). Error-Correction Mechanism tests for cointegration in a single equation framework. Journal of Time Series Analysis 19(3), 267-283.
• Ceylan, R.F., Ilbasmis, E., Ozkan. B., (2018). Is price significant in planning for sugar beet production? An example from Turkey. Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences, 31(2), 117-122. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.29136/mediterranean.396526.
• Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A. (1981). Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49(4), 1057-1072.
• Engle, R.F., Granger, C.W.J. (1987). Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276.
• Granger, C.W.J. (1981). Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification. Journal of Econometrics, 16(1), 121-130.
• Griffiths, W.E., Hill, R.C., Lim, G.C. (2008). Using EViews for Principles of Econometrics. Wiley Int. 5th ed. pp.878.
• Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of cointegrating vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254.
• Karagoz, H. (2009). Türkiye’de ve Konya’da hayvancılık sektörü, sektörün sorunları ve çözüm önerileri. (Animal Breeding Sector in Turkey and Konya, Problems of the Sector and Solution Recommendations) Konya Ticaret Odası, Etüd Araştırma Servisi, Konya.
• Kiymaz, T. Sacli, Y. (2008). Tarım ve Gıda Ürünleri Fiyatlarında Yaşanan Sorunlar ve Öneriler (Problems and Solution Recommendations in Prices of Food and Agricultural Products). Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı Yayın ve Temsil Dairesi Başkanlığı Basım Şube Müdürlüğü Yayınları. Ankara, 5.
• Levin, A., Lin, C.-F., Chu, C.-S.J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics 108(1), 1–24
• Mohammad, S., Javed, M.S., Bashir, A., Mushtaq, K. (2007). Price and non-price factors affecting acreage response of wheat in different agro-ecological zones in Punjab: A co-integration analysis Park J. Agri Science 44(2), 370-377.
• Nerlove, M. (1958). The Dynamic of Supply: Estimation of Farmers Response to Prices. The Johns Hopkins University press, 41(2), 452-455.
• Ozkan, B., Ceylan, F., Kızılay, H. (2011). Supply response for wheat in Turkey: A vector error correction approach. Mediterranean Journal of Economics: Agriculture and Environment, 10(3), 34-38.
• Saygin, O., Demirbas, N., (2017). Türkiye’de Kırmızı Et Sektörünün Mevcut Durumu ve Çözüm Önerileri. (The Current Situation of Red Meat Sector in Turkey and Solution Recommendations) Hayvansal Uretim, Cilt: 58(1), 74-80.
• Semerci, A., Celik, A. (2016). Türkiye’de Küçükbaş Hayvan Yetiştiriciliğinin Genel Durumu (General Situation of Small Ruminant Breeding in Turkey). Mustafa Kemal Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi, 21(2), 182-196 (Mustafa Kemal University Journal of Agriculture, 21 (2), 182-196).
• Simsek, E., (2018). Türkiye ve AB Ülkelerinde Kırmızı Et Üretiminde İşgücü Verimliliğinin Karşılaştırılması (Comparison of Labor Productivity in Red Meat Production in Turkey And EU Countries). Tarım Ekonomisi Dergisi, 24(1), 85-97 (Turkish Journal of Agricultural Economics, 24 (1) ,85-97).
• Tripathi, A., Prasad, A.R. (2009). Estimation of agricultural supply response by cointegration approach. The Indian Economic Journal, 57(1), 106-131. Retrieved from https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/0019466220090106.
• Turan, Z., Sanver, D. Ozturk, K. (2017). The Importance of Dairy Cattle Breeding in the Livestock Sector in Turkey, Contribution to Domestic Output and Comparison wıth Foreign Countries. Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi Yıl: Temmuz 2017 Cilt-Sayı: 10(3) ss: 60-74. DOI: 10.25287/ohuiibf.309212.