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Türkiye'de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008)

Year 2010, Volume: 13 Issue: 13, - , 01.12.2010

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de yabancı ziyaretçi harcamaları ile turizm gelirleri ilişkisi 1970–2008 dönemi için incelenmiştir. Bu bağlamda 1970–2008 dönemi için ADF, Eş-bütünleşme ve Nedensellik analizleri yapılmış ve elde edilen deneye dayalı sonuçlar ışığında değişkenler arasında ilişkiler araştırılmıştır. Analiz sonuçları göstermektedir ki, yabancı ziyaretçiler ile turizm gelirleri arasında uzun dönemde karşılıklı nedensellik ilişkisi söz konusudur.

References

  • Akal, M. (2003), “Forcasting Turkey’s Tourism Revenues by ARMAX Model”, Tourism Management, 25(5), s. 533.
  • Akan, Y., İ. Arslan ve C. Işık (2008), “The Impact of Tourism on Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey”, Journal of Tourism, 9(2), 47–69.
  • Balaguer ve Cantavella-Jorda (2002), “L. Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: The Spanish case”, Applied Economics, (34), 877–884.
  • Bhagwati J.ve T. Srinivason (eds.) (1979), “Trade Policy and Development”, In: International Economic Policy: Theory and Evidence, Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, s. 11.
  • Çımat, A. ve O. Bahar (2003), “Turizm Sektörünün Türkiye Ekonomisi İçindeki Yeri ve Önemi Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme”, Akdeniz Üniversiteis, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 3(6): 1–18.
  • Dickey, D.A. ve W.A. Fuller (1979), “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, (74): 427–31.
  • Dieke, Peter U.C. (2004), “Tourism in Africa’s Economic Development: Policy Implication,” Management Decision, (41), 3, 287–295.
  • Dritsakis, N. (2004), “Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: An empirical investigation for Greece using causality analysis”, Tourism Economics, 10 (3), 305–316.
  • Durbarry, R. (2002), “The economic contribution of tourism in Mauritius”, Annals of Tourism Research, 29, (3), 862–865.
  • Engle, R.F. ve C.W.J. Granger (1987), “Cointegration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing”, Econometrica, (50), 987–1007.
  • Eugenio-Martin, J.L. ve N.M. Morales (2004), “Tourism and economic growth in Latin American countries: A panel data approach”, Social Science Research Network Electronic Paper, Nota de Lavoro 26, <http://ssrn.com/abstract=504482>, 27.06.2010.
  • Fayissa, B., N. Christian ve B. Tadasse (2007), “The Impact of Tourism on Economic Growth and Development in Africa”, Department of Economics & Finance, Working Paper Series, Murfreesboro, TN 37132,
  • Ghali, A. (1976), “Tourism and economic growth: An empirical study”, Economic Development ve Cultural Change, (24), 527–538.
  • Granger, C.W.J. (1969) “Investigating causal relations by econometric models ve cross spectral methods”, Econometrica, (37), 424–438.
  • Granger, C.W.J. ve P. Newbold (1974), “Spurious regressions in econometrics”, Journal of Econometrics, (2), 111–120.
  • Gujarati, D.N. (1999), Temel Ekonometri, (Çev. Ü. Şenesen ve G.G. Şenesen), İstanbul, Literatür Yayınları.
  • Gunduz, L. and A. Hatemi (2005), “Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey?”, Applied Economics Letters, 12, 499–504.
  • Johansen, S. (1988), “Statistical analysis of cointegrating vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, (12), 231–254.
  • Johansen, S. ve K. Juselius (1990), “Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on co-integration with applications to the demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 52(3), 169–210.
  • Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models”, Econometrica, (59), 1551–1580.
  • Katircioglu, S.T. (2009), “Revisiting the tourism-led-growth hypothesis for Turkey using the bounds test and Johansen approach for cointegration”, Tourism Management, Volume 30, Issue 1, 17–20.
  • Kim, Hyun Jeong-Ming-Hsiang Chen and SooCheong “Shawn” Jang (2006), “Tourism expansion and economic development: The case of Taiwan”, Tourism Management, (27), 925–933.
  • Lanza, A., P. Templec ve G. Urgad (2003), “The implications of tourism specialization in the long-run: An econometric analysis for 13 OECD economies”, Tourism Management, (24), 315–321.
  • Lee, C. ve K Kwon (1995), “Importance of secondary impact of foreign tourism receipts on the South Korean economy”, Journal of Travel Research, (34), 50–54.
  • Manuel Vanegas Sr. ve Robertico Croes (2007), “Tourism, Economic Expansion and Poverty in Nicaragua: Investigating Cointegration and Causal Relations”, Staff Paper: 07–10
  • Narayan, P.K. (2004), “Economic impact of tourism on Fiji’s economy: Empirical evidence from the computable general equilibrium model”, Tourism Economics, (10), 419–433.
  • Oh, Chi-Ok (2005), “The contribution of tourism development to economic growth in the Korean economy”, Tourism Management, (26), 39–44.
  • Ongan, S. ve D.M. Demiroz (2005) “The contribution of tourism to the long-run Turkish economic growth, Ekonomický časopis”, Journal of Economics, 53 (9), 880–894.
  • Phillips, P. ve P. Perron (1988), “Testing for a unit root in time series regression”, Biometrica, (75), 333–46.
  • Sinclair, M.T. (1998), “Tourism and Economic Development: A Survey”, Journal of Development Studies, 34 (5), 1–51.
  • WTTC - The World Travel and Tourism Council (2005), Annual reports, progress and priorities 2004/05.

Türkiye'de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008)

Year 2010, Volume: 13 Issue: 13, - , 01.12.2010

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de yabancı ziyaretçi harcamaları ile turizm gelirleri ilişkisi 1970–2008 dönemi için incelenmiştir. Bu bağlamda 1970–2008 dönemi için ADF, Eş-bütünleşme ve Nedensellik analizleri yapılmış ve elde edilen deneye dayalı sonuçlar ışığında değişkenler arasında ilişkiler araştırılmıştır. Analiz sonuçları göstermektedir ki, yabancı ziyaretçiler ile turizm gelirleri arasında uzun dönemde karşılıklı nedensellik ilişkisi söz konusudur.

References

  • Akal, M. (2003), “Forcasting Turkey’s Tourism Revenues by ARMAX Model”, Tourism Management, 25(5), s. 533.
  • Akan, Y., İ. Arslan ve C. Işık (2008), “The Impact of Tourism on Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey”, Journal of Tourism, 9(2), 47–69.
  • Balaguer ve Cantavella-Jorda (2002), “L. Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: The Spanish case”, Applied Economics, (34), 877–884.
  • Bhagwati J.ve T. Srinivason (eds.) (1979), “Trade Policy and Development”, In: International Economic Policy: Theory and Evidence, Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, s. 11.
  • Çımat, A. ve O. Bahar (2003), “Turizm Sektörünün Türkiye Ekonomisi İçindeki Yeri ve Önemi Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme”, Akdeniz Üniversiteis, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 3(6): 1–18.
  • Dickey, D.A. ve W.A. Fuller (1979), “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, (74): 427–31.
  • Dieke, Peter U.C. (2004), “Tourism in Africa’s Economic Development: Policy Implication,” Management Decision, (41), 3, 287–295.
  • Dritsakis, N. (2004), “Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: An empirical investigation for Greece using causality analysis”, Tourism Economics, 10 (3), 305–316.
  • Durbarry, R. (2002), “The economic contribution of tourism in Mauritius”, Annals of Tourism Research, 29, (3), 862–865.
  • Engle, R.F. ve C.W.J. Granger (1987), “Cointegration and error correction: Representation, estimation and testing”, Econometrica, (50), 987–1007.
  • Eugenio-Martin, J.L. ve N.M. Morales (2004), “Tourism and economic growth in Latin American countries: A panel data approach”, Social Science Research Network Electronic Paper, Nota de Lavoro 26, <http://ssrn.com/abstract=504482>, 27.06.2010.
  • Fayissa, B., N. Christian ve B. Tadasse (2007), “The Impact of Tourism on Economic Growth and Development in Africa”, Department of Economics & Finance, Working Paper Series, Murfreesboro, TN 37132,
  • Ghali, A. (1976), “Tourism and economic growth: An empirical study”, Economic Development ve Cultural Change, (24), 527–538.
  • Granger, C.W.J. (1969) “Investigating causal relations by econometric models ve cross spectral methods”, Econometrica, (37), 424–438.
  • Granger, C.W.J. ve P. Newbold (1974), “Spurious regressions in econometrics”, Journal of Econometrics, (2), 111–120.
  • Gujarati, D.N. (1999), Temel Ekonometri, (Çev. Ü. Şenesen ve G.G. Şenesen), İstanbul, Literatür Yayınları.
  • Gunduz, L. and A. Hatemi (2005), “Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey?”, Applied Economics Letters, 12, 499–504.
  • Johansen, S. (1988), “Statistical analysis of cointegrating vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, (12), 231–254.
  • Johansen, S. ve K. Juselius (1990), “Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on co-integration with applications to the demand for Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics & Statistics, 52(3), 169–210.
  • Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and hypothesis testing of cointegration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models”, Econometrica, (59), 1551–1580.
  • Katircioglu, S.T. (2009), “Revisiting the tourism-led-growth hypothesis for Turkey using the bounds test and Johansen approach for cointegration”, Tourism Management, Volume 30, Issue 1, 17–20.
  • Kim, Hyun Jeong-Ming-Hsiang Chen and SooCheong “Shawn” Jang (2006), “Tourism expansion and economic development: The case of Taiwan”, Tourism Management, (27), 925–933.
  • Lanza, A., P. Templec ve G. Urgad (2003), “The implications of tourism specialization in the long-run: An econometric analysis for 13 OECD economies”, Tourism Management, (24), 315–321.
  • Lee, C. ve K Kwon (1995), “Importance of secondary impact of foreign tourism receipts on the South Korean economy”, Journal of Travel Research, (34), 50–54.
  • Manuel Vanegas Sr. ve Robertico Croes (2007), “Tourism, Economic Expansion and Poverty in Nicaragua: Investigating Cointegration and Causal Relations”, Staff Paper: 07–10
  • Narayan, P.K. (2004), “Economic impact of tourism on Fiji’s economy: Empirical evidence from the computable general equilibrium model”, Tourism Economics, (10), 419–433.
  • Oh, Chi-Ok (2005), “The contribution of tourism development to economic growth in the Korean economy”, Tourism Management, (26), 39–44.
  • Ongan, S. ve D.M. Demiroz (2005) “The contribution of tourism to the long-run Turkish economic growth, Ekonomický časopis”, Journal of Economics, 53 (9), 880–894.
  • Phillips, P. ve P. Perron (1988), “Testing for a unit root in time series regression”, Biometrica, (75), 333–46.
  • Sinclair, M.T. (1998), “Tourism and Economic Development: A Survey”, Journal of Development Studies, 34 (5), 1–51.
  • WTTC - The World Travel and Tourism Council (2005), Annual reports, progress and priorities 2004/05.
There are 31 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Cem Işık

Publication Date December 1, 2010
Submission Date December 12, 2014
Published in Issue Year 2010 Volume: 13 Issue: 13

Cite

APA Işık, C. (2010). Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008). Sosyoekonomi, 13(13). https://doi.org/10.17233/se.40756
AMA Işık C. Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008). Sosyoekonomi. December 2010;13(13). doi:10.17233/se.40756
Chicago Işık, Cem. “Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması Ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008)”. Sosyoekonomi 13, no. 13 (December 2010). https://doi.org/10.17233/se.40756.
EndNote Işık C (December 1, 2010) Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008). Sosyoekonomi 13 13
IEEE C. Işık, “Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008)”, Sosyoekonomi, vol. 13, no. 13, 2010, doi: 10.17233/se.40756.
ISNAD Işık, Cem. “Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması Ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008)”. Sosyoekonomi 13/13 (December 2010). https://doi.org/10.17233/se.40756.
JAMA Işık C. Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008). Sosyoekonomi. 2010;13. doi:10.17233/se.40756.
MLA Işık, Cem. “Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması Ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008)”. Sosyoekonomi, vol. 13, no. 13, 2010, doi:10.17233/se.40756.
Vancouver Işık C. Türkiye’de Yabancı Ziyaretçi Harcaması ve Turizm Gelirleri İlişkisi: Bir Eş- bütünleşme Analizi (1970 - 2008). Sosyoekonomi. 2010;13(13).