Tarihsel Süreçte Yaşanan Pandemilerin Ekonomik ve Sosyal Etkileri
Year 2020,
, 612 - 632, 31.10.2020
Armağan Türk
,
Berna Ak Bingül
,
Rengin Ak
Abstract
Salgınlar tarihin her döneminde toplumsal etki yaratmıştır. Yakın bir tarihe kadar salgınların neden kaynaklandığı konusundaki bilgi eksikliği salgınların toplum üzerindeki etkisini arttırmış ve bunun sonucu olarak çıktığı bölgelerde yaygınlık göstererek kitlesel ölümlere yol açmıştır. Ölüm ve hastalıkların yanı sıra, salgınlar insanların sosyal yaşantılarını, tüketim alışkanlıklarını, yaşam tarzlarını ve ekonomik faaliyetlerini de etkilemiştir. Salgınların etkisinin bu kadar büyük olmasındaki temel neden ise, salgının ne zaman çıkacağı ne kadar yayılacağı ve ne kadar süreceği konusunda yaşanan belirsizliktir.
Küreselleşme olgusu ve yarattığı ticari entegrasyon sonucu ülkeler arasındaki ticari ilişkilerin gelişmesi, ticari ve ticari olmayan seyahatlerin artması salgınların ortaya çıktıkları yerden hızlı bir şekilde dünya geneline yayılmasına neden olmuştur. Salgınların sosyal yaşantı üzerindeki olumsuz etkileri olmakla birlikte daha çok ekonomik kayıplarından dolayı ekonomik etkileri üzerinde durulmuştur. Ticari entegrasyon sonucunda ülkelerin ekonomik kayıpları ticari ilişkilerden dolayı diğer ülkeleri de etkilemektedir. Ekonomik kayıpların artması sosyal yaşantının ekonomik nedenlerden dolayı da değişmesine yol açmıştır. Literatürde yer alan çalışmalarda salgınların genelde ülkelerin ekonomik gücünü zayıflatarak kriz ortamı yarattığı görülmektedir. Salgınların ülkelerin ve küresel ekonomi üzerindeki doğrudan etkileri yanında dolaylı etkileri de oldukça önemlidir. Salgınların ekonomiler üzerindeki doğrudan etkilerinin hesaplanması daha kolay iken dolaylı etkilerinin tam olarak hesaplanması mümkün olmamaktadır. Ayrıca doğrudan etkiler salgın süresince görülürken dolaylı etkiler daha uzun bir döneme yayılabilmektedir.
Bu çalışmada, tarihsel süreç içerisinde ülkeleri derinden etkileyen küresel salgınlar ele alınmıştır. Bu kapsamda salgınların ülkelerin ekonomik ve sosyal yapıları üzerindeki değişim ve etkileri değerlendirilmiş ve olası salgınlara karşı öngörüde bulunulması amaçlanmıştır.
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Year 2020,
, 612 - 632, 31.10.2020
Armağan Türk
,
Berna Ak Bingül
,
Rengin Ak
References
- Aberth, John (2010), From the Brink of the Apocalypse: Confronting Famine, War, Plague, and Death in the Later Middle Ages. Second Edition, New York: Routledge, 1-327.
- AEGON (2020), “Economic Impact of the Coronavirus Crisis: What can we learn from past pandemics?”, https://www.aegonassetmanagement.com/us/thought-leadership/blog/macro-research/economic-impact-of-the-coronavirus-crisis-what-can-we-learn-from-past-pandemics/.
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- Bean, ohn Malcolm William, (1963), “Plague, Population and Economic Decline in England in the Later Middle Ages”, The Economic History Review, New Series, Vol. 15, No. 3 (1963), pp. 423-437
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- Delivorias, Angelos, Nicole Scholz (2020), “Economic impact of epidemics and pandemics”, European Parliamentary Research Service, 1-10.
- Dielman, Joseph L. (2018), “Spending on health and HIV/AIDS: domestic health spending and development assistance in 188 countries, 1995–2015”, The Lancet, Vol 391 May 5, 1799-1829.
- Dura, Cihan (2011), “Altın Ve Gümüş Talanı Avrupa'yı Nasıl Değiştirdi”, http://www.cihandura.com/tr/makale/-ALTIN-VE-GUMUS-TALANI-AVRUPA-YI-NASIL-DEGISTIRDI-697.
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- Garmaroudi, Farshid S., (2007), “The Last Great Uncontrolled Plague Of Mankınd”, The Scıence Creatıve Quarterly, 10.30.2007.
- Henderson, D. A., Brooke Courtney, Thomas V. Inglesby, Eric Toner, Jennifer B. Nuzzo (2009), “Public Health and Medical Responses to the 1957-58 Influenza Pandemic”, Biosecurity and Bioterrorism: Biodefense Strategy, Practice, and Science, Volume 7, Number 3, 265-273.
- İnal, Seza (2016), “Middle East Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) Enfeksiyonu: Ortadoğu Solunum Yetmezliği Sendromu-Koronavirüs Enfeksiyonu”, Okmeydanı Tıp Dergisi, 32(Ek sayı):37-45.
- Joo, Heesoo, Brian A. Maskery, Andre D. Berro, Lisa D. Rotz, Yeon-Kyeng Lee, Clive M. Brown, (2019), “Economic impact of the 2015 MERS outbreak on the Republic of Korea’s tourism-related industries”, Health Secur, 17(2), 100-108.
- Karakuş, Onur Sadık (2018), “Doğu’dan Gelen Ölüm: Antoninus Vebası”, Toplumsal Tarih, 296, Ağustos, 38-41.
- Kessler, Robert (2020), “SARS: The First Pandemic of the 21st Century”, https://www. ecohealthalliance.org/2018/03/sars
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- Lee, Yen Nee (2020), “4 charts show how SARS hit China’s economy nearly 20 years ago”, https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/11/coronavirus-4-charts-show-how-sars-hit-chinas-economy-in-2003.html. CNBC 10 Şubat.
- LePan, Nicholas (2020), “Visualizing the History of Pandemics”, https://www. visualcapitalist.com/history-of-pandemics-deadliest/.
- Matillano, Hadley (2011), “The Effect of Smallpox on the New World”, Historical Paper, Junior Division, World Count: 2398, 1-21.
- McKibbin, Warwick, J. (2009), “The Swine Flu Outbreak and its Global Economic Impact”, https://www.brookings.edu/on-the-record/the-swine-flu-outbreak-and-its-global-economic-impact/.
- Meier, Mischa (2016), “The ‘Justinianic Plague’: The Economic Consequences of the Pandemic in the Eastern Roman Empire and its Cultural and Religious Effects”, Early Medieval Europe, 24 (3), 267–292
- MercyCorps (2019), “Chapter 4: How does Ebola affect the economy?”, www.mercycorps. org/blog/ebola-outbreaks-africa-guide/chapter-4
- Mitchener, Kris James, Marc D. Weidenmier (2007), “The Baring Crisis and the Great Latin American Meltdown of the 1890s”, The Journal of Economic History, Vol. 68, No. 2 (Jun., 2008), 462-500.
- Pamuk, Şevket (2020), “Tarihte Küresel Salgınlar ve İktisadi Sonuçları”, https://sarkac.org/ 2020/04/tarihte-kuresel-salginlar-ve-iktisadi-sonuclari/
- Patterson, David K. (1992), “Yellow Fever Epidemics and Mortality in The United States, 1693-1905”, Social Science & Medical, Vol. 34, No. 8, 855-865.
- Riedel, Stefan (2005), “Edward Jenner and The History of Smallpox and Vaccination”, BUMC Proceeding,18, 21-25.
- Roberts, J. A., P. Cumberland, P. N. Sockett, J. Wheeler, L. C. Rodrıgues, D. Sethı, P. J. Roderıck, (2003), “The Study of Infectious Intestinal Disease in England: Socio-economic Impact”, Epidemiol. Infect. 130, Cambridge University Press, 1–11.
- Rosenwald, Michael S., (2020), “History’s Deadliest Pandemics, From Ancient Rome to Modern America”, https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/local/retropolis/ coronavirus-deadliest-pandemics/.
- Roser, Max (2020), “The Spanish flu (1918-20): The global impact of the largest influenza pandemic in history”, https://ourworldindata.org/spanish-flu-largest-influenza-pandemic-in-history.
- Sabbatini, Sergio, Sirio Fiorino (2009), “La peste antonina e il declino dell’Impero Romano. Ruolo della guerra partica e della guerra marcomannica tra il 164 e il 182 d.C. nella diffusione del contagio”, Le Infezioni in Medicina, n. 4, 261-275
- Sağlık Bakanlığı (2020), “Ebola”, www.seyahatsagligi.gov.tr/site/HastalikDetay/Ebola
- Sanburn, Josh (2010), “The Third Plague Pandemic”, TIME, Tuesday, Oct. 26.
- Saunders-Hastings, Patrick R. Daniel Krewski (2016), “Reviewing the History of Pandemic Influenza: Understanding Patterns of Emergence and Transmission”, Pathogens, 5, 66, 1-19.
- SB (2020), “Hong Kong Flu (1968 Influenza Pandemic)”, https://www.sinobiological.com /research/virus/1968-influenza-pandemic-hong-kong-flu.
- Snell, Melissa (2019), “The Sixth-Century Plague”, ThoughtCo, Feb. 11, 2020, thoughtco.com/the-sixth-century-plague-1789291.
- Stenseth, Nils Chr. (2008), “Plague Through History”, Science, Vol, 321, 8 August, 773-774.
- Stepan, Nancy (1978), “The Interplay Between Socio-Economic Factors and Medical Science: Yellow Fever Research, Cuba and the United States”, Social Studies of Science, Vol 8, 397-423.
- The Economist (2009), “The cost of swine flu”, https://www.economist.com/news/2009/ 07/27/the-cost-of-swine-flu.
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