Labor Force Participation Decision: Discrete Dependent Variable Panel Data Models

Year 2019, Volume: 14 Issue: 2, 315 - 330, 30.08.2019

Canan Güneş

https://doi.org/10.17153/oguiibf.450826

Cited By: 1

Abstract

The labor force participation is important for the growth and
development by increasing the economic activities. This study aims to
investigate the socioeconomic and demographic factors and the effects of 2008 financial crisis
influencing the labor force participation decisions of individuals in working
age using discrete dependent variable panel data models. For this purpose, the
2007-2010 Income and Living Conditions Survey Panel Data Set covering the 2008
crisis is used. Since women’s labor force participation rate in Turkey is low, separate
models are estimated for men and women enabling us to compare the results. According to the findings,
the probability of labor force participation is increasing in both women and men during the crisis. The increase in
labor force participation is due to the increase in unemployment in women and
employment and unemployment in men. Having a university degree is an important determinant
of women’s labor force participation and employment. While being married and
having a child decrease the probability of labor force participation for women,
increase the probability of labor force participation for men.

Keywords

Labor Supply, Labor Force Participation, Discrete Dependent Variable Panel Data Models, Panel Logit Model, Panel Multinomial Logit Model

İşgücüne Katılım Kararı: Nitel Bağımlı Değişkenli Panel Veri Modelleri

Abstract

İşgücüne
katılım, ekonomik faaliyetlerin arttırılıp büyüme ve kalkınmanın sağlanması
açısından önem taşımaktadır. Çalışmanın amacı, çalışma çağında olan bireylerin
işgücüne katılım kararları üzerinde sosyo-ekonomik ve demografik etmenler ile
2008 finans krizinin yarattığı etkileri nitel bağımlı değişkenli panel veri
modelleriyle incelemektir. Bu amaç doğrultusunda çalışmada, 2008 krizini
kapsayan, 2007-2010 Gelir ve Yaşam Koşulları Araştırması Panel Veri Seti
kullanılmaktadır. Türkiye'de kadınların işgücüne katılımının düşük olması
nedeniyle kadın ve erkekler için ayrı modeller tahmin edilmekte ve karşılaştırma
yapılabilmesi sağlanmaktadır. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, kriz döneminde hem
kadın hem de erkeklerde işgücüne katılma olasılığı artmaktadır. İşgücüne katılımdaki
artış, kadınlarda işsizliğin erkeklerde ise hem istihdam hem de işsizliğin
artması ile ortaya çıkmaktadır. Üniversite mezunu olmak, kadınların işgücüne
katılımlarında ve istihdamda olmalarında önemli bir belirleyicidir. Evlilik ve
hanede küçük çocuk olması kadınların işgücüne katılım olasılığını azaltırken,
erkeklerinkini arttırmaktadır.

Keywords

İşgücü arzı, İşgücüne Katılım, Nitel Bağımlı Değişkenli Panel Veri Modelleri, Panel Logit Model, Panel Multinomial Logit Model

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