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A comparative study of ensemble methods in the field of education: Bagging and Boosting algorithms

Year 2023, Volume: 10 Issue: 3, 544 - 562, 22.09.2023
https://doi.org/10.21449/ijate.1167705

Abstract

This study aims to conduct a comparative study of Bagging and Boosting algorithms among ensemble methods and to compare the classification performance of TreeNet and Random Forest methods using these algorithms on the data extracted from ABİDE application in education. The main factor in choosing them for analyses is that they are Ensemble methods combining decision trees via Bagging and Boosting algorithms and creating a single outcome by combining the outputs obtained from each of them. The data set consists of mathematics scores of ABİDE (Academic Skills Monitoring and Evaluation) 2016 implementation and various demographic variables regarding students. The study group involves 5000 students randomly recruited. On the deletion of loss data and assignment procedures, this number decreased to 4568. The analyses showed that the TreeNet method performed more successfully in terms of classification accuracy, sensitivity, F1-score and AUC value based on sample size, and the Random Forest method on specificity and accuracy. It can be alleged that the TreeNet method is more successful in all numerical estimation error rates for each sample size by producing lower values compared to the Random Forest method. When comparing both analysis methods based on ABİDE data, considering all the conditions, including sample size, cross validity and performance criteria following the analyses, TreeNet can be said to exhibit higher classification performance than Random Forest. Unlike a single classifier or predictive method, the classification or prediction of multiple methods by using Boosting and Bagging algorithms is considered important for the results obtained in education.

References

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  • Abidi, S.M.R., Zhang, W., Haidery, S.A., Rizvi, S.S., Riaz, R., Ding, H., & Kwon, S.J. (2020). Educational sustainability through big data assimilation to quantify academic procrastination using ensemble classifiers. Sustainability, 12(15), 6074. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12156074
  • Aggarwal, D., Mittal, S., & Bali, V. (2021). Significance of non-academic parameters for predicting student performance using ensemble learning techniques. International Journal of System Dynamics Applications, 10(3), 38 49. https://doi.org/10.4018/IJSDA.2021070103
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  • Amrieh, E.A., Hamtini, T., & Aljarah, I. (2016). Mining educational data to predict student’s academic performance using ensemble methods. International Journal of Database Theory and Application, 9(8), 119-136. http://dx.doi.org/10.14257/ijdta.2016.9.8.13
  • Ashraf, M., Zaman, M., & Ahmed, M. (2020). An intelligent prediction system for educational data mining based on ensemble and filtering approaches. Procedia Computer Science, 167, 1471-1483. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2020.03.358
  • Ashraf, M., Salal, Y.K., & Abdullaev, S.M. (2021). Educational Data Mining Using Base (Individual) and Ensemble Learning Approaches to Predict the Performance of Students. In Data Science. Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-1681-5_2
  • Arun, D.K., Namratha, V., Ramyashree, B.V., Jain, Y.P., & Choudhury, A.R. (2021, 27-29, January). Student academic performance prediction using educational data mining [Conference presentation]. In 2021 International Conference on Computer Communication and Informatics (ICCCI), Coimbatore, India. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICCCI50826.2021.9457021
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  • Baskin, I.I., Marcou, G., Horvath, D., & Varnek, A. (2017b). Bagging and boosting of regression models. Tutorials in Chemoinformatics, 249-255. John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119161110.ch16
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A comparative study of ensemble methods in the field of education: Bagging and Boosting algorithms

Year 2023, Volume: 10 Issue: 3, 544 - 562, 22.09.2023
https://doi.org/10.21449/ijate.1167705

Abstract

This study aims to conduct a comparative study of Bagging and Boosting algorithms among ensemble methods and to compare the classification performance of TreeNet and Random Forest methods using these algorithms on the data extracted from ABİDE application in education. The main factor in choosing them for analyses is that they are Ensemble methods combining decision trees via Bagging and Boosting algorithms and creating a single outcome by combining the outputs obtained from each of them. The data set consists of mathematics scores of ABİDE (Academic Skills Monitoring and Evaluation) 2016 implementation and various demographic variables regarding students. The study group involves 5000 students randomly recruited. On the deletion of loss data and assignment procedures, this number decreased to 4568. The analyses showed that the TreeNet method performed more successfully in terms of classification accuracy, sensitivity, F1-score and AUC value based on sample size, and the Random Forest method on specificity and accuracy. It can be alleged that the TreeNet method is more successful in all numerical estimation error rates for each sample size by producing lower values compared to the Random Forest method. When comparing both analysis methods based on ABİDE data, considering all the conditions, including sample size, cross validity and performance criteria following the analyses, TreeNet can be said to exhibit higher classification performance than Random Forest. Unlike a single classifier or predictive method, the classification or prediction of multiple methods by using Boosting and Bagging algorithms is considered important for the results obtained in education.

References

  • Abdar, M., Zomorodi-Moghadam, M., & Zhou, X. (2018, 12-14, November). An ensemble-based decision tree approach for educational data mining [Conference presentation]. In 2018 5th International Conference on Behavioral, Economic, and Socio-Cultural Computing (BESC), Kaohsiung, Taiwan. https://doi.org/10.1109/BESC.2018.8697318
  • Abeel, T., Helleputte, T., Van de Peer, Y., Dupont, P., & Saeys, Y. (2010). Robust biomarker identification for cancer diagnosis with ensemble feature selection methods. Bioinformatics, 26(3). 392-398. https://doi.org/10.1093/bioinformatics/btp630
  • Abidi, S.M.R., Zhang, W., Haidery, S.A., Rizvi, S.S., Riaz, R., Ding, H., & Kwon, S.J. (2020). Educational sustainability through big data assimilation to quantify academic procrastination using ensemble classifiers. Sustainability, 12(15), 6074. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12156074
  • Aggarwal, D., Mittal, S., & Bali, V. (2021). Significance of non-academic parameters for predicting student performance using ensemble learning techniques. International Journal of System Dynamics Applications, 10(3), 38 49. https://doi.org/10.4018/IJSDA.2021070103
  • Akman, M. (2010). An overview of data mining techniques and analysis of Random Forests method: An application on medical field [Unpublished master’s thesis]. Ankara University.
  • Almasri, A., Celebi, E., & Alkhawaldeh, R.S. (2019). EMT: Ensemble meta-based tree model for predicting student performance. Hindawi, 1 13. https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/3610248
  • Amrieh, E.A., Hamtini, T., & Aljarah, I. (2016). Mining educational data to predict student’s academic performance using ensemble methods. International Journal of Database Theory and Application, 9(8), 119-136. http://dx.doi.org/10.14257/ijdta.2016.9.8.13
  • Ashraf, M., Zaman, M., & Ahmed, M. (2020). An intelligent prediction system for educational data mining based on ensemble and filtering approaches. Procedia Computer Science, 167, 1471-1483. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2020.03.358
  • Ashraf, M., Salal, Y.K., & Abdullaev, S.M. (2021). Educational Data Mining Using Base (Individual) and Ensemble Learning Approaches to Predict the Performance of Students. In Data Science. Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-1681-5_2
  • Arun, D.K., Namratha, V., Ramyashree, B.V., Jain, Y.P., & Choudhury, A.R. (2021, 27-29, January). Student academic performance prediction using educational data mining [Conference presentation]. In 2021 International Conference on Computer Communication and Informatics (ICCCI), Coimbatore, India. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICCCI50826.2021.9457021
  • Baskin, I.I., Marcou, G., Horvath, D., & Varnek, A. (2017a). Bagging and boosting of classification models. Tutorials in Chemoinformatics, 241 247. John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119161110.ch15
  • Baskin, I.I., Marcou, G., Horvath, D., & Varnek, A. (2017b). Bagging and boosting of regression models. Tutorials in Chemoinformatics, 249-255. John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119161110.ch16
  • Bauer, E., & Kohavi, R. (1999). An empirical comparison of voting classification algorithms: Bagging. Boosting and variants. Machine Learning. 36(1), 105 139. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1007515423169
  • Biau, G. (2012). Analysis of a Random Forest. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 13(2012), 1063-1095. https://www.jmlr.org/papers/volume13/biau12a/biau12a.pdf
  • Biau, G., & Scornet, E., (2016). A random forest guided tour. An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, 25(2), 197 227. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11749-016-0481-7
  • Breiman, L. (1996). Bagging predictors. Machine Learning 24(2), 123 140. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00058655
  • Breiman, L. (2001). Random forests. Machine Learning, 45(1), 5 32. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010933404324
  • Chen, T., & Guestrin, C. (2016, 13, August). Xgboost: A scalable tree boosting system [Conference presentation]. In Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD international conference on knowledge discovery and data mining, San Francisco, CA, USA. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939785
  • Clarke, B., Fokoue, E., & Zhang, H.H. (2009). Principles and theory for data mining and machine learning. Springer Science & Business Media. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-98135-2
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There are 89 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Other Fields of Education, Studies on Education
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Hikmet Şevgin 0000-0002-9727-5865

Early Pub Date September 22, 2023
Publication Date September 22, 2023
Submission Date August 27, 2022
Published in Issue Year 2023 Volume: 10 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Şevgin, H. (2023). A comparative study of ensemble methods in the field of education: Bagging and Boosting algorithms. International Journal of Assessment Tools in Education, 10(3), 544-562. https://doi.org/10.21449/ijate.1167705

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