Prediction of Electricity Consumption in Türkiye with Time Series

Year 2023, Volume: 4 Issue: 1, 32 - 40, 10.10.2023

Zeydin Pala

Abstract

Today, electrical energy is the cornerstone of modern life and plays a large role in many industries, activities and areas of life. It facilitates and improves many aspects of life and enables the functioning of modern society. The widespread use of electrical energy in Türkiye, in a sense, is an indicator of its progress towards a modern society. In this study, annual estimations of the electrical energy consumed per capita in Türkiye between 1965-2022 were made with the help of deep learning and statistics-based models and the results were evaluated with the MAPE metric. In addition, the positive and negative aspects of electricity consumption for Türkiye were discussed.

Keywords

Electrical energy consumption, time series, deep learning models, statistical based models, time-series

Türkiye'de Elektrik Tüketiminin Zaman Serisiyle Tahmini

Abstract

Günümüzde elektrik enerjisi modern yaşamın temel taşıdır ve birçok endüstride, faaliyette ve yaşam alanında büyük bir rol oynamaktadır. Hayatın birçok yönünü kolaylaştırır ve geliştirir ve modern toplumun işleyişini sağlar. Türkiye'de elektrik enerjisi kullanımının yaygınlaşması bir anlamda çağdaş toplum yolunda ilerlemenin göstergesidir. Bu çalışmada Türkiye'de 1965-2022 yılları arasında kişi başına tüketilen elektrik enerjisinin yıllık tahminleri derin öğrenme ve istatistik tabanlı modeller yardımıyla yapılmış ve sonuçlar MAPE metriği ile değerlendirilmiştir. Ayrıca elektrik tüketiminin Türkiye açısından olumlu ve olumsuz yönleri tartışıldı.

Keywords

Elektrik enerjisi tüketimi, zaman serileri, derin öğrenme modelleri, istatistiksel tabanlı modeller, zaman serileri

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