The Effect of International Remittances on Financial Development: Turkish Experience in the Period of 1974-2019

Year 2021, Volume: 29 Issue: 49, 181 - 198, 30.07.2021

Ayfer Özyılmaz , Metin Toprak , Yüksel Bayraktar

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2021.03.09

Cited By: 2

Abstract

In this study, workers’ remittances on financial development in Turkey are analysed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bound (ARDL) method from 1974 to 2019. In the analysis, the dependent variable, which is the domestic credit to the private sector by banks (percent of GDP), is used as an indicator for financial development. In addition to international workers’ remittances, other independent variables include GDP per capita, interest rate, and inflation. International remittances are found to affect financial development positively; however, the effect is slight. In addition, growth affects financial development positively, inflation negatively, and the impact of interest is statistically insignificant.

Keywords

Workers’ Remittances, Financial System, Financial Development, ARDL

Uluslararası İşçi Dövizlerinin Finansal Gelişme Üzerindeki Etkisi: 1974-2019 Dönemi Türkiye Deneyimi

Abstract

Bu çalışmada 1974-2019 dönemi için Türkiye'de işçi dövizlerinin finansal gelişme üzerindeki etkisi ARDL yöntemi ile ele alınmıştır. Analizde, bağımlı değişken olarak finansal gelişmeyi temsilen özel sektöre sağlanan kredilerin GSYİH içerisindeki payı, bağımsız değişkenler olarak ise işçi dövizlerinin yanı sıra büyümeyi temsilen kişi başına reel GSYİH, mevduat faiz oranı ve enflasyon değişkenleri alınmıştır. Analiz bulgularına göre, uluslararası göçmen dövizleri finansal gelişmeyi pozitif etkilemekte, ancak bu etki düşük düzeydedir. Bunun yanı sıra büyüme finansal gelişmeyi pozitif, enflasyon ise negatif etkilemekte ve faizin etkisi ise istatistiksel olarak anlamsızdır.

Keywords

İşçi Dövizleri, Finansal Sistem, Finansal Gelişme, ARDL

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