İklim Tehlike ve Risklerinden Kadınların Etkilenebilirlik Düzeylerinin Belirlenmesine Yönelik Türkiye Örneğinde Etki Zinciri Analizi

Year 2024, Volume: 10 Issue: 1, 55 - 84, 28.06.2024

Zeynep Eren , Süleyman Toy

https://doi.org/10.21798/kadem.2024.146

Abstract

İklim değişikliği kaynaklı tehlike ve risklerden kadınların etkilenebilirlik seviyesinin yüksek olduğu literatürdeki vaka çalışmalarından ve özellikle uluslararası kurumlarca hazırlanan raporların içeriğinden anlaşılmaktadır. Bunun yanında, yine literatürde iklim değişikliğine karşı alınacak azaltım ve uyum önlemlerinin hem geliştirilmesinde hem de uygulanmasında kadınların katılım sağlamasının daha olumlu sonuçlar vereceğinden de bahsedilmektedir. Hükûmetler arası İklim Değişikliği Paneli (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC) raporlarında tarif edilen etki zinciri analizleri dikkate alındığında belirli faktör grupları altında kadınların iklim değişikliğinden etkilenebilirlik seviyelerinin belirlenmesinde kullanılabilecek parametrelerin veri haline getirilmesini ve bu verilerin ağırlıklandırılarak somut göstergelerle etkilenebilirliğin belirlenmesini içeren metot ve veri seti önerisinde bulunmaya ihtiyaç olduğu görülmektedir. Bu nedenle bu çalışmanın amacı, çeşitli sektör ve temaların iklim değişikliğinden etkilenebilirliğini analiz etmek amacıyla ortaya konulmuş metodolojiden yararlanarak Türkiye’de kadınların etkilenebilirlik analizine ait etki zincirinde kullanılabilecek parametrelerin, bunlara ait verilerin ve veri kaynaklarının önerilmesidir. Bu amaçla parametre sınıflarının en kapsayıcı şekilde belirlenmesi için başlangıçta özel sektör firmalarının dış çevre analizinde kullanılan PESTEL tekniğinin iklim değişikliğine uyum kapsamında yapılan etki zinciri analizi ile birleştirilmesinden oluşan bir metodoloji tercih edilmiş ve kadınların iklim değişikliğinden etkilenebilirliklerine dair somut ve karşılaştırmaya olanak verecek modelleme çalışmalarına katkı sağlaması açısından bir veri seti tarif edilmiştir.

Keywords

İklim Değişikliği, Etki Zinciri Analizi, Etkilenebilirlik, Kadın, PESTEL Analizi

Impact Chain Analysis on Determining the Vulnerability Levels of Women to Climate Hazards and Risks: A Case Study of Türkiye

Abstract

The case studies in the literature and the reports prepared by international organizations indicate that the vulnerability level of women to climate change-related hazards and risks is considerably high. In addition, it is mentioned in the literature that women’s participation in both the development and implementation of mitigation and adaptation actions to be taken against climate change will yield more positive outcomes. It is seen when considered the impact chain analyses described in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that there is still a need to propose methods and data sets which involve the transformation of the required parameters to be used for the determination of women’s vulnerability levels to climate change under specific factor groups into data and the determination of the vulnerability levels through concrete indicators by weighting these data. Therefore, the aim of this study is to propose parameters, data, and data sources that can be used in the impact chain analysis of women’s vulnerability in Turkey using the methodology developed to analyse the vulnerability of various sectors and themes to climate change. For this purpose, a methodology combining the PESTEL technique, initially used in the external environmental analysis of private sector companies, with the impact chain analysis conducted within the scope of climate change to determine the parameter classes in the most comprehensive way and a data set is described to contribute to the modelling studies that provide concrete and comparative insights into the women’s vulnerability to climate change.

Keywords

Climate Change, Impact Chain Analysis, Vulnerability, Women, PESTEL Analysis

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