Response of cereal supply in Burkina Faso to the introduction of agribusiness

Year 2019, Volume: 34 Issue: 3, 259 - 267, 15.10.2019

Babou Sogue İbrahim Yılmaz , Handan Akçaöz

https://doi.org/10.7161/omuanajas.447691

Abstract

 Since 1990, cereal production in the former Sissili in Burkina Faso has experienced sustained growth, which some consider extensive despite the introduction of agribusiness around 1995. This study was therefore conducted to identify the determinants of this growth and the impact of the agrobusiness introduction on these. For this purpose the Nerlove production-function was used to identify the determinants of production of the main cereals from time series data. In addition, the breakpoint in average tests of Alexandersson on these series were applied to detect the changes induced by the introduction of agribusiness. According to this study, the production of different cereals depends on areas planted, rainfall, past production and not price. In addition, the main cereal (corn) exploited by agribusiness men has not experienced a average-break in its yield. Finally, the price does not influence the quantities produced and reflects that production is always subsistence and not profit-oriented despite the introduction of agribusiness.

Keywords

Nerlove Model, Breakpoint in average, Cereal, Former Sissili

Burkina Faso’daki ticari tarım işletmelerinin tahıl sektörüne girişinin arz duyarlılığı

Abstract

Burkina Faso’da eski Sissili’de 1990'dan beri tahıl üretimi
artmaktadır. Bu üretim artışının nedeni 1995 yılından itibaren büyük
işletmelerin artışı ve gelişimi olarak düşünülebilir. Bu çalışma, bu büyümenin
belirleyicilerini tanımlamak ve tarımsal işletmelerin büyüme üzerindeki
etkisini belirlemek için yapılmıştır. Bu amaçla, zaman serisi verileri
kullanılarak belli başlı tahılların üretiminde etkili olan faktörleri
belirlemek için Nerlove üretim fonksiyonu kullanılmıştır. Ayrıca bu zaman
serileri üzerinde Alexandersson’un ortalama testlerdeki kesme noktası, tarımsal
işletmelerden kaynaklanan değişiklikleri belirlemek için uygulanmıştır. Bu
çalışmaya göre farklı tahılların üretimi fiyata değil, ekilen alan, yağış ve
geçmişteki üretime bağlıdır. Buna ek olarak, temel ürün olan mısır üretiminde
üreticiler mısır veriminde bir ortalama değeri elde edememişlerdir.  Sonuç olarak, fiyat üretim miktarını
etkilememekte, büyük işletmelerin sektöre giriş yapmasına rağmen üretim hala
kâr odaklı olmayıp, geçimlik üretim şeklindedir.

Keywords

Nerlove model, Breakpoint in average, Tahıl, , Sissili

References

• Alexandersson, H., 1986. A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data. International Journal of Climatology, 6(6): 661–675.
• Burkina Faso, 2000. Annuaire statistique 1999. Rapport d’enquête d’INSD, Décembre, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Burkina Faso, 2009. Annuaire statistique 2008. Rapport d’enquête d’INSD, Avril, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Burkina Faso, 2011. Résultats définitifs de la campagne agricole 2009/2010. Rapport d’enquêtes Permanente de la DPSAA, Edition 2011, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Burkina Faso, 2013. Annuaire des prix des produits agricoles 2012. Rapport d’enquête de la SONAGESS, Novembre 2013, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Burkina Faso, 2014. Annuaire statistique 2013. Rapports d’enquête d’INSD, Décembre, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Burkina Faso, 2015a. Résultats définitifs de la campagne agricole 2014/2015 et perspective de la situatıon alimentaire et nutritionnelle. Rapport général, Mars, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Burkina Faso, 2015b. Annuaire des prix des produits agricoles 2014. Rapport d’enquête de la SONAGESS, Mai, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso, Burkina Faso.
• Carracillo, C., Delvaux, F., 2002. L’appât du grain : L’agrobusiness - Quels enjeux pour l’agriculture paysanne? Entraide et Fraternité. Bruxelles.
• Dai, A., Peter, J.L., Kevin, E.T., Mike, H., Philip, D.J., Pingping, X., 2004. Comment the recent sahel drought is real. International Journal of Climatology. 11(24): 1323-1331.
• Dieng, A., 2006. Impacts des politiques agricoles sur l'offre céréalière au Sénégal, de 1960 à 2003: Evaluation à partir d'un modèle d'analyse statistique par zones agro-écologiques. Thèse, UFR des Sciences Économiques, Université de Bourgogne, France.
• FAO and ICRISAT, 1997. L'économie mondiale du sorgho et du mil : Faits, Tendances et Perspectives. FAO, Rome, Italia.
• FIDA, 2001. Bilan sur les techniques de production, la transformation et commercialisation des mils et sorghos au Burkina Faso: Fédération Nationale des Industries Agro-alimentaires et de Transformation du Burkina. Initiative Mil-Sorgho, Octobre, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Fraval, P., 2000. Eléments pour l’analyse économique des filières agricoles en Afrique sub-saharienne. Ministère des Affaires Etrangères, Direction générale de la coopération internationale et du développement, France.
• GRAF, 2011. Agrobusiness au Burkina Faso Quels effets sur le foncier et la modernisation agricole?. Ouagadougou-Amsterdam, Janvier, GRAF, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
• Henry, B.M., 1945. Nonparametric Tests Against Trend. Econometrica, 13(3): 245-259.
• Hirsch, R.M., James, R.S., 1984. A Nonparametric Trend Test for Seasonal Data With Serial Dependence. Water Resources Research, 20(6): 727–732.
• Hossein, A., Cummings, J.T.,1977. Estimating Agricultural Supply Response with the Nerlove Model. International Economic Review, 18(2): 257-292.
• Janssen, M., Perthel, D., 1990. Seasonal and regional differences in agricultural supply response in Benin. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 18(4): 407–420.
• Kaboré, N. P., Ouedraogo, A., Some, L., Millogo-Rasolodimby, J., 2015. The driving factors of dry cereals production in the sudano-sahelian zone of Burkina Faso, 11(1): 214-230.
• Kaghoma, C.K., 2009. Estimation de la réponse de l’offre agricole au Bénin: quelques résultats préliminaires. Recherche Africaine, 25-26 (Decembre): 225-237.
• Kendall, S.M., Stuart, A., 1942. The advenced theory of statistics. Volume 3: Design and Analysis, and Time-Series’ Macmillan; 4th edition. (March 13, 1983): 7-780.
• Khodja, H., Lubes, H., 1996. Recherche d'une rupture en moyenne dans un modèle multilinéaire gaussien: Application à une analyse spatio-temporelle de données pluviométriques en Afrique de l’ouest. XIIèmes journées hydrologiques de l’ORSTOM, 10-11 Octobre, Montpellier, France.
• LeBihan, H., 2004. Tests de rupture: une application au PIB tendanciel français. Economie and prévision, n°163, 2004-2, Élargissement de l'Union Européenne,133-154.
• McClelland, J.W., Vroomen, H., 1988. Stationarity assumptions and Technical Change in Supply Response analyses. Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 40(4): 20–24.
• Nerlove, M., 1956. Estimates of the Elasticities of Supply of Selected of Agricultural Commodities. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 38(2): 496-509.
• Nerlove, M., 1958. Distributed lags and Estimation of Long-Run Supply and Demand Elasticities: Theoretical Considerations. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 40(2): 301-310.
• Nerlove, M., 1967. Distributed Lags and Unobserved Components in Economics Time Series in Ten Economic Studies. In the Tradition of Irving Fisher, W. Fellner, (ed.), New York, John Wiley and Sons.
• Nerlove, M., 1979. The Dynamics of Supply: Retrospect and Prospect. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 65(5): 874-888.
• Nerlove, M., 2002. Essays in Panel Data Econometrics, Second edition, Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press.
• Nicholson, S.E., 2005. On the question of the “recovery” of the rains in the West African Sahel. Journal of Arid Environments, 63(3): 615-641.
• Ouedraogo, M., 2003. Les nouveaux acteurs et la promotion des activités agro-sylvo-pastorales dans le sud du Burkina Faso : Faux départ ou inexpérience ?, IIED, dossier n°118.
• Rostow, W.W., 1960. The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto, Third edition, Cambridge University, Cambridge University Press, USA.
• Sadoulet, E., De Janvry, A., 1995. Quantitative Development Policy Analysis: in The Profit Function Approach, The John Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, USA.
• Salarijazi, M., Akhond-Ali, A.M., Adib, A., Daneshkhah, A., 2012. Trend and change-point detection for the annual stream-flow series of the Karun River at the Ahvaz hydrometric station, African Journal of Agricultural Research, 7(32): 4540-4552.