Analysis of the Causality Relationship between Agriculture, Industry and Service Sectors in Turkey

Year 2021, Volume: 29 Issue: 50, 317 - 336, 31.10.2021

Nilcan Mert , Zehra Abdioğlu

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2021.04.15

Cited By: 1

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between agriculture, industry, and service sectors for Turkey. For this purpose, the panel causality analysis developed by Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) was performed for Turkey's general and seven geographical regions, using panel data covering 81 provinces from 2004 to 2017. Within the framework of this analysis, the key sectors that drive economic growth were examined for seven regions. According to the findings obtained from the panel causality test, the agriculture sector is fed by industry and service sectors, and the key sectors those direct general economic growth are different by region.

Keywords

Economic Growth, Sectoral Growth, Dumitrescu-Hurlin Causality Analysis

Türkiye’de Tarım, Sanayi ve Hizmet Sektörleri Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisinin Analizi

Abstract

Bu çalışmada Türkiye için tarım, sanayi ve hizmet sektörleri arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisinin araştırılması amaçlanmıştır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda 2004-2017 dönemi ile 81 ili kapsayan panel verileri kullanılarak Dumitrescu ve Hurlin (2012) tarafından geliştirilen panel nedensellik analizi hem Türkiye geneli hem de yedi coğrafik bölge için gerçekleştirilmiştir. Analizler çerçevesinde bölgelere göre ekonomik büyümeye yön veren kilit sektörler belirlenmeye çalışılmıştır. Panel nedensellik testinden edinilen bulgulara göre tarım sektörü sanayi ve hizmet sektörlerinden beslenmektedir ve genel ekonomik büyümeye yön veren öncü sektörler bölgelere göre farklılık arz etmektedir.

Keywords

Ekonomik Büyüme, Sektörel Büyüme, Dumitrescu ve Hurlin Nedensellik Analizi

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