Enflasyon ve Soğuk Artan Oranlılık: 2006-2021 Dönemi İçin Türk Gelir Vergisi Üzerine Bir İnceleme
Year 2023,
Volume: 31 Issue: 55, 105 - 124, 31.01.2023
Gamze Yıldız Şeren
,
Özgür Saraç
Abstract
Enflasyon, gelir vergisi matrahının nominal geliri hedef almasından dolayı -reel gelir artmasa da- yüksek orandan vergilemeye sebep olur ve bu, aslında ödeme gücü artmadığı halde artmış gibi vergilendirilmesi sonucunu doğurur. Enflasyonun gelir vergisi tarifesinde meydana getirdiği bu saptırıcı etkinin telafisi, tarifede yer alan gelir dilimlerinin her yıl düzenli olarak yaşanan enflasyon oranında arttırılmasını gerektirir. Lakin var olan kamusal gelir ihtiyacı, hükümetlerin bu gerekliliği sağlarken -adeta eksik değerleme yaparak- idare lehine ve mükellefler aleyhine olacak şekilde düzenleme yapmalarına sebep olabilir ki, literatürde buna “soğuk artan oranlılık” adı verilir. Enflasyonun vergi sisteminde yol açtığı bozulmalara dikkat çeken bu çalışmada elde edilen kanıtlar soğuk artan oranlılığın varlığını göstermektedir.
References
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- OECD (2014), “Addressing the Tax Challenges of the Digital Economy”, OECD/G20 Base Erosion and Profit Shifting Project, OECD Publishing.
- OECD (2022), Glossary of Tax Terms.
- Öncel, M. (1995), “Enflasyon ve Vergilendirme”, AÜHF Dergisi, 44(1), 489-519.
- Oner, C. (2010), “Back to basics: what is inflation?”, Finance & Development, 47(001), 44-45.
- Öztürk, Ö.F. vd. (2019), “Türkiye’de başlıca ekonomik değişkenlerin vergi gelirleri üzerindeki etkisi: çoklu doğrusal regresyon analizi”, Sayıştay Dergisi, (115), 37-53.
- Pamak, M. (1978), “Enflasyonun Türk Vergi Sistemindeki Bazı Müesseselere Etkisi”, Vergi Sorunları Dergisi, 1(1), 119-150.
- Piketty, T. & E. Saez (2007), “How progressive is the US federal tax system? A historical and international perspective”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(1), 3-24.
- Poterba, J.M. & J.J. Rotemberg (1990), “Inflation and taxation with optimizing governments”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 22(1), 1-18.
- Sağbaş, İ. & N.T. Saruç (2020), “Vergi Teorisi”, İstanbul Üniversitesi Açık ve Uzaktan Eğitim Fakültesi.
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- Şanver, C. & H.E. Saygı (2019), “Türkiye’de Gelir Vergisi Tarifesinin Mali Sürüklenme Açısından İncelenmesi: 2009-2019 Yılları”, Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi, 15(4), 1062-1082.
- Saraç, Ö. & A. Eroğlu (2021), Vergileme İlkelerinin Anatomisi. Tarihsel Kökenler ve Ülke Anayasaları Üzerine Değerlendirmeler, 1.Baskı. Efe Akademi. İstanbul.
- Şen, H. & A. Kaya (2013), “The role of taxes as an automatic stabilizer: Evidence from Turkey”, Economic Analysis and Policy, 43(3), 303-313.
- Shahir, A.A. & F. Figari (2021), “The effect of fiscal drag on income distribution and work incentives. A microsimulation analysis on selected African countries”, WIDER Working Paper, 167.
- Swagel, P.L. (2021), Inflation and Its Effects, Congressional Budget Office, Director, U.S. Congress, Washington, DC 20515.
- Tanzi, V. (1977), “Inflation, lags in collection, and the real value of tax revenue”, Staff Papers, 24(1), 154-167.
- Tanzi, V. (1980), Inflation and the personal income tax. An International Perspective, Cambridge Books.
- TCMB (2004), Enflasyon, <https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/b62e1fb7-ebc1-4922-99dc-b3ba23320b9f/enflasyon.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=ROOTWORKSPACE-b62e1fb7-ebc1-4922-99dc-b3ba23320b9f-m5lk-1M>, 26.12.2021.
- The Economist (2014), German Taxes. Steep and Cold Progression, <https://www.economist.com/europe/2014/05/03/steep-and-cold-progression>, 26.12.2021.
- Thuronyi, V.T. (1996), “13 Adjusting Taxes for Inflation”, in: Tax Law Design and Drafting, Volume 1.; USA: International Monetary Fund.
- Weller, C.E. (2007), “The benefits of progressive taxation in economic development”, Review of Radical Political Economics, 39(3), 368-376.
Inflation and Cold Progression: An Analysis of Turkish Income Tax between 2006-2021
Year 2023,
Volume: 31 Issue: 55, 105 - 124, 31.01.2023
Gamze Yıldız Şeren
,
Özgür Saraç
Abstract
Inflation causes high taxation -although real income does not increase- because the income tax base targets nominal income. This situation results in taxation as if the ability to pay has increased, although it has not. Compensation for this deflecting effect of inflation in the income tax tariff requires growing the income segments included in the tariff at the rate of inflation regularly experienced yearly. However, the current need for public revenue can cause governments to make regulations in favour of the administration and against taxpayers -almost by creating an undervaluation- while providing this requirement. It is called "cold progression" in the literature. In this study, which draws attention to the distortions caused by inflation in the tax system, the evidence obtained shows the existence of cold progression.
References
- Aaron, H. (1976), “Inflation and the income tax”, The American Economic Review, 66(2), 193-199.
- Akbulut, E. (2021), “Türkiye’de Enflasyon, Faiz, Vergiler ve Gelir Dağılımı İlişkisi: Ampirik Analiz”, Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 17(1), 147-169.
- Berksoy, T. (1996), Enflasyon Sürecinde Hane Halkı : Etkiler- Tepkiler, İstanbul Ticaret Odası Yayınları.
- Bulutoğlu, K. (1962), Vergi Politikası, İstanbul: Sermet Matbaası.
- CA18 (2021), Cold progression as a permanent problem, <https://california18.com/cold-progression-as-a-permanent-problem/805242021/>, 27.12.2021.
- Gottfried, P. & D. Witczak (2008), “Gesamtwirtschaftliche Auswirkungen der heimlichen Steuerprogression und steuerpolitische Handlungsoptionen zur Entlastung von Bürgern und Wirtschaft”, Final Report of The Project, ID, 4-60.
- Hänni, P. (2021), “The Swiss Tax System-Between Equality and Diversity”, in: E.M. Belser et al. (eds.), The Principle of Equality in Diverse States (253-289).
- Heer, B. & B. Süssmuth (2003), “Cold progression and its effects on income distribution”, CESIFO Working Paper No. 951, Category 6: Monetary Policy and International Finance, SSRN 414043. 1-42.
- Immervoll, H. (2000), “The impact of inflation on income tax and social insurance contributions in Europe”, (No. EM2/00), Euromod Working Paper.
- IONOS (2020), Cold Progression, <https://www.ionos.com/startupguide/grow-your-business/cold-progression/>, 27.12.2021.
- Kucsera, D. & H. Lorenz (2016), Cold progression - a hot topic. How the finance minister can raise our incomes without cutting taxes, Agenda Austria.
- Manz, B. (2021), Cold Progression, Moneyland.ch, <https://www.moneyland.ch/en/cold-progression-definition>, 06.01.2021.
- McKay, A. & R. Reis (2016), “The role of automatic stabilizers in the US business cycle”, Econometrica, 84(1), 141-194.
- Musgrave, R.A. & M.H. Miller (1948), ”Built-in flexibility”, The American Economic Review, 38(1), 122-128.
- Musgrave, R.A. (1979), “The tax revolt”, Social Science Quarterly, 59(4), 697-703.
- Nowotny, E. (1980), “Inflation and taxation: reviewing the macroeconomic issues”, Journal of Economic Literature, 18(3), 1025-1049.
- OECD (2014), “Addressing the Tax Challenges of the Digital Economy”, OECD/G20 Base Erosion and Profit Shifting Project, OECD Publishing.
- OECD (2022), Glossary of Tax Terms.
- Öncel, M. (1995), “Enflasyon ve Vergilendirme”, AÜHF Dergisi, 44(1), 489-519.
- Oner, C. (2010), “Back to basics: what is inflation?”, Finance & Development, 47(001), 44-45.
- Öztürk, Ö.F. vd. (2019), “Türkiye’de başlıca ekonomik değişkenlerin vergi gelirleri üzerindeki etkisi: çoklu doğrusal regresyon analizi”, Sayıştay Dergisi, (115), 37-53.
- Pamak, M. (1978), “Enflasyonun Türk Vergi Sistemindeki Bazı Müesseselere Etkisi”, Vergi Sorunları Dergisi, 1(1), 119-150.
- Piketty, T. & E. Saez (2007), “How progressive is the US federal tax system? A historical and international perspective”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(1), 3-24.
- Poterba, J.M. & J.J. Rotemberg (1990), “Inflation and taxation with optimizing governments”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 22(1), 1-18.
- Sağbaş, İ. & N.T. Saruç (2020), “Vergi Teorisi”, İstanbul Üniversitesi Açık ve Uzaktan Eğitim Fakültesi.
- Şahan, Ö. (2005), “Enflasyonun Gelir Vergisi Tarifesi ve Gizli Vergi Artışı Üzerindeki Etkisi”, Yaklaşım Dergisi, 13(149), 206-211.
- Şanver, C. & H.E. Saygı (2019), “Türkiye’de Gelir Vergisi Tarifesinin Mali Sürüklenme Açısından İncelenmesi: 2009-2019 Yılları”, Uluslararası Yönetim İktisat ve İşletme Dergisi, 15(4), 1062-1082.
- Saraç, Ö. & A. Eroğlu (2021), Vergileme İlkelerinin Anatomisi. Tarihsel Kökenler ve Ülke Anayasaları Üzerine Değerlendirmeler, 1.Baskı. Efe Akademi. İstanbul.
- Şen, H. & A. Kaya (2013), “The role of taxes as an automatic stabilizer: Evidence from Turkey”, Economic Analysis and Policy, 43(3), 303-313.
- Shahir, A.A. & F. Figari (2021), “The effect of fiscal drag on income distribution and work incentives. A microsimulation analysis on selected African countries”, WIDER Working Paper, 167.
- Swagel, P.L. (2021), Inflation and Its Effects, Congressional Budget Office, Director, U.S. Congress, Washington, DC 20515.
- Tanzi, V. (1977), “Inflation, lags in collection, and the real value of tax revenue”, Staff Papers, 24(1), 154-167.
- Tanzi, V. (1980), Inflation and the personal income tax. An International Perspective, Cambridge Books.
- TCMB (2004), Enflasyon, <https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/b62e1fb7-ebc1-4922-99dc-b3ba23320b9f/enflasyon.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=ROOTWORKSPACE-b62e1fb7-ebc1-4922-99dc-b3ba23320b9f-m5lk-1M>, 26.12.2021.
- The Economist (2014), German Taxes. Steep and Cold Progression, <https://www.economist.com/europe/2014/05/03/steep-and-cold-progression>, 26.12.2021.
- Thuronyi, V.T. (1996), “13 Adjusting Taxes for Inflation”, in: Tax Law Design and Drafting, Volume 1.; USA: International Monetary Fund.
- Weller, C.E. (2007), “The benefits of progressive taxation in economic development”, Review of Radical Political Economics, 39(3), 368-376.