FVFM’nin İMKB ulusal 100 endeksindeki geçerliliğinin panel veri analizi ile test edilmesi
Year 2010,
Volume: 39 Issue: 1, 95 - 105, 03.12.2009
Turhan Korkmaz
,
Berk Yıldız
,
Rasim Gökbulut
Abstract
Bu çalışmada, literatürde geniş uygulama alanı bulan “Finansal Varlıkları Fiyatlandırma Modeli-FVFM”nin İstanbul Menkul Kıymetler Borsası (İMKB) Ulusal 100 Endeksi’nde işlem gören ve 1993-2007 yılları arasında süreklilik arz eden işletmeler üzerindeki uygulanabilirliği panel veri analizi yöntemiyle araştırılmıştır. Çalışmada ayrıca, finansal varlık getirileri ile piyasa getirileri arasındaki ilişkiden hareketle, finansal varlıklara ait piyasa risk primi alternatif olarak panel regresyon yöntemi kullanılarak tahmin edilmeye çalışılmıştır. Elde edilen bulgular, FVFM’nin İMKB’de ilgili dönemde geçerli olduğunu ve panel regresyonun piyasa risk priminin hesaplanmasında alternatif bir yaklaşım olabileceği sonucunu ortaya koymuştur.
References
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- E.F. Fama, J. D. MacBeth, Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests. The Journal of Political Economy. 81, 607-636 (1973).
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- N. Rhaiem, S. B. Ammou, A. B. Mabrouk, Estimation of Capital Asset Pricing Model at Different Time Scales Application to French Stock Market. The International Journal of Applied Economics and Finance. 1, 79-87 (2007).
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- B. Yıldız, Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etki Eden Yatırım Tercih Kriterleri ve FVFM’nin İMKB’de Panel Veri Analizi ile Test Edilmesi. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, 2009.
Testing the validity of CAPM in ISE national 100 index with panel data analysis
Year 2010,
Volume: 39 Issue: 1, 95 - 105, 03.12.2009
Turhan Korkmaz
,
Berk Yıldız
,
Rasim Gökbulut
Abstract
In this study, the applicability of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which had a wide coverage in literature, is investigated in accordance with the panel data analysis method for the firms whose shares are included in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) National 100 Index and for the firms that were lasting between the years 1993-2007. Furthermore, considering the relationship between capital asset return and market return, the market risk premium of capital asset is estimated using the panel regression method alternatively. Findings show that CAPM is valid for the related period and panel regression could be an alternative for estimating market risk premium.
References
- W.F. Sharpe, G.M. Cooper, Risk-Return Classes of New York Stock Exchange Common Stocks, 1931-1967. Financial Analysts Journal. 28, 46-54 (1972).
- E.F. Fama, J. D. MacBeth, Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests. The Journal of Political Economy. 81, 607-636 (1973).
- E. Vos, B. Pepper, The Size and Book to Market Effects in New Zealand. The New Zealand Investment Analyst. 18, 35-45 (1997).
- D. Isakov, Is Beta Still Alive? Conclusive Evidence from the Swiss Stock Market. The European Journal of Finance. 5, 202-212 (1999).
- J. Hodoshima, X. G. Gómez, M. Kunimura, Cross Sectional Regression Analysis of Return and Beta in Japan. Journal of Economics and Business. 52, 515-533 (2000).
- N. Soufian, Empirical Content of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) Across Time. Manchester Metropolitan University Business School Working Paper Series. 10, (2001).
- R. Elsas, E. Shaer, E. Theissen, Beta and Returns Revisited: Evidence from the German Stock Market. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. 13, 1-18 (2003).
- G.N. Pettengill, S. Sundaram, I. Mathur, The Conditional Relation between Beta and Returns. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 30, 101-116 (1995).
- G. Michailidis, et.al., Testing the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): The Case of the Emerging Greek Securities Market. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics. 4, 78-91 (2006).
- N. Rhaiem, S. B. Ammou, A. B. Mabrouk, Estimation of Capital Asset Pricing Model at Different Time Scales Application to French Stock Market. The International Journal of Applied Economics and Finance. 1, 79-87 (2007).
- E. Canegrati, Testing the CAPM: Evidences from Italian Equity Markets. Munich Personal RePEc Archive, Working Paper No. 10407 (2008).
- W.F. Sharpe, Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk. The Journal of Finance. 19, 425-442 (1964).
- J. Lintner, The Aggregation of Investors’ Diverse Judgement and Preferences in Purely Competitive Markets. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 4, 346- 382 (1965).
- H.J. Sheu, S.Wu, K.P. Ku, Cross Sectional Relationships Between Stock Returns and Market Beta, Trading Volume, and Sales-To-Price in Taiwan. International Review of Financial Analysis. 7, 1-18 (1998).
- M. Matteev, CAPM Anomalies and the Efficiency of Stock Markets in Transition: Evidence from Bulgaria. South Eastern Europe Journal of Economics. 2, 35-58 (2004).
- M. Rahman, A. Baten, A.U. Alam, An Empirical Testing of Capital Asset Pricing Model in Bangladesh. Journal of Applied Sciences. 6, 662-667 (2006).
- E. Febrian, A. Herwany, CAPM and APT Validation Test Before, During, and After Financial Crises in Emerging Market: Evidence from Indonesia. The Second Singapore International Conference on Finance, Singapore. 19 and 20 July 2007.
- L. Akdeniz, A. Salih, K. Aydoğan, Cross Section of Expected Stock Returns in ISE. Russian & East European Finance & Trade. 36, 6-26 (2000).
- Y. Karatepe, E. Karaaslan, F. Gökgöz, Koşullu CAPM ve İMKB’de Bir Uygulama. İMKB Dergisi. 6, 21-36 (2002).
- M. Tanık, Finansal Varlıkları Fiyatlama Modeli ve İMKB’de Bir Uygulaması. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Niğde Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, 2006.
- Ü.B. Temizkaya, Finansal Varlıkları Fiyatlama Modeli ve İMKB Uygulaması. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Marmara Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, 2006.
- C.T. Gürsoy, G. Rejepova, Test of Capital Asset Pricing Model in Turkey. Ankara Üniversitesi Siyasal Bilgiler Fakültesi Dergisi. 63, 43-64 (2007).
- A. Levin, C.F. Lin, C.S.J. Chu, Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite- Sample Properties. Journal of Econometrics. 108, 1-24 (2002).
- K.S. Im, M.H. Pesaran, Y. Shin, Testing for Unit Roots in Heteregeneous Panels. Journal of Econometrics. 115, 53-74 (2003).
- D.A. Dickey, W.A. Fuller, Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 74, 427-431 (1979).
- C. Brooks, Introductory Econometrics for Finance. Cambridge University Press, New York, 2008.
- W.H. Greene, Econometric Analysis. 5th Ed., Chapter 13. Pearson Education Inc, 2003.
- J. Wooldridge, Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. The MIT Press, Cambridge, 2002.
- D. Kyriazis, C. Anastassis, The Validity of the Economic Value Added Approach: An Empirical Application. European Financial Management. 13, 71-100 (2007).
- B. Yıldız, Hisse Senedi Getirilerine Etki Eden Yatırım Tercih Kriterleri ve FVFM’nin İMKB’de Panel Veri Analizi ile Test Edilmesi. Yayınlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Zonguldak Karaelmas Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, 2009.