PANEL DATA ANALYSIS OF FELDSTEİN- HORİOKA HYPOTHESIS IN EMERGING ECONOMIES

Year 2017, Volume: 17 , 1 - 18, 25.08.2017

Ahmet Ay , İbrahim Özmen

https://doi.org/10.30976/susead.348069

Cited By: 9

Abstract

In this study, the relationship between domestic savings rates and domestic investment rates is reconsider with a panel data set of 12 countries which consist of emerging countries of the period for 1970-2015. For this purpose, panel unit root, FMOLS, DOLS, CCR and panel causality is used as data estimation methods. As result of the simple regression model, it was observed that the value of saving coefficient is close to zero across the panel. However, it was obtained that it contains different results for each country. According to the estimation results, statistically significant short and long term relationship is found between savings and investments. In addition to this, results which are obtained by FMOLS, DOLS and CCR methods are consistent with each other. Furthermore, it is possible to say the limited capital mobility for Turkey in that period.

Keywords

Feldstein-Horioka Hypothesıs, Investment, Saving, Panel Data

FELDSTEİN- HORİOKA HİPOTEZİNİN YÜKSELEN EKONOMİLERDE SINANMASI: PANEL VERİ ANALİZ

Abstract

ÖZ

Bu çalışmada, yurtiçi tasarruf oranları ile yurtiçi yatırım oranları arasındaki ilişki 1970-2015 dönemi yükselen ülkelerden oluşan 12 ülkelik bir panel veri seti ile yeniden ele alınmıştır. Bu amaçla kısa ve uzun dönem katsayılarını tahmin etmek için panel birim kök, FMOLS, DOLS, CCR ve panel nedensellik veri tahmin yöntemleri kullanılmıştır. Basit regresyon modelinin sonucuna göre tasarruf tutum katsayının değerinin panel genelinde sıfıra yakın olduğu ancak her bir ülke için oldukça faklı sonuçlar içerdiği ortaya konulmuştur. Tahmin sonuçlarına göre tasarruf ile yatırımlar arasında istatistiksel açıdan anlamlı kısa ve uzun dönem ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Ek olarak FMOLS, DOLS ve CCR yöntemleri ile elde edilen sonuçlar birbirleri ile tutarlı olup söz konusu dönemde Türkiye için tam bir sermaye hareketliliğinden bahsedilmesi mümkün gözükmemektedir

Anahtar
Kelimeler: Feldstein- Horioka Hipotezi, Yatırım, Tasarruf, Panel Veri.

Jel Kodları:

Keywords

Feldstein- Horioka Hipotezi, Yatırım, Tasarruf, Panel Veri

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