Investigation of annual droughts of Boyabat region using different meteorological drought indices

Year 2022, Volume: 5 Issue: 1, 1 - 8, 30.06.2022

Utku Zeybekoğlu , Ahmet Şahin

https://doi.org/10.51764/smutgd.993652

Abstract

Drought, which is a natural disaster that increases its effects day by day, can cause significant damage. Several drought indices were carried out to determine drought. By means of these indices, drought can be determined and necessary precautions can be taken against drought. In this study, an annual drought survey was conducted using the rainfall records of the Boyabat meteorological observation station in the Kizilirmak River Basin in the 1976-2017. In the drought analysis, the meteorological drought indices Z-Score Index, China-Z Index and Modified China-Z Index were used. The dry and wet periods of the station were determined by means of meteorological drought indices, and the driest and wettest years were also determined. In the study, which also examined the compatibility between indices, it was determined that the coefficient of determination values of MCZI-ZSI and MCZI-CZI were higher than the ZSI-CZI. Drought events in Boyabat region should be investigated using different indices.

Keywords

Drought, Drought Monitoring, Drought Indices, Boyabat

Boyabat Yöresi Yıllık Kuraklıklarının Farklı Meteorolojik Kuraklık İndisleri Kullanılarak Araştırılması

Abstract

Etkilerini her geçen gün artıran bir doğal afet olan kuraklık, önemli zararlar verebilmektedir. Kuraklığı belirlemek için çeşitli kuraklık indeksleri yapılmıştır. Bu endeksler sayesinde kuraklık belirlenebilir ve kuraklığa karşı gerekli önlemler alınabilir. Bu çalışmada, Kızılırmak Havzasında Boyabat meteorolojik gözlem istasyonuna ait 1976-2017 yağış kayıtları kullanılarak yıllık kuraklık araştırması yapılmıştır. Kuraklık analizinde meteorolojik kuraklık endeksleri olan Z-Score Index, China-Z Index ve Modified China-Z Index kullanılmıştır. İstasyonun kurak ve yağışlı dönemleri meteorolojik kuraklık indeksleri aracılığıyla belirlenmiş, ayrıca en kurak ve en yağışlı yıllar da belirlenmiştir. Endeksler arası uyumun da incelendiği çalışmada, MCZI-ZSI ve MCZI-CZI korelasyon katsayısı ZSI-CZI’ye göre daha yüksek olduğu belirlendi. Boyabat bölgesindeki kuraklık olayları farklı endeksler kullanılarak araştırılmalıdır.

Keywords

Kuraklık, Kuraklık İzleme, Kuraklık Endeksleri, Boyabat

References

• Akar, Ö., Oğuz, İ., & Yürekli, K. (2015). İkikara Havzası’nın kurak ve ıslak dönemlerinin bazı kuraklık indisleri yardımıyla karşılaştırılması. Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi, 32(2), 7-13.
• Arslan, O. (2017). Investigation of trends in meteorological droughts in Niğde Province. Anadolu University Journal of Science and Technology A – Applied Sciences and Engineering, 18(5), 919-928. https://doi.org/10.18038/aubtda.293125
• Bacanli, Ü, Dİkbas, F., & Baran T. (2011). Meteorological drought analysis case study: Central Anatolia. Desalination and Water Treatment, 26(1-3), 14-23. https://doi.org/10.5004/dwt.2011.2105
• Bacanlı, Ü., & Kargı, P. (2019). Uzun ve kısa süreli periyotlarda kuraklık analizi: Bursa örneği. Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi, 5(1), 166-174. https://doi.org/10.21324/dacd.429391
• Bakanoğulları, F. (2020). SPEI ve SPI indisleri kullanılarak İstanbul-Damlıca Deresi Havzasında kuraklık şiddetlerinin analizi. Toprak Su Dergisi, 9(1), 1-10 https://doi.org/10.21657/topraksu.566693
• Beden, N., Demir, V., & Ülke Keskin, A. (2020). Samsun İlinde SPI ve PNI Kuraklık İndekslerinin Eğilim Analizi. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Mühendislik Fakültesi Fen ve Mühendislik Dergisi, 22(64), 107-116. https://doi.org/10.21205/deufmd.2020226411
• Boustani, A., & Ulke A. (2020). Investigation of meteorological drought indices for environmental assessment of Yesilirmak Region. Journal of Environmental Treatment Techniques, 8(1), 374-381.
• Bushra, N., Rohli, R. V., Lam, N. S. N., Zou, L. L., Mostafiz, R. B., & Mihunov, V. (2019). The relationship between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and drought indices in the South Central United States. Nat Hazards, 96(2), 791-808. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03569-5
• Dikici, M. (2019). Asi Havzası’nda (Türkiye) kuraklık analizi. Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi, 5(1), 22-40. https://doi.org/10.21324/dacd.426784
• Dogan, S., Berktay, A., & Singh, V. P. (2012). Comparison of multi-monthly rainfall-based drought severity indices, with application to semi-arid Konya closed basin, Turkey. Journal of Hydrology, 470-471, 255-268. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.09.003
• Gümüş, V., Başak, A., & Oruç, N. (2016). Standartlaştırılmış Yağış İndeksi (SYİ) yöntemi ile Şanlıurfa istasyonunun kuraklık analizi. Harran Üniversitesi Mühendislik Dergisi, 1(1), 36-44
• Hınıs, M. (2013). Bütünleşik kuraklık indeksi ile Aksarayda hidrometeorolojik kuraklık analizi. Gazi Üniversitesi Mühendislik Mimarlık Fakültesi Dergisi, 28(4), 711-721.
• Jain, V. K., Pandey, R. P., Jain, M. K., & Byun, H. R. (2015). Comparison of drought ındices for appraisal of drought characteristics in the Ken River Basin. Weather and Climate Extremes, 8, 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2015.05.002
• Karabulut, M. (2020). Standart yağış indeksi kullanılarak Sivas İl’inde kuraklık analizi. Uluslararası Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi / The Journal of International Social Research, 13(71), 216-230.
• Kiymaz, S., Güneş, V., & Asar, M. (2011). Standartlaştırılmış yağış indeksi ile Seyfe Gölünün kuraklık dönemlerinin belirlenmesi. Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi Ziraat Fakültesi Dergisi, 28(1), 91-102.
• Komuscu, A. Ü. (2001). An analysis of recent drought conditions in Turkey in relation to circulation patterns. Drought Network News, 13(2-3), 5-6.
• Kumar, U., Singh, S., Bisht, J. K., & Kant, L. (2021). Use of meteorological data for identification of agricultural drought in Kumaon region of Uttarakhand. J Earth Syst Sci, 130(3), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-021-01622-1
• Kutiel, H., Maheras, P., & Guika, S. (1996). Circulation and extreme rainfall condition in The Eastern Mediterranean during the last century. International Journal of Climatology, 16(1), 73-92. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(199601)16:1<73::AID-JOC997>3.0.CO;2-G
• Li, F., Li, H., Lu, W., Zhang, G., & Kim, J-C. (2019). Meteorological drought monitoring in Northeastern China using multiple indices. Water, 11(1), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.3390/w11010072
• McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., & Kleist, J. (1993). The relationship of drought frequency and duration of time scales. 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society, Anaheim, CA.
• McKee, T. B., Doesken, N. J., & Kleist, J. (1995). Drought monitoring with multiple time scales. 9th Conference on Applied Climatology, Dallas, Texas.
• Mishra, A. & Singh, V. (2011). A review of drought concepts. Journal of Hydrology, 391(1-2), 202–216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012
• Morid, S., Smakhtin, V., & Moghaddasi, M. (2006). Comparison of seven meteorological indices for drought monitoring in Iran. International Journal of Climatology, 26(7), 971-985. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1264
• Oğuz, K., Pekin, M., & Çamalan, G. (2021). Muğla ilinde 1960-2018 dönemi kuraklık analizi. Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi, 7(1), 89-100. https://doi.org/10.21324/dacd.774955
• Oğuztürk, G., & Yıldız, O. (2014). Drought analysis for different time periods in the city of Kırıkkale. International Journal of Engineering Research and Development, 6(2), 19-25 https://doi.org/10.29137/umagd.346084
• Palmer, W. C. (1945). Meteorological drought. Research paper no. 45. US Weather Bureau, Washington DC.
• Şener, E., & Şener, Ş. (2021). GIS based spatiotemporal comparation between SPI and CZI drought index: A case study of Burdur Lake Basin. Journal of Natural Hazards and Environment 7(1), 41-58. https://doi.org/10.21324/dacd.800036
• Sırdaş, S., & Şen, Z. (2003). Spatio-temporal drought analysis in the Trakya region, Turkey. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48(5), 809-820.
• Sırdaş, S. (2002). Meteorolojik kuraklık modellemesi ve Türkiye uygulaması. İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Doktora Tezi, İstanbul.
• Sonmez, F. K., Komuscu, A. U., Erkan, A., & Turgu, E. (2005). An analysis of spatial and temporal dimension of drought vulnerability in Turkey using the standardized precipitation index. Nat Hazards, 35(2), 243–264. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-004-5704-7
• Tigkas, D., Vangelis, H., & Tsakiris, G. (2019). Drought characterisation based on an agriculture oriented standardised precipitation index. Theor Appl Climatol, 135(3-4), 1435–1447. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-018-2451-3
• Tsakiris, G., Pangalou, D., & Vangelis, H. (2007). Regional drought assessment based on the Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI). Water Resour Manage, 21(5), 821-833. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-006-9105-4
• Turkes, M. (1996). Spatial and Temporal analysis of annual rainfall variations in Turkey. International Journal of Climatology, 16, 1057-1076, 1996.
• Türkeş, M. (2007). Türkiye’nin kuraklığa, çölleşmeye eğilimi ve iklim değişikliği açısından değerlendirilmesi. Pankobirlik, 91, 38-47.
• Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Beguería, S., & López-Moreno, J. I. (2010). A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming: the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index. J. Clim. 23(7), 1696–1718. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2909.1
• Wilhite, D. A. (2000) Drought: A global assessment. Routledge Press, London and New York, Volume Ι.
• Willeke, G., Hosking, J. R. M., Wallis, J. R., & Guttman N. B. (1994). The national drought atlas. Institute for Water Resources Report 94-NDS-4, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers.
• Wu, H., Hayes, M.J., Weiss, A., & Hu, Q. (2001). An evaluation of the Standardized Precipitation Index, the China‐ Z Index and the statistical Z‐ Score. Int J Climatol, 21(6), 745-758. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.658
• Yaltı, S., & Aksu, H. (2019). Drought analysis of Iğdır Turkey. Turkish Journal of Agriculture – Food Science and Technology, 7(12), 2227-2232. https://doi.org/10.24925/turjaf.v7i12.2227 2232.3004
• Yao, Z., & Ding, Y. (1990). Climate Statistics. Meteorological Press: Beijing, China (In Chinese).
• Yıldız, O. (2014). Spatiotemporal analysis of historical droughts in the Central Anatolia, Turkey. Gazi University Journal of Science, 27(4), 1177-1184.
• Yıldız, O. (2009). Assessing temporal and spatial characteristics of droughts in the Hirfanli Dam Basin, Turkey. Scientific Research and Essays, 4(4), 249-255. https://doi.org/10.5897/SRE.9000212
• Zarei, A. et al. (2017) Comparison of meteorological indices for spatio-tem-poral analysis of drought in Chahrmahal Bakhtiyari Province in Iran. Hrvatski meteorološki časopis, 52(52),13-26.
• Zeybekoğlu, U., Alrayess, H., & Ülke Keskin, A. (2018). Meteorological drought analysis in Sinop Turkey. Proceedings of the 13th International Congress on Advances in Civil Engineering, 1-9.