ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN GEORGIA IN THE PERIOD 1996-2018 WITH THE BOUND TEST APPROACH
Year 2023,
Volume: 22 Issue: 48 - İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Aralık/Güz 2023, Cilt 22, Sayı 48, 1305 - 1323, 30.12.2023
Rakhshada Murshudova
,
Naib Alakbarov
Abstract
Purpose: Investigation of the relationship between financial development and economic growth is one of the topics of interest in the economics literature. These studies analyze the subject from different aspects and reveal different important results. This study analyzes the effect of financial development on economic growth for the period 1996-2018 using annual data on the Georgian economy.
Method: The ARDL approach developed by Pesaran (2001) was used in the study and cointegration analysis was performed.
Findings: The estimated long-term analysis results reveal that the development in the financial field in Georgia will positively affect economic growth. This result shows that the practices for the development of the financial sector for the Georgian economy will have a positive impact on growth.
Originality: This study is thought to be original since there are few studies investigating the impact of financial developments on economic growth in Georgia.
References
- Adeyeye, P.O., Fapetu, O., Aluko,O.A. & Migiro,S.O. (2015). Does supply-leading hypothesis hold in a developing economy? A Nigerian focus. Procedia Economics and Finance,30, 30-37.
- Alevli, B. (2012). Gürcistan mobilya sektörü raporu. Kuzey Anadolu Kalkınma Ajansı, 1-24.
- Altıntaş, H. ve Ayrıçay, Y. (2010). Türkiye’de finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinin sınır testi yaklaşımıyla analizi:1987–2007. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 10(2), 71-98.
- Arestis, P., & Demetriades, P. (1999). Finance and growth: institutional considerations, financial policies and causality. Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, 2(1), 37-62.
- Azman-Saini, W. N. W., & Law, S. H. (2010). FDI and economic growth: New evidence on the role of financial markets. Economics letters, 107(2), 211-213.
- Basar, B. D., Kaya, Z., Eksi, I. H. ve Zeren, F. (2023). Finansal gelişmenin doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar üzerindeki etkileri: Seçili Asya ülkelerinden kanıtlar. Business and Economics Research Journal, 14, 31-43.
- Bist, J. P. (2018). Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from a panel of 16 African and non-African low-income countries. Cogent Economics & Finance, 6, 1449780.
- Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 37(2), 149-163.
- Contuk, F. Y. ve Güngör, B. (2016). Finansal piyasaların gelişmesinin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkileri: 1998-2014 Türkiye örneği. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, (611), 15-27.
- Darrat, A.F. (1999). Are financial deepening and economic growth causally related? Another look at the evidence. International Economic Journal, 13,19-35.
- De Gregorio, J., & Guidotti, P.E. (1995). Financial development and economic growth. World development, 23,433-448.
- DEİK. (2018). Gürcistan Ülke Raporu, 1-15.
- Dickey, D.A., & Fuller, W.A. (1981).Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 1057-1072.
- Dikkaya, M. ve Demirci, O. (2015). Gürcistan’da Sovyet sonrası ekonomik dönüşüm ve Türkiye ile ilişkilerin ekonomi politiği. Yeni Türkiye Kafkaslar Özel Sayısı, 7, 588-612.
- Efeoğlu, R. (2021). Finansal gelişmenin vergi gelirleri üzerine etkisi: Geçiş ekonomileri örneği. Manisa Celal Bayar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(2), 312-325.
- Elliott E., Thomas, J.R., & James,H.S. (1996). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica 64: 813–836
- Erkomaishvili, G., & Gechbaia, B. (2013). Foreign trade economic policy of Georgia in conditions of globalization. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/299423461_Foreign_Trade_Economic_Policy_of_Georgia_In_Conditions_of_Globalization (04.09.2022).
- Gerschenkron, A. (1962). Economic backwardness in historical perspective: A book of essays (Vol. 584). Cambridge, MA: Belknap press of Harvard university press.
- Gogorishvili, I. (2016). Foreign economic policy of Georgia since gaining the independence. Estonian Discussions on Economic Policy, 24(1).
- Goldsmith, R. W. (1969). Financial structure and development, Yale University Press, New Haven.
- Graff, M. (2002). Finanzielle entwicklung und wirtschaftliches wachstum: Eine Mehrwellen-Pfadanalyse (No. 63). KOF Working Papers.
- Gürsoy, F., & Kalyoncu, H. (2012). Foreign direct investment and growth relationship in Georgia. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2(3), 267-271.
- Khan, M. S., & Senhadji, A. (2000). Financial development and economic growth: An overview. International Monetary Fund Working Paper. Washington.
- Kindleberger, C.P.(1978). Manias, panics and crashes: a history of financial crises. New York, John Wiley & Sons.
- Krueger, A. (2006). Financial markets and economic growth. Conferencia. Washington, DC: Fondo Monetario Internacional. Erişim Adresi: https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2015/09/28/04/53/sp092806 (15.11.2020).
- Labadze, L., & Tukhashvili, M. (2013). Costs and benefits of labour mobility between the EU and the Eastern partnership partner countries. Country report. Georgia (No. 463). CASE Network Studies & Analyses.
- Law, S. H., & Singh, N. (2014). Does too much finance harm economic growth? Journal of Banking & Finance, 41, 36-44.
- Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: theory and evidence. Handbook of economic growth,1,865-934.
- Lucas Jr, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of monetary economics, 22, 3-42.
- Ibrahim, M., & Alagidede, I. P. (2020). Asymmetric effects of financial development on economic growth in Ghana. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 10(4), 371-387.
- Mtchedlishvili, N. (2018). FDI and statistical analysis. Erişim adresi: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/335327542, 1-12.
- Murshudova, R. (2020). Finansal piyasalardaki gelişmenin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkisi: Gürcistan örneği (Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi). Uşak Üniversitesi Lisansüstü Eğitim Enstitüsü.
- Onwumere, J. U. J., Ibe, I. G., Ozoh, F. O., & Mounanu, O. (2012). The impact of financial deepening on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 3, 64-71.
- Papava, V. C. (2019). О комплексном инфляционном таргетировании и модифицированных показателях инфляции (на примере Грузии). Финансы: теория и практика, 23(3).
- Patrick, H. T. (1966). Financial development and economic growth in underdeveloped countries. Economic development and Cultural change, 14(2), 174-189.
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
- Phillips, P. C., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335-346.
Robinson, J. (1952).The Generalization of the General Theory. London: MacMillan Press.
- Sombart, W. (1922). Der moderne Kapitalismus/Bd. 1. Einleitung. Die vorkapitalistische Wirtschaft. Die historischen Grundlagen des modernen Kapitalismus Halbbd. 2. Der moderne Kapitalismus historisch-systematische Darstellung des gesamteuropäischen Wirtschaftslebens von den Anfängen bis zur Gegenwart.
- Stern, N. (1989). The economics of development: a survey. The Economic Journal, 99 (397), 597-685.
- Valickova, P., Havranek, T., & Horvath, R. (2015). Financial development and economic growth: A meta‐analysis. Journal of economic surveys, 29(3), 506-526.
- Дёгтев, А. С., Маргоев, А. Р., & Токарев, А. А. (2016). Экономика Грузии в пространстве противоречий региональных держав. Вестник МГИМО Университета, (2 (47)), 219-233.
- Tunçsiper, Ç., & Horoz, İ. (2023). The effect of exports on economic growth Türkiye 1980-2021. JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 8(1), 65-72.
- The National Statistics Office Georgia, https://www.geostat.ge/en# (11.12.2021).
1996-2018 DÖNEMİNDE GÜRCİSTAN`DA FİNANSAL GELİŞMENİN EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ÜZERİNE ETKİSİNİN SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMIYLA ANALİZİ
Year 2023,
Volume: 22 Issue: 48 - İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, Aralık/Güz 2023, Cilt 22, Sayı 48, 1305 - 1323, 30.12.2023
Rakhshada Murshudova
,
Naib Alakbarov
Abstract
Amaç: İktisat literatüründe finansal gelişmenin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkisine yönelik çok sayıda çalışma vardır. Söz konusu çalışmalar konuyu farklı yönleriyle analiz ederek farklı sonuçlar ortaya koymaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı Gürcistan ekonomisine ilişkin yıllık veriler kullanılarak 1996-2018 dönemi için finansal gelişmenin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkisini analiz etmektedir.
Yöntem: Bu çalışma Pesaran vd.’nin (2001) geliştirdiği ARDL eşbütünleşme sınır testi yaklaşımını kullanarak değişkenler arasındaki ilişkiyi analiz etmiştir.
Bulgular: Tahmin edilen uzun dönem analiz sonuçları Gürcistan’da finansal alandaki gelişmenin ekonomik büyümeyi olumlu şekilde etkileyeceği sonucunu ortaya koymaktadır. Bu sonuç, Gürcistan ekonomisi için finansal sektörün geliştirilmesine yönelik uygulamaların ekonomik büyüme üzerinde pozitif etki yapacağını göstermektedir.
Özgünlük: Gürcistan’da finansal gelişmelerin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisini araştırmaya yönelik az sayıda çalışma bulunması sebebiyle bu çalışmanın özgün olduğu düşünülmektedir.
References
- Adeyeye, P.O., Fapetu, O., Aluko,O.A. & Migiro,S.O. (2015). Does supply-leading hypothesis hold in a developing economy? A Nigerian focus. Procedia Economics and Finance,30, 30-37.
- Alevli, B. (2012). Gürcistan mobilya sektörü raporu. Kuzey Anadolu Kalkınma Ajansı, 1-24.
- Altıntaş, H. ve Ayrıçay, Y. (2010). Türkiye’de finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinin sınır testi yaklaşımıyla analizi:1987–2007. Anadolu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 10(2), 71-98.
- Arestis, P., & Demetriades, P. (1999). Finance and growth: institutional considerations, financial policies and causality. Zagreb International Review of Economics & Business, 2(1), 37-62.
- Azman-Saini, W. N. W., & Law, S. H. (2010). FDI and economic growth: New evidence on the role of financial markets. Economics letters, 107(2), 211-213.
- Basar, B. D., Kaya, Z., Eksi, I. H. ve Zeren, F. (2023). Finansal gelişmenin doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar üzerindeki etkileri: Seçili Asya ülkelerinden kanıtlar. Business and Economics Research Journal, 14, 31-43.
- Bist, J. P. (2018). Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from a panel of 16 African and non-African low-income countries. Cogent Economics & Finance, 6, 1449780.
- Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 37(2), 149-163.
- Contuk, F. Y. ve Güngör, B. (2016). Finansal piyasaların gelişmesinin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkileri: 1998-2014 Türkiye örneği. Finans Politik ve Ekonomik Yorumlar, (611), 15-27.
- Darrat, A.F. (1999). Are financial deepening and economic growth causally related? Another look at the evidence. International Economic Journal, 13,19-35.
- De Gregorio, J., & Guidotti, P.E. (1995). Financial development and economic growth. World development, 23,433-448.
- DEİK. (2018). Gürcistan Ülke Raporu, 1-15.
- Dickey, D.A., & Fuller, W.A. (1981).Likelihood ratio statistics for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 1057-1072.
- Dikkaya, M. ve Demirci, O. (2015). Gürcistan’da Sovyet sonrası ekonomik dönüşüm ve Türkiye ile ilişkilerin ekonomi politiği. Yeni Türkiye Kafkaslar Özel Sayısı, 7, 588-612.
- Efeoğlu, R. (2021). Finansal gelişmenin vergi gelirleri üzerine etkisi: Geçiş ekonomileri örneği. Manisa Celal Bayar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(2), 312-325.
- Elliott E., Thomas, J.R., & James,H.S. (1996). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica 64: 813–836
- Erkomaishvili, G., & Gechbaia, B. (2013). Foreign trade economic policy of Georgia in conditions of globalization. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/299423461_Foreign_Trade_Economic_Policy_of_Georgia_In_Conditions_of_Globalization (04.09.2022).
- Gerschenkron, A. (1962). Economic backwardness in historical perspective: A book of essays (Vol. 584). Cambridge, MA: Belknap press of Harvard university press.
- Gogorishvili, I. (2016). Foreign economic policy of Georgia since gaining the independence. Estonian Discussions on Economic Policy, 24(1).
- Goldsmith, R. W. (1969). Financial structure and development, Yale University Press, New Haven.
- Graff, M. (2002). Finanzielle entwicklung und wirtschaftliches wachstum: Eine Mehrwellen-Pfadanalyse (No. 63). KOF Working Papers.
- Gürsoy, F., & Kalyoncu, H. (2012). Foreign direct investment and growth relationship in Georgia. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2(3), 267-271.
- Khan, M. S., & Senhadji, A. (2000). Financial development and economic growth: An overview. International Monetary Fund Working Paper. Washington.
- Kindleberger, C.P.(1978). Manias, panics and crashes: a history of financial crises. New York, John Wiley & Sons.
- Krueger, A. (2006). Financial markets and economic growth. Conferencia. Washington, DC: Fondo Monetario Internacional. Erişim Adresi: https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2015/09/28/04/53/sp092806 (15.11.2020).
- Labadze, L., & Tukhashvili, M. (2013). Costs and benefits of labour mobility between the EU and the Eastern partnership partner countries. Country report. Georgia (No. 463). CASE Network Studies & Analyses.
- Law, S. H., & Singh, N. (2014). Does too much finance harm economic growth? Journal of Banking & Finance, 41, 36-44.
- Levine, R. (2005). Finance and growth: theory and evidence. Handbook of economic growth,1,865-934.
- Lucas Jr, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of monetary economics, 22, 3-42.
- Ibrahim, M., & Alagidede, I. P. (2020). Asymmetric effects of financial development on economic growth in Ghana. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 10(4), 371-387.
- Mtchedlishvili, N. (2018). FDI and statistical analysis. Erişim adresi: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/335327542, 1-12.
- Murshudova, R. (2020). Finansal piyasalardaki gelişmenin ekonomik büyüme üzerine etkisi: Gürcistan örneği (Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi). Uşak Üniversitesi Lisansüstü Eğitim Enstitüsü.
- Onwumere, J. U. J., Ibe, I. G., Ozoh, F. O., & Mounanu, O. (2012). The impact of financial deepening on economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 3, 64-71.
- Papava, V. C. (2019). О комплексном инфляционном таргетировании и модифицированных показателях инфляции (на примере Грузии). Финансы: теория и практика, 23(3).
- Patrick, H. T. (1966). Financial development and economic growth in underdeveloped countries. Economic development and Cultural change, 14(2), 174-189.
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
- Phillips, P. C., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335-346.
Robinson, J. (1952).The Generalization of the General Theory. London: MacMillan Press.
- Sombart, W. (1922). Der moderne Kapitalismus/Bd. 1. Einleitung. Die vorkapitalistische Wirtschaft. Die historischen Grundlagen des modernen Kapitalismus Halbbd. 2. Der moderne Kapitalismus historisch-systematische Darstellung des gesamteuropäischen Wirtschaftslebens von den Anfängen bis zur Gegenwart.
- Stern, N. (1989). The economics of development: a survey. The Economic Journal, 99 (397), 597-685.
- Valickova, P., Havranek, T., & Horvath, R. (2015). Financial development and economic growth: A meta‐analysis. Journal of economic surveys, 29(3), 506-526.
- Дёгтев, А. С., Маргоев, А. Р., & Токарев, А. А. (2016). Экономика Грузии в пространстве противоречий региональных держав. Вестник МГИМО Университета, (2 (47)), 219-233.
- Tunçsiper, Ç., & Horoz, İ. (2023). The effect of exports on economic growth Türkiye 1980-2021. JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 8(1), 65-72.
- The National Statistics Office Georgia, https://www.geostat.ge/en# (11.12.2021).