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Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi

Year 2021, Volume: 16 Issue: 63, 1133 - 1149, 31.07.2021
https://doi.org/10.19168/jyasar.916017

Abstract

Bu çalışmada BRICS-T ülkelerinde ekonomik kompleksite ile doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımları arasındaki ilişkinin incelenmesi amaçlanmaktadır. Bu amaçla panel veri analizi yöntemi tercih edilmiştir ve 1995-2017 dönemini kapsayan bir veri seti kullanılmıştır. Çalışmada modellenen serilerde yatay kesit bağımlılığı ve değişen varyans olduğu saptanmıştır. Bu nedenle serilerin durağanlığı CADF testi ile, değişkenler arasındaki ilişkinin yönü Dumitrescu ve Hurlin nedensellik testi ile, değişkenler arasındaki ilişkinin büyüklüğü ise FGLS regresyon modeli ile test edilmiştir. Analiz bulguları ekonomik kompleksiteden doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımları yönünde tek yönlü nedensellik ilişkisi olduğunu göstermektedir. Ayrıca ekonomik kompleksitenin doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımları üzerinde anlamlı pozitif etki meydana getirdiğine dair ampirik kanıt elde edilmiştir.

References

  • Acemoğlu, Daron. 2010. “Growth and Institutions”. In Durlauf S.N., Blume L.E. (eds) Economic Growt, 107-15. Palgrave Macmillan, London.
  • Akiş, Elife, ve Semanur Soyyiğit. 2020. “Ekonomik Karmaşıklık Düzeyi ve CO2 Emisyonu Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi: ASEAN Ülkeleri Örneği”. Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, 18 (38): 865-85.
  • Antonietti, Roberto, ve Chiara Franco. 2021. “From FDI to Economic Complexity: A Panel Granger Causality Analysis”. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 56: 225-39.
  • Barro, Robert J., ve David B. Gordon. 1983. “Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy”. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12 (1): 101-21.
  • Breusch, Trevor S., ve Adrian R. Pagan. 1980. “The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics”. The Review of Economic Studies, 47 (1): 239-53.
  • Can, Muhlis, ve Buhari Doğan. 2018. “Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisi: Türkiye Örnekleminde Ampirik Bir Analiz”. Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 55 (638): 5-16.
  • Chávez, Juan Carlos, Marco T. Mosqueda, ve Manuel Gómez-Zaldívar. 2017. “Economic Complexity and Regional Growth Performance: Evidence from the Mexican Economy”. Review of Regional Studies, 47 (2): 201-19.
  • Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona, ve Christophe Hurlin. 2012. “Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels”. Economic Modelling, 29 (4): 1450-60.
  • Durlauf, Steven N. 1998. “What Should Policymakers Know About Economic Complexity?” Washington Quarterly, 21 (1): 155-65.
  • Eren, Ercan. 2013. “Kompleksite İktisadı ve Ajan-Temelli Modelleme: Metodolojik Bir Yaklaşım”. Discussion Paper No. 2013/3. Turkish Economic Association, Ankara.
  • Fontana, Magda. 2010. “Can Neoclassical Economics Handle Complexity? The Fallacy of the Oil Spot Dynamic”. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,76 (3): 584-96.
  • Gómez-Zaldívar, Manuel, Irving Llamosas-Rosas, ve Fernando Gómez-Zaldívar. 2021. “The Relationship between Economic Complexity and the Pattern of Foreign Direct Investment Flows among Mexican States”. Review of Regional Studies, 51 (1): 64-88.
  • Güneri, Barbaros. 2019. “Economic Complexity and Economic Performance”. Ph.D. Dissertation, Hacettepe University Graduate School of Social Sciences.
  • Gylfason, Thorvaldur. 2001. “Natural Resources, Education, and Economic Development”. European Economic Review, 45 (4-6): 847-59.
  • Hartmann, Dominik, Miguel R. Guevara, Cristian Jara-Figueroa, Manuel Aristarán, ve César A. Hidalgo. 2017. “Linking Economic Complexity, Institutions and Income inequality”. World Development, 93: 75-93.
  • Hausmann, Ricardo, ve César A. Hidalgo. 2011. “The Network Structure of Economic Output”. Journal of Economic Growth, 16 (4): 309-42.
  • Hidalgo, César A. 2009. “The Dynamics of Economic Complexity and the Product Space Over a 42 Year Period”. CID Working Paper No. 189. Center for International Development Working Papers: Harvard University.
  • Hidalgo, César A., ve Ricardo Hausmann. 2009. “The Building Blocks of Economic Complexity”. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106 (26): 10570-75.
  • Javorcik, Beata S., Alessia Lo Turco, ve Daniela Maggioni. 2018. “New and İmproved: Does FDI Boost Production Complexity in Host Countries?” The Economic Journal, 128 (614): 2507-37.
  • Khan, Hameed, Umair Khan, ve Muhammad Asif Khan. 2020. “Causal Nexus Between Economic Complexity and FDI: Empirical Evidence From Time Series Analysis”. The Chinese Economy, 53 (5): 374-94.
  • Li, Xiaoying, ve Xiaming Liu. 2005. “Foreign Direct İnvestment And Economic Growth: An İncreasingly Endogenous Relationship”. World Development, 33 (3): 393-407.
  • Mattoo, Aaditya, Marcelo Olarreaga, ve Kamal Saggi. 2004. “Mode of Foreign Entry, Technology Transfer, and FDI Policy”. Journal Of Development Economics, 75 (1): 95-111.
  • Parks, Richard W. 1967. “Efficient Estimation of a System of Regression Equations When Disturbances are Both Serially and Contemporaneously Correlated”. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 62 (318): 500-509.
  • Pesaran, M. Hashem. 2007. “A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross-Section Dependence”. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2): 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. Hashem, ve Takashi Yamagata. 2008. “Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels”. Journal of Econometrics, 142 (1): 50-93.
  • Pinheiro, Flávio L., Aamena Alshamsi, Dominik Hartmann, Ron Boschma, ve César Hidalgo. 2018. “Shooting Low or High: Do Countries Benefit from Entering Unrelated Activities?” Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography, 18 (07).
  • Romer, Paul M. 1990. “Endogenous Technological Change”. Journal of Political Economy, 98 (5, Part 2): S71-102.
  • Sadeghi, Pegah, Hamid Shahrestani, Kambiz Hojabr Kiani, ve Taghi Torabi. 2020. “Economic Complexity, Human Capital, and FDI Attraction: A Cross Country Analysis”. International Economics, 164: 168-82.
  • Simoes, Alexander James Gaspar, ve César A. Hidalgo. 2011. “The Economic Complexity Observatory: An Analytical Tool For Understanding the Dynamics of Economic Development”. In Workshops at the twenty-fifth AAAI conference on artificial intelligence.
  • Soyyiğit, Semanur, Hüseyin Topuz, ve Halil Özekicioğlu. 2019. “Ekonomik Kompleksite, İhracat ve Sabit Sermaye Yatırımlarının Kişi Başına Düşen Gelir Üzerindeki Etkisi: G-20 Ülkeleri Örneği”. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6 (2): 393-407.
  • Swamy, Paravastu A. V. B. 1970. “Efficient Inference in a Aandom Coefficient Regression Model”. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 311-23.
  • Swart, Julia, ve Lisa Brinkmann. 2020. “Economic Complexity and the Environment: Evidence from Brazil”. In Universities and Sustainable Communities: Meeting the Goals of the Agenda 2030, 3-45. Springer.
  • Şahin, Dilek, ve Savaş Durmuş. 2020. “Yeni Sanayileşen Ülkelerde Ekonomik Kompleksite Düzeyinin Belirleyicileri”. ODÜ Sosyal Bilimler Araştırmaları Dergisi, 10 (2): 334-51.
  • Torun, Mustafa, ve Meral Çabaş. 2019. “Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımlarının Sofistike Ürün Üretimi Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği”. 5. Uluslararası Ekonomi Yönetimi ve Pazar Araştırmaları Kongresi, İstanbul, 27 Eylül 2019, 75-84.
  • Ünzüle, Kurt. 2018. “Küreselleşme ve Ekonomik Kompleksite İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği”. Hitit Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 11 (3): 2195-2202.
  • Wang, Zhi, ve Shang Jin Wei. 2008. “What Accounts for the Rising Sophistication of China’s Exports”. NBER Working Paper. No. 13771. Massachusetts, Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Westerlund, Joakim. 2007. “Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data”. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 69 (6): 709-48.
  • Yalta, A. Yasemin, ve Talha Yalta. 2021. “Determinants of Economic Complexity in MENA Countries”. Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 6 (1): 5-16.
  • Zhu, Lei, ve Bang Nam Jeon. 2007. “International R&D spillovers: Trade, FDI, and information technology as spillover channels”. Review of International Economics, 15 (5): 955-76.
  • Zhu, Shujin, ve Renyu Li. 2017. “Economic Complexity, Human Capital and Economic Growth: Empirical Research Based on cross-Country Panel Data”. Applied Economics, 49, (38): 3815-28.

The Relationship Between Economic Complexity and Foreign Direct Investment: A Panel Data Analysis on BRICS-T Countries

Year 2021, Volume: 16 Issue: 63, 1133 - 1149, 31.07.2021
https://doi.org/10.19168/jyasar.916017

Abstract

This study aims to examine the relationship between economic complexity and foreign direct investment in BRICS-T countries. For this purpose, panel data analysis method is preferred and a data set covering the period 1995-2017 is employed. It is found that the modelled series in this study have cross-sectional dependency and heteroscedasticity. For this reason, the stationarity of the series is tested by using cross-sectional augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, the direction of the relationship between the variables is tested by using Dumitrescu and Hurlin causality test and the size of the relationship between the variables is tested by employing feasible generalized least squares estimator. The analysis findings show that there is a one-way causal relationship towards from economic complexity to foreign direct investment. In addition, empirical evidence has been obtained that economic complexity has a significant positive effect on foreign direct investment.

References

  • Acemoğlu, Daron. 2010. “Growth and Institutions”. In Durlauf S.N., Blume L.E. (eds) Economic Growt, 107-15. Palgrave Macmillan, London.
  • Akiş, Elife, ve Semanur Soyyiğit. 2020. “Ekonomik Karmaşıklık Düzeyi ve CO2 Emisyonu Arasındaki İlişkinin Analizi: ASEAN Ülkeleri Örneği”. Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, 18 (38): 865-85.
  • Antonietti, Roberto, ve Chiara Franco. 2021. “From FDI to Economic Complexity: A Panel Granger Causality Analysis”. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 56: 225-39.
  • Barro, Robert J., ve David B. Gordon. 1983. “Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy”. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12 (1): 101-21.
  • Breusch, Trevor S., ve Adrian R. Pagan. 1980. “The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics”. The Review of Economic Studies, 47 (1): 239-53.
  • Can, Muhlis, ve Buhari Doğan. 2018. “Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Finansal Gelişme İlişkisi: Türkiye Örnekleminde Ampirik Bir Analiz”. Finans Politik & Ekonomik Yorumlar, 55 (638): 5-16.
  • Chávez, Juan Carlos, Marco T. Mosqueda, ve Manuel Gómez-Zaldívar. 2017. “Economic Complexity and Regional Growth Performance: Evidence from the Mexican Economy”. Review of Regional Studies, 47 (2): 201-19.
  • Dumitrescu, Elena-Ivona, ve Christophe Hurlin. 2012. “Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Heterogeneous Panels”. Economic Modelling, 29 (4): 1450-60.
  • Durlauf, Steven N. 1998. “What Should Policymakers Know About Economic Complexity?” Washington Quarterly, 21 (1): 155-65.
  • Eren, Ercan. 2013. “Kompleksite İktisadı ve Ajan-Temelli Modelleme: Metodolojik Bir Yaklaşım”. Discussion Paper No. 2013/3. Turkish Economic Association, Ankara.
  • Fontana, Magda. 2010. “Can Neoclassical Economics Handle Complexity? The Fallacy of the Oil Spot Dynamic”. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization,76 (3): 584-96.
  • Gómez-Zaldívar, Manuel, Irving Llamosas-Rosas, ve Fernando Gómez-Zaldívar. 2021. “The Relationship between Economic Complexity and the Pattern of Foreign Direct Investment Flows among Mexican States”. Review of Regional Studies, 51 (1): 64-88.
  • Güneri, Barbaros. 2019. “Economic Complexity and Economic Performance”. Ph.D. Dissertation, Hacettepe University Graduate School of Social Sciences.
  • Gylfason, Thorvaldur. 2001. “Natural Resources, Education, and Economic Development”. European Economic Review, 45 (4-6): 847-59.
  • Hartmann, Dominik, Miguel R. Guevara, Cristian Jara-Figueroa, Manuel Aristarán, ve César A. Hidalgo. 2017. “Linking Economic Complexity, Institutions and Income inequality”. World Development, 93: 75-93.
  • Hausmann, Ricardo, ve César A. Hidalgo. 2011. “The Network Structure of Economic Output”. Journal of Economic Growth, 16 (4): 309-42.
  • Hidalgo, César A. 2009. “The Dynamics of Economic Complexity and the Product Space Over a 42 Year Period”. CID Working Paper No. 189. Center for International Development Working Papers: Harvard University.
  • Hidalgo, César A., ve Ricardo Hausmann. 2009. “The Building Blocks of Economic Complexity”. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106 (26): 10570-75.
  • Javorcik, Beata S., Alessia Lo Turco, ve Daniela Maggioni. 2018. “New and İmproved: Does FDI Boost Production Complexity in Host Countries?” The Economic Journal, 128 (614): 2507-37.
  • Khan, Hameed, Umair Khan, ve Muhammad Asif Khan. 2020. “Causal Nexus Between Economic Complexity and FDI: Empirical Evidence From Time Series Analysis”. The Chinese Economy, 53 (5): 374-94.
  • Li, Xiaoying, ve Xiaming Liu. 2005. “Foreign Direct İnvestment And Economic Growth: An İncreasingly Endogenous Relationship”. World Development, 33 (3): 393-407.
  • Mattoo, Aaditya, Marcelo Olarreaga, ve Kamal Saggi. 2004. “Mode of Foreign Entry, Technology Transfer, and FDI Policy”. Journal Of Development Economics, 75 (1): 95-111.
  • Parks, Richard W. 1967. “Efficient Estimation of a System of Regression Equations When Disturbances are Both Serially and Contemporaneously Correlated”. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 62 (318): 500-509.
  • Pesaran, M. Hashem. 2007. “A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross-Section Dependence”. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2): 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. Hashem, ve Takashi Yamagata. 2008. “Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels”. Journal of Econometrics, 142 (1): 50-93.
  • Pinheiro, Flávio L., Aamena Alshamsi, Dominik Hartmann, Ron Boschma, ve César Hidalgo. 2018. “Shooting Low or High: Do Countries Benefit from Entering Unrelated Activities?” Papers in Evolutionary Economic Geography, 18 (07).
  • Romer, Paul M. 1990. “Endogenous Technological Change”. Journal of Political Economy, 98 (5, Part 2): S71-102.
  • Sadeghi, Pegah, Hamid Shahrestani, Kambiz Hojabr Kiani, ve Taghi Torabi. 2020. “Economic Complexity, Human Capital, and FDI Attraction: A Cross Country Analysis”. International Economics, 164: 168-82.
  • Simoes, Alexander James Gaspar, ve César A. Hidalgo. 2011. “The Economic Complexity Observatory: An Analytical Tool For Understanding the Dynamics of Economic Development”. In Workshops at the twenty-fifth AAAI conference on artificial intelligence.
  • Soyyiğit, Semanur, Hüseyin Topuz, ve Halil Özekicioğlu. 2019. “Ekonomik Kompleksite, İhracat ve Sabit Sermaye Yatırımlarının Kişi Başına Düşen Gelir Üzerindeki Etkisi: G-20 Ülkeleri Örneği”. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6 (2): 393-407.
  • Swamy, Paravastu A. V. B. 1970. “Efficient Inference in a Aandom Coefficient Regression Model”. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 311-23.
  • Swart, Julia, ve Lisa Brinkmann. 2020. “Economic Complexity and the Environment: Evidence from Brazil”. In Universities and Sustainable Communities: Meeting the Goals of the Agenda 2030, 3-45. Springer.
  • Şahin, Dilek, ve Savaş Durmuş. 2020. “Yeni Sanayileşen Ülkelerde Ekonomik Kompleksite Düzeyinin Belirleyicileri”. ODÜ Sosyal Bilimler Araştırmaları Dergisi, 10 (2): 334-51.
  • Torun, Mustafa, ve Meral Çabaş. 2019. “Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımlarının Sofistike Ürün Üretimi Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği”. 5. Uluslararası Ekonomi Yönetimi ve Pazar Araştırmaları Kongresi, İstanbul, 27 Eylül 2019, 75-84.
  • Ünzüle, Kurt. 2018. “Küreselleşme ve Ekonomik Kompleksite İlişkisi: Türkiye Örneği”. Hitit Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 11 (3): 2195-2202.
  • Wang, Zhi, ve Shang Jin Wei. 2008. “What Accounts for the Rising Sophistication of China’s Exports”. NBER Working Paper. No. 13771. Massachusetts, Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Westerlund, Joakim. 2007. “Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data”. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 69 (6): 709-48.
  • Yalta, A. Yasemin, ve Talha Yalta. 2021. “Determinants of Economic Complexity in MENA Countries”. Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 6 (1): 5-16.
  • Zhu, Lei, ve Bang Nam Jeon. 2007. “International R&D spillovers: Trade, FDI, and information technology as spillover channels”. Review of International Economics, 15 (5): 955-76.
  • Zhu, Shujin, ve Renyu Li. 2017. “Economic Complexity, Human Capital and Economic Growth: Empirical Research Based on cross-Country Panel Data”. Applied Economics, 49, (38): 3815-28.
There are 40 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Can Karabıyık 0000-0002-7255-7946

Publication Date July 31, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 16 Issue: 63

Cite

APA Karabıyık, C. (2021). Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, 16(63), 1133-1149. https://doi.org/10.19168/jyasar.916017
AMA Karabıyık C. Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. July 2021;16(63):1133-1149. doi:10.19168/jyasar.916017
Chicago Karabıyık, Can. “Ekonomik Kompleksite Ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 16, no. 63 (July 2021): 1133-49. https://doi.org/10.19168/jyasar.916017.
EndNote Karabıyık C (July 1, 2021) Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 16 63 1133–1149.
IEEE C. Karabıyık, “Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi”, Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, vol. 16, no. 63, pp. 1133–1149, 2021, doi: 10.19168/jyasar.916017.
ISNAD Karabıyık, Can. “Ekonomik Kompleksite Ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 16/63 (July 2021), 1133-1149. https://doi.org/10.19168/jyasar.916017.
JAMA Karabıyık C. Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. 2021;16:1133–1149.
MLA Karabıyık, Can. “Ekonomik Kompleksite Ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, vol. 16, no. 63, 2021, pp. 1133-49, doi:10.19168/jyasar.916017.
Vancouver Karabıyık C. Ekonomik Kompleksite ve Doğrudan Yabancı Sermaye Yatırımları İlişkisi: BRICS-T Ülkeleri Üzerine Bir Panel Veri Analizi. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. 2021;16(63):1133-49.