Research Article
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Year 2024, , 4 - 10, 30.06.2024
https://doi.org/10.61192/indpol.1491629

Abstract

References

  • Aiginger, K. & Ketels, C. (2024). Industrial Policy Reloaded. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(7).
  • Cali, M., Ghose, D., Montfaucon, A. F. L., & Ruta, M. (2022). Trade policy and exporters’ resilience: Evidence from Indonesia. Policy Research Working Paper Series, 10068.
  • Criscuolo, C., & Lalanne, G. (2024). A new approach for better industrial strategies. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(1), 1-26.
  • Deloitte (2023). Industrial Policies for Net Zero: short- and long-term energy scenarios for Europe.
  • De Sousa, J., Disdier, A. C., & Gaigné, C. (2020). Export decision under risk. European Economic Review, 121, 103342.
  • Economist (2023). Growth amid uncertainty: insights for international export success. https://impact.economist.com/perspectives/strategy-leadership/growth-amid-uncertainty-insights-international-export-success
  • Ekonomim (2023). Kilogram başına ihracat değerinde mecburi artış. https://www.ekonomim.com/ekonomi/kilogram-basina-ihracat-degerinde-mecburi-artis-haberi-678988
  • EU (2024). EU industrial policy. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/eu-industrial-policy/
  • Evenett, S., Jakubik, A., Martín, F., & Ruta, M. (2024). The Return of Industrial Policy in Data. IMF Working Papers. WP/24/1
  • Feng, L., Li, Z., & Swenson, D. L. (2017). Trade policy uncertainty and exports: Evidence from China's WTO accession. Journal of International Economics, 106, 20-36.
  • Fraunhofer (2024). The Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft’s mission and DNA. https://www.fraunhofer.de/en/about-fraunhofer/profile-structure/the-fraunhofer-gesellschafts-mission-and-dna.html#challenge
  • FT (2024). Janet Yellen urges Europe to join US in Chinese exports crackdown. https://www.ft.com/content/a7a4c1b2-f6b4-4853-a3b6-790150ff637e
  • Garcia-Herrero, A. and Krystyanczuk, M. (2024). How China Conducts Industrial Policy: Analyzing Words vs. Deeds. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(1), 1-25.
  • Gelsinger, P. (2024). Intel CEO: ‘Our goal is to have at least 50% of the world’s advanced semiconductors produced in the U.S. and Europe by the end of the decade’. https://fortune.com/2024/03/20/intel-ceo-goal-is-to-have-at-least-half-world-advanced-semiconductors-us-europe-chips-tech/
  • Georgieva, K. (2024). AI Will Transform the Global Economy. Let’s Make Sure It Benefits Humanity. IMF Blog. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/01/14/ai-will-transform-the-global-economy-lets-make-sure-it-benefits-humanity
  • Google (2024). AI's opportunity for developing countries. https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/public-policy/google-ai-developing-countries-growth/
  • Handley, K. & Limao, N. (2022). Trade Policy Uncertainty. Annual Review of Economics. Vol. 14:363-395.
  • Hillman, J., & Manak, I. (2023). Rethinking International Rules on Subsidies. https://cdn.cfr.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/Rethinking%20International%20Rules%20on%20Subsidies_0.pdf
  • Holslag, J. (2016). Geoeconomics in a globalized world: the case of China’s export policy. Asia Europe Journal,14, 173–184 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10308-015-0441-y
  • Juhasz, R., Lane, N., & Rodrik, D. (2023). The new economics of industrial policy. Annual Review of Economics.
  • KIET (2024). The Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade. https://www.kiet.re.kr/en/about/greeting
  • McKinsey (2023). Notes from the AI frontier: Modeling the impact of AI on the world economy. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/artificial-intelligence/notes-from-the-ai-frontier-modeling-the-impact-of-ai-on-the-world-economy
  • METI (2021). Committee on New Direction of Economic and Industrial Policies Established in the Industrial Structure Council. https://www.meti.go.jp/english/press/2021/1116_001.html
  • PSBT (2023). The Presidency of Strategy and Budget of Turkiye, The 12th Development Plan. https://www.sbb.gov.tr/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Medium-Term-Program-2024-2026.pdf
  • Reynolds, E. B. (2024). US Industrial Transformation and the “How” of 21st Century Industrial Strategy. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(1), 1-17.
  • Siripurapu, A., & Berman, N. (2023). Is industrial policy making a comeback?. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/industrial-policy-making-comeback
  • Statista (2023). Share of Turkey in total exports worldwide from 2013 to 2022. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1306315/turkey-share-in-exports-worldwide/
  • The World Bank (2024). High-technology exports (% of manufactured exports) Turkiye. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS?locations=TR
  • TIM (2024). Türkiye 2023'te 255,8 Milyar Dolarla İhracatta Yeni Bir Rekora İmza Attı. https://tim.org.tr/tr/turkiye-2023te-255-8-milyar-dolarla-ihracatta-yeni-bir-rekora-imza-atti
  • Toksoz, M. (2023). The Return of Industrial Policy in Turkey. In: Ricz, J., Gerőcs, T. (eds) The Political Economy of Emerging Markets and Alternative Development Paths. International Political Economy Series. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-20702-0_9
  • TUIK (2022). Foreign Trade Statistics. https://data.tuik.gov.tr/Bulten/Index?p=Foreign-Trade-Statistics-January-2022-45536&dil=2
  • TÜSEB (2024). Hakkımızda. https://www.tuseb.gov.tr/kurumsal/hakkimizda
  • UKRI (2024). About UK Research and Innovation. https://www.ukri.org/who-we-are/about-uk-research-and-innovation/
  • UNCTAD (2023). In an AI-driven digital economy, how can developing countries keep up?. https://unctad.org/news/ai-driven-digital-economy-how-can-developing-countries-keep
  • Yülek, M., & Akkemik, K. A. (2023). 20. Stages of industrial development and appropriate industrial policy. In P. Bianchi, S. Labory, & P. Tomlinson (Eds.), Handbook of Industrial Development (pp. 338-356). Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org /10.4337/9781800379091.00031
  • Yülek, M. A., Lee, K. H., Kim, J., & Park, D. (2020). State capacity and the role of industrial policy in automobile industry: A comparative analysis of Turkey and South Korea. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 20, 307-331.
  • Weiss, J. (2005). Export growth and industrial policy: Lessons from the East Asian miracle experience (No. 26). ADBI Discussion Paper.
  • World Bank (2024). Artificial intelligence (AI) can help developing economies diversify. https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/trade/artificial-intelligence-ai-can-help-developing-economies-diversify
  • Zhou, F., & Wen, H. (2022). Trade policy uncertainty, development strategy, and export behavior: Evidence from listed industrial companies in China. Journal of Asian Economics, 82, 101528.
  • Zhu, X., & Ye, Y. (2023). Economic policy uncertainty and enterprise export resilience in China: Does the digital economy matter? Heliyon. 10:10, e31091

Reshaping the Industrial Policy Framework of Turkiye: Integrating Exports at the Core of AI-Driven Development

Year 2024, , 4 - 10, 30.06.2024
https://doi.org/10.61192/indpol.1491629

Abstract

This study explores the evolving landscape of industrial policy amid deglobalization, protectionism, and the technological revolution driven by artificial intelligence (AI). The shift in industrial policies across the US and EU, driven by geopolitical tensions, climate change, and economic rivalry, has resulted in increased protectionist measures. The US, once an advocate of free-market principles, now implements policies like the CHIPS Act to enhance domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on China. For developing countries like Turkiye, integrating exports into industrial policy is crucial. Despite Turkiye's significant export growth, challenges such as low R&D spending and a small share of high-tech exports persist. The article emphasizes the need for a dedicated institution, the Industrial Policy Institutes of Turkey (TEPE), to focus on innovation, competitiveness, and sustainable development. TEPE would encompass various sub-institutions dedicated to high technology, energy, defense, and digitalization. AI can play a strategic role in analyzing sectors, optimizing supply chains, and enhancing export competitiveness. By leveraging AI, Turkiye can transform its industrial policies and position itself more robustly in the global market, ensuring economic resilience and growth.

References

  • Aiginger, K. & Ketels, C. (2024). Industrial Policy Reloaded. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(7).
  • Cali, M., Ghose, D., Montfaucon, A. F. L., & Ruta, M. (2022). Trade policy and exporters’ resilience: Evidence from Indonesia. Policy Research Working Paper Series, 10068.
  • Criscuolo, C., & Lalanne, G. (2024). A new approach for better industrial strategies. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(1), 1-26.
  • Deloitte (2023). Industrial Policies for Net Zero: short- and long-term energy scenarios for Europe.
  • De Sousa, J., Disdier, A. C., & Gaigné, C. (2020). Export decision under risk. European Economic Review, 121, 103342.
  • Economist (2023). Growth amid uncertainty: insights for international export success. https://impact.economist.com/perspectives/strategy-leadership/growth-amid-uncertainty-insights-international-export-success
  • Ekonomim (2023). Kilogram başına ihracat değerinde mecburi artış. https://www.ekonomim.com/ekonomi/kilogram-basina-ihracat-degerinde-mecburi-artis-haberi-678988
  • EU (2024). EU industrial policy. https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/policies/eu-industrial-policy/
  • Evenett, S., Jakubik, A., Martín, F., & Ruta, M. (2024). The Return of Industrial Policy in Data. IMF Working Papers. WP/24/1
  • Feng, L., Li, Z., & Swenson, D. L. (2017). Trade policy uncertainty and exports: Evidence from China's WTO accession. Journal of International Economics, 106, 20-36.
  • Fraunhofer (2024). The Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft’s mission and DNA. https://www.fraunhofer.de/en/about-fraunhofer/profile-structure/the-fraunhofer-gesellschafts-mission-and-dna.html#challenge
  • FT (2024). Janet Yellen urges Europe to join US in Chinese exports crackdown. https://www.ft.com/content/a7a4c1b2-f6b4-4853-a3b6-790150ff637e
  • Garcia-Herrero, A. and Krystyanczuk, M. (2024). How China Conducts Industrial Policy: Analyzing Words vs. Deeds. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(1), 1-25.
  • Gelsinger, P. (2024). Intel CEO: ‘Our goal is to have at least 50% of the world’s advanced semiconductors produced in the U.S. and Europe by the end of the decade’. https://fortune.com/2024/03/20/intel-ceo-goal-is-to-have-at-least-half-world-advanced-semiconductors-us-europe-chips-tech/
  • Georgieva, K. (2024). AI Will Transform the Global Economy. Let’s Make Sure It Benefits Humanity. IMF Blog. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/01/14/ai-will-transform-the-global-economy-lets-make-sure-it-benefits-humanity
  • Google (2024). AI's opportunity for developing countries. https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/public-policy/google-ai-developing-countries-growth/
  • Handley, K. & Limao, N. (2022). Trade Policy Uncertainty. Annual Review of Economics. Vol. 14:363-395.
  • Hillman, J., & Manak, I. (2023). Rethinking International Rules on Subsidies. https://cdn.cfr.org/sites/default/files/report_pdf/Rethinking%20International%20Rules%20on%20Subsidies_0.pdf
  • Holslag, J. (2016). Geoeconomics in a globalized world: the case of China’s export policy. Asia Europe Journal,14, 173–184 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10308-015-0441-y
  • Juhasz, R., Lane, N., & Rodrik, D. (2023). The new economics of industrial policy. Annual Review of Economics.
  • KIET (2024). The Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade. https://www.kiet.re.kr/en/about/greeting
  • McKinsey (2023). Notes from the AI frontier: Modeling the impact of AI on the world economy. https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/artificial-intelligence/notes-from-the-ai-frontier-modeling-the-impact-of-ai-on-the-world-economy
  • METI (2021). Committee on New Direction of Economic and Industrial Policies Established in the Industrial Structure Council. https://www.meti.go.jp/english/press/2021/1116_001.html
  • PSBT (2023). The Presidency of Strategy and Budget of Turkiye, The 12th Development Plan. https://www.sbb.gov.tr/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Medium-Term-Program-2024-2026.pdf
  • Reynolds, E. B. (2024). US Industrial Transformation and the “How” of 21st Century Industrial Strategy. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 24(1), 1-17.
  • Siripurapu, A., & Berman, N. (2023). Is industrial policy making a comeback?. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/industrial-policy-making-comeback
  • Statista (2023). Share of Turkey in total exports worldwide from 2013 to 2022. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1306315/turkey-share-in-exports-worldwide/
  • The World Bank (2024). High-technology exports (% of manufactured exports) Turkiye. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/TX.VAL.TECH.MF.ZS?locations=TR
  • TIM (2024). Türkiye 2023'te 255,8 Milyar Dolarla İhracatta Yeni Bir Rekora İmza Attı. https://tim.org.tr/tr/turkiye-2023te-255-8-milyar-dolarla-ihracatta-yeni-bir-rekora-imza-atti
  • Toksoz, M. (2023). The Return of Industrial Policy in Turkey. In: Ricz, J., Gerőcs, T. (eds) The Political Economy of Emerging Markets and Alternative Development Paths. International Political Economy Series. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-20702-0_9
  • TUIK (2022). Foreign Trade Statistics. https://data.tuik.gov.tr/Bulten/Index?p=Foreign-Trade-Statistics-January-2022-45536&dil=2
  • TÜSEB (2024). Hakkımızda. https://www.tuseb.gov.tr/kurumsal/hakkimizda
  • UKRI (2024). About UK Research and Innovation. https://www.ukri.org/who-we-are/about-uk-research-and-innovation/
  • UNCTAD (2023). In an AI-driven digital economy, how can developing countries keep up?. https://unctad.org/news/ai-driven-digital-economy-how-can-developing-countries-keep
  • Yülek, M., & Akkemik, K. A. (2023). 20. Stages of industrial development and appropriate industrial policy. In P. Bianchi, S. Labory, & P. Tomlinson (Eds.), Handbook of Industrial Development (pp. 338-356). Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org /10.4337/9781800379091.00031
  • Yülek, M. A., Lee, K. H., Kim, J., & Park, D. (2020). State capacity and the role of industrial policy in automobile industry: A comparative analysis of Turkey and South Korea. Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, 20, 307-331.
  • Weiss, J. (2005). Export growth and industrial policy: Lessons from the East Asian miracle experience (No. 26). ADBI Discussion Paper.
  • World Bank (2024). Artificial intelligence (AI) can help developing economies diversify. https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/trade/artificial-intelligence-ai-can-help-developing-economies-diversify
  • Zhou, F., & Wen, H. (2022). Trade policy uncertainty, development strategy, and export behavior: Evidence from listed industrial companies in China. Journal of Asian Economics, 82, 101528.
  • Zhu, X., & Ye, Y. (2023). Economic policy uncertainty and enterprise export resilience in China: Does the digital economy matter? Heliyon. 10:10, e31091
There are 40 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Development Economics - Macro, Industrial Economy
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Faruk Güven 0000-0002-2440-585X

Early Pub Date June 25, 2024
Publication Date June 30, 2024
Submission Date May 28, 2024
Acceptance Date June 24, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024

Cite

APA Güven, F. (2024). Reshaping the Industrial Policy Framework of Turkiye: Integrating Exports at the Core of AI-Driven Development. Industrial Policy, 4(1), 4-10. https://doi.org/10.61192/indpol.1491629