Finansal Kuznets Eğrisi Hipotezi: Yapısal Kırılmalı Eş-bütünleşme Testleri ile Türk Ekonomisine İlişkin Ampirik Bir Analiz
Year 2021,
Volume: 29 Issue: 50, 337 - 359, 31.10.2021
Cüneyt Dumrul
,
Salih Çağrı İlkay
,
Yasemin Dumrul
Abstract
Sürdürülebilir kalkınma için gelir eşitsizliğinin azaltılması önem arz etmektedir. Gelir eşitsizliği azaltılması için finansal gelişme önemli bir politika aracı olarak kullanılabilir. Bu çalışmada Türk ekonomisinde finansal gelişmenin gelir adaletsizliği üzerindeki etkileri Finansal Kuznets Eğrisi Hipotezi bağlamında araştırılmaktadır. Çalışmanın ampirik bölümünde IMF tarafından geliştirilen finansal gelişme ölçütlerine ilişkin seriler ve gelir adaletsizliği için Texas Üniversitesi Eşitsizlik Projesi (UTIP) Veri Seti ile hesaplanan seriler kullanılmıştır. Yapısal kırılmalar dikkate alınarak yapılan ekonometrik analizler sonucunda, uzun dönemli bir eş-bütünleşme ilişkisi tespit edilememiştir. Bu bulgular ele alınan dönemde Türkiye'de Finansal Kuznets Eğrisi hipotezinin geçerli olmadığını göstermektedir.
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The Financial Kuznets Curve Hypothesis: An Empirical Analysis of the Turkish Economy with Structural Breaks Co-integration Tests
Year 2021,
Volume: 29 Issue: 50, 337 - 359, 31.10.2021
Cüneyt Dumrul
,
Salih Çağrı İlkay
,
Yasemin Dumrul
Abstract
Reducing income inequality is vital for sustainable development. Financial development can be an essential policy tool for reducing income inequality. In this study, the effects of financial development on income inequality in the Turkish economy are investigated in the context of the Financial Kuznets Curve Hypothesis. In the empirical part of the study, the series related to the financial development measures developed by the IMF and the series calculated with the University of Texas Inequality Project (UTIP) Data Set for income inequality is used. As a result of econometric analyzes made by considering structural breaks, the existence of a long-term co-integration relationship could not be determined. These findings show that the Financial Kuznets Curve hypothesis is not valid in Turkey in the period under consideration.
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- Greenwood, J. & B.D. Smith (1997), “Financial Markets in Development, and the Development of Financial Markets” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 21(1), 145-181.
- Gregory, A.W. & B.E. Hansen (1996), “Residual-Based Tests for Cointegration in Models With Regime Shifts”, Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 99-126.
- Günal, M. (2001), Merkez Bankasının Değişen Rolü ve Para Politikası Uygulamaları, İstanbul: İMKB Yayınları.
- Gunes, S. (2007), “Functional Income Distribution in Turkey: A Cointegration and VECM Analysis”, Journal of Economic and Social Research, 9(2), 23-36.
- Hatemi-J, A. (2008), “Tests for Cointegration with Two Unknown Regime Shifts with an Application to Financial Market Integration”, Empir Econ, 35, 497-505.
- Hepsağ, A. (2017), “Finansal Kuznets Eğrisi Hipotezi: G-7 Ülkeleri Örneği”, SGD-Sosyal Güvenlik Dergisi, 7(2), 135-156.
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- Jauch, S. & S. Watzka (2016), “Financial Development and Income Inequality: A Panel Data Approach” Empirical Economics, 51(1), 291-314.
- Johnston, J. & J. Dinardo (1997), Econometric Methods (4. Baskı), New York: McGraw-Hill.
- Kanberoğlu, Z. & M. Arvas (2014), “Finansal Kalkınma ve Gelir Eşitsizliği: Türkiye Örneği, 1980-2012”, Sosyoekonomi, 21(21), 106-122.
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- Kim, D.H. & S.C. Lin (2011), “Nonlinearity in the Financial Development-Income Inequality Nexus”, Journal of Comparative Economics, 39(3), 310-325.
- Kuznets, S. (1955), “Economic Growth and Income Inequality”, The American Economic Review, 45(1), 1-28.
- Lee, J. & M.C. Strazicich (2001), “Break Point Estimation and Spurious Rejections with Endogenous Unit Root Tests”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 63(5), 535-558.
- Lee, J. & M.C. Strazicich (2003), “Minimum Lagrange Multiplier Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 85(4), 1082-1089.
- Lee, J. Et al. (2013), “Minimum LM Unit Root Test with One Structural Break”, Economics Bulletin, 33(4), 2483-2492.
- Mackinnon, J.G. (2010), Critical Values for Cointegration Tests (No. 1227), Kingston (Ontario).
- Mert, M. & A.E. Çağlar (2019), Eviews ve Gauss Uygulamalı Zaman Serileri Analizi, Ankara: Detay Yayıncılık.
Mishkin, F.S. (2007), “Is Financial Globalization Beneficial?”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39(3), 259-294.
- Narayan, P.K. & S. Popp (2010), “A New Unit Root Test with Two Structural Breaks in Level and Slope at Unknown Time”, Journal of Applied Statistics, 37(9), 1425-1438.
- Nikoloski, Z. (2013), “Financial Sector Development and Inequality: Is There a Financial Kuznets Curve?”, Journal of International Development, 25(7), 897-911.
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