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Russian-Turkish Involvement in the Civil War in Libya

Year 2020, Issue: 3, 190 - 215, 30.06.2020

Abstract

After the ouster of Muammar Gaddafi, Libya plunged into a civil war. Two main competing governments emerged for control over Libya: Tobruk based Libyan National Army (LNA) led by Marshal Khalifa Haftar and Tripoli based Government of National Accord (GNA) led by the Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj. This civil war invited other countries’ involvement such as Egypt, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), France, Russia, and Turkey. Khalifa Haftar’s offensive, which started in April 2019, to capture Tripoli intensified the conflict. Fighting already in opposite sides on the civil war in Syria, Russia and Turkey also backed opposite sides of the civil war in Libya. Russia covertly provides assistance to Haftar’s army by conducting its operations in Libya under the private military group Wagner owned by Yevgeny Prigozhin, a businessman affiliated with Vladimir Putin. This indicates Russia’s efforts to hide its support to Khalifa Haftar to maintain its role as a peace broker in the civil war. Turkey openly supports al-Sarraj government by sending military advisors and involving directly in the conflict with its deployment of Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicle (UCAV). Turkey, therefore, has a clear position in Libya. It signed a military cooperation with al-Sarraj government, which allows Turkey to send its military at the GNA’s request. Moreover, it signed a maritime agreement with the GNA, which determined the exclusive economic zones of two countries in the Eastern Mediterranean. Thus, it closed any possibility of compromising with Khalifa Haftar, to whom it condemned as a vicious war lord. In this context, the security and energy dimensions of Russian and Turkish involvement will be mentioned. This paper tries to analyze Russian and Turkish positions in Libya, discussing the reasons why Russia and Turkey interfered in the civil war in Libya and offered their support to different parties.

References

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  • Blank, Stephen "The Foundations of Russian Policy in the Middle East." in Russia in the Middle East, ed. by Theodore Karasik and Stephen Blank Washington D.C.: The Jamestown Foundation, 2018: 28-61.
  • Capasso, Matteo, Jedrzej Czerep, Andrea Dessi, and Gabriella Sanchez, Libya Country Report. Berlin: Europe's External Action and the Duel Challenges of Limited Statehood and Contested Orders (EU-LISTCO), 2020.
  • Cohen, Ariel, The ‘Primakov Doctrine’: Russia’s Zero-Sum Game with the United States. Washington D.C.: The Heritage Foundation, 1997.
  • Dirsus, Marcel, and Tim Eaton. Instability in Libya: Assessing the Regional Impacts. NATO Allied Command Transformation, 2019.
  • Eran, Odad. "Russia in the Middle East: The Yeltsin Era and Beyond." in Russia Between East and West Russian Foreign Policy on the Threshold of the Twenty-First Century London and Portland: Frank Cass, 2003: 159-71.
  • Eriksson, Mikael. "A Fratricidal Libya: Making Sense of a Conflict Complex. Small Wars & Insurgencies, 27 (2016): 817–36.
  • Gartenstein-Ross, Daveed, and Nathaniel Barr. Dignity and Dawn: Libya’s Escalating Civil War. Hague: ICCT Research Paper, 2015.
  • Gusarov, Vladilen. Arabskye Strany Zapadnoy Azii i Severnoy Afriki. Moscow: Institut Izucheniya Izrailya i Blizhnego Vostoka, 1997.
  • Güzel, Enes. Turkey and the Energy Equation of the Eastern Mediterranean. İstanbul: TrtWorld Research Center, 2019.
  • Hof, Frederic C., and Paolo Magri. "Introduction." in Foreign Actors in Libya’s Crisis, ed. by Karim Mezran and Arturo Varvelli. Milano: Ledizioni LediPublishing, 2017: 7–13.
  • Janiki Cingoli, The New Energy Resources in the Centre- East Mediterranean: Potential Current and Future Geo-Strategic Consequences. Rome: Istituto Affari Internazionali, 2016.
  • Kozhanov, Nikolay. Russian Policy Across the Middle East Motivations and Methods. London: Chatham House, 2018.
  • Kuczynsky, Grzegorz. Civil War in Libya Russian Policy and Its Goals. Warsaw: Warsaw Institute, 2019.
  • Migration Crisis Operational Framework (MCOF).Tripoli: The International Organization for Migration (IOM) 2017.
  • Oyeniyi, Bukola A. The History of Libya. Santa Barbara: Greenwood, 2019.
  • Öztaş, Tankut, and Ferhat Polat. Turkey - Libya Relations: Economic and Strategic Imperatives. İstanbul: TrtWorld Research Center, 2020.
  • Pack, Jason. It’s the Economy Stupid: How Libya’s Civil War Is Rooted in Its Economic Structures. Rome: Istituto Affari Internazionali, 2019.
  • Pedde, Nicola. "The Libyan Confict and Its Controversial Roots." European View 16 (2017): 93–102.
  • Poti, Laszlo. Russian Policies Toward the MENA Region. Barcelona: MENARA, 2018.
  • Reitano, Tuesday, and Mark Shaw, The Politics of Power, Protection, Identity and Illicit Trade, 2017.
  • Serwer, Daniel P. Libya’s Escalating Civil War. New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2015.
  • Sladden, James, Becca Wasser, Ben Connable, and Sarah Grand-Clement. Russian Strategy in the Middle East. Santa Monica: Rand Corporation, 2017.
  • Stepanova, Ekaterina. "Russia’s Approach to the Conflict in Libya, the East-West Dimension and the Role of the OSCE." in The Search for Stability in Libya: OSCE’s Role between Internal Obstacles and External Challenges, ed. by Andrea Dessi and Ettore Greco Rome: Nuova Cultura, 2018: 89–111.
  • Sukhankin, Sergey ‘“Continuing War by Other Means”: The Case of Wagner, Russia’s Premier Private Military Company in the Middle East.'' in Russia in the Middle East Washington D.C.: The Jamestown Foundation, 2018: 290–319.
  • Trenin, Dmitri. Russia in the Middle East: Moscow’s Objectives, Priorities, and Policy Drivers. Washington D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2016.
  • Turkey Wades into Libya’s Troubled Waters. Brussels: International Crisis Group, 2020.
  • Winer, Jonathan M. Origins of the Libyan Conflict and Options for Its Resolution. Washington D.C.: The Middle East Institute, 2019.
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  • Badadin, Roman, Olga Churakova, Maria Zholobova, and Mikhail Rubin. "Shef i Povar. Chast’ Chetvertaya. Rassledovaniye o Tom, Kak Rossiya Uchastvuyet v Grazhdanskoy Voyne v Livii." Accessed: 04.05.2020. https://www.proekt.media/investigation/prigozhin-libya/.
  • Bakeer, Ali. "Turkish-Libyan Alliance in Eastern Mediterranean: A Game Changer?." Accessed: 09.06.2020. https://english.alaraby.co.uk/english/indepth/2019/12/10/turkish-libyan-alliance-in-eastern-mediterranean-a-game-changer.
  • Baskan, Birol. "Turkey and the UAE: A Strange Crisis." Accessed: 07.05.2020. https://www.mei.edu/publications/turkey-and-uae-strange-crisis.
  • Bezhan, Frud. "U.S. Vacuum: How Libya Is Descending Into A Russia-Turkey Proxy War." Accessed: 03.04.2020. https://www.rferl.org/a/u-s-vacuum-how-libya-is-descending-into-a-russia-turkey-proxy-war-/30389900.html.
  • Bilginsoy, Zeynep. "Turkish Parliament OKs Controversial Libya Military Deal." Accessed: 03.04.2020. https://apnews.com/d9df4aa30f2303140b14fdf5485e0955.
  • "East Mediterranean Gas Forum Transformed into a Regional Organization." Accessed: 03.05.2020. http://www.energy-sea.gov.il/English-Site/Lobby/Articles/Pages/East Mediterranean Gas Forum transformed into a regional organization.aspx.
  • "Executive Order on Sanctions against Libya." Accessed: 24.04.2020. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/10558#sel=1:4:HRk,1:45:nyn.
  • "Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation." Accessed: 05.06.2017. http://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/official_documents/-/asset_publisher/CptICkB6BZ29/content/id/2542248.
  • "Haftar’s Forces Continue Push into Tripoli as Libya Crisis Escalates." Accessed: 02.04.2020. https://www.france24.com/en/20190407-libya-haftar-forces-air-strike-tripoli-gaddafi-usa.
  • "ISIL Video Shows Christian Egyptians Beheaded in Libya." Accessed: 04.04. 2020. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2015/02/isil-video-execution-egyptian-christian-hostages-libya-150215193050277.html.
  • Johnson, Keith. "Newly Aggressive Turkey Forges Alliance With Libya.” Accessed: 03.04.2020. https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/12/23/turkey-libya-alliance-aggressive-mideterranean/.
  • "Komuta NATO’da, Hava Üssü İzmir’de." Accessed: 07.05.2020. https://www.cnnturk.com/2011/dunya/03/25/komuta.natoda.hava.ussu.izmirde/611062.0/index.html.
  • Kritikou, Nikoletta."Haftar “agrees” to Tear up Libya-Turkey Maritime Deal: Greece." Accessed: 06.05.2020. https://www.euronews.com/2020/01/17/libya-s-haftar-holds-talks-in-athens-ahead-of-berlin-summit.
  • Lagha, Mohammed. "Libya Declares “Liberation” of Sirte from Islamic State." Accessed: 24.04.2020. https://www.dpa-international.com/topic/libya-declares-liberation-sirte-islamic-state-urn%3Anewsml%3Adpa.com%3A20090101%3A161218-99-579485.
  • "Libyan Political Agreement". Accessed: 19.04.2020. https://unsmil.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/Libyan Political Agreement - ENG .pdf.
  • Menon, Rajan. "Don’t Believe the Hype. Russia Is Losing in the Middle East—and Around the World." Accessed: 29.11.2019. https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/11/18/vladimir-putin-russia-losing-power-middle-east-central-asia-africa-eastern-europe/.
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  • "Natural Gas Potential Assessed in Eastern Mediterranean." Accessed: 18.11.2019. https://archive.usgs.gov/archive/sites/www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp-ID=2435.html.
  • Political Developments in Libya and Prospects of Stability. Accessed: 19.04.2020. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2017/603959/EPRS_BRI(2017)603959_EN.pdf.
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Libya’daki İç Savaşa Rus ve Türk Müdahelesi

Year 2020, Issue: 3, 190 - 215, 30.06.2020

Abstract

Muammer Kaddafi’nin devrilmesinden sonra Libya iç savaşa sürüklendi. İki rakip hükümet Libya’nın kontrolü için ortaya çıktı: Mareşal Halife Haftar’ın liderliğini yaptığı Tobruk merkezli Libya Ulusal Ordusu (LUO) ve Başbakan Fayez Sarraj’ın liderliğindeki Trablus merkezli Ulusal Mutabakat Hükümeti (UMH). Bu iç savaş Mısır, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE), Fransa, Rusya ve Türkiye gibi ülkeleri de içine aldı. Halife Haftar 2019 Nisan’ından itibaren Trablus’u ele geçirmek amacıyla başlattığı hücum hareketlerini yoğunlaştırdı. Suriye iç savaşında farklı taraflarda olan Rusya ve Türkiye Libya’da da farklı tarafları desteklemektedir. Rusya, Putin’in yakın çevresinden işadamı Yevgeny Prigozhin’in sahibi olduğu özel askeri şirket Wagner üzerinden yürüttüğü operasyonlarla Haftar’ın ordusuna üstü kapalı olarak yardımda bulunmaktadır. Bu durum, Rusya’nın iç savaştaki barış yapıcı rolünü muhafaza için Halife Haftar’ı gizlice desteklediğini göstermektedir. Türkiye gönderdiği askeri danışmanlarla ve Silahlı İnsansız Hava Araçları (SİHA) ile çatışmaya direk müdahil olarak açıkça Sarraj hükümetine destek vermektedir. Türkiye böylece Libya’da daha açık bir poziyon almıştır. Sarraj hükümetiyle UMH’nin istemesi halinde Türkiye’nin asker göndermesine olanak veren bir askeri anlaşma imzalamıştır. Ayrıca Türkiye UMH ile Doğu Akdeniz’de iki ülkenin münhasır ekonomik bölge alanlarını belirleyen bir deniz sınırı anlaşması imzalamıştır. Böylece, Türkiye, vahşi bir savaş beyi olarak nitelendirdiği Halife Haftar ile müzakere yolunu kapatmıştır. Bu bağlamda Rus ve Türk müdahelesinin enerji ve güvenlik boyutlarından bahsedilecektir. Bu çalışma Rusya ve Türkiye’nin Libya’daki pozisyonlarını, Rusya ve Türkiye’nin Libya’daki iç savaşa dahil olma nedenlerini ve Libya’da taraf seçiminde belirleyici unsurları tartışarak analiz etmeye çalışmaktadır.

References

  • Beccaro, Andrea. "Russia: Looking for a Warm Sea." in Foreign Actors in Libya’s Crisis Milano: Ledizioni LediPublishing, 2017: 73–91.
  • Blank, Stephen "The Foundations of Russian Policy in the Middle East." in Russia in the Middle East, ed. by Theodore Karasik and Stephen Blank Washington D.C.: The Jamestown Foundation, 2018: 28-61.
  • Capasso, Matteo, Jedrzej Czerep, Andrea Dessi, and Gabriella Sanchez, Libya Country Report. Berlin: Europe's External Action and the Duel Challenges of Limited Statehood and Contested Orders (EU-LISTCO), 2020.
  • Cohen, Ariel, The ‘Primakov Doctrine’: Russia’s Zero-Sum Game with the United States. Washington D.C.: The Heritage Foundation, 1997.
  • Dirsus, Marcel, and Tim Eaton. Instability in Libya: Assessing the Regional Impacts. NATO Allied Command Transformation, 2019.
  • Eran, Odad. "Russia in the Middle East: The Yeltsin Era and Beyond." in Russia Between East and West Russian Foreign Policy on the Threshold of the Twenty-First Century London and Portland: Frank Cass, 2003: 159-71.
  • Eriksson, Mikael. "A Fratricidal Libya: Making Sense of a Conflict Complex. Small Wars & Insurgencies, 27 (2016): 817–36.
  • Gartenstein-Ross, Daveed, and Nathaniel Barr. Dignity and Dawn: Libya’s Escalating Civil War. Hague: ICCT Research Paper, 2015.
  • Gusarov, Vladilen. Arabskye Strany Zapadnoy Azii i Severnoy Afriki. Moscow: Institut Izucheniya Izrailya i Blizhnego Vostoka, 1997.
  • Güzel, Enes. Turkey and the Energy Equation of the Eastern Mediterranean. İstanbul: TrtWorld Research Center, 2019.
  • Hof, Frederic C., and Paolo Magri. "Introduction." in Foreign Actors in Libya’s Crisis, ed. by Karim Mezran and Arturo Varvelli. Milano: Ledizioni LediPublishing, 2017: 7–13.
  • Janiki Cingoli, The New Energy Resources in the Centre- East Mediterranean: Potential Current and Future Geo-Strategic Consequences. Rome: Istituto Affari Internazionali, 2016.
  • Kozhanov, Nikolay. Russian Policy Across the Middle East Motivations and Methods. London: Chatham House, 2018.
  • Kuczynsky, Grzegorz. Civil War in Libya Russian Policy and Its Goals. Warsaw: Warsaw Institute, 2019.
  • Migration Crisis Operational Framework (MCOF).Tripoli: The International Organization for Migration (IOM) 2017.
  • Oyeniyi, Bukola A. The History of Libya. Santa Barbara: Greenwood, 2019.
  • Öztaş, Tankut, and Ferhat Polat. Turkey - Libya Relations: Economic and Strategic Imperatives. İstanbul: TrtWorld Research Center, 2020.
  • Pack, Jason. It’s the Economy Stupid: How Libya’s Civil War Is Rooted in Its Economic Structures. Rome: Istituto Affari Internazionali, 2019.
  • Pedde, Nicola. "The Libyan Confict and Its Controversial Roots." European View 16 (2017): 93–102.
  • Poti, Laszlo. Russian Policies Toward the MENA Region. Barcelona: MENARA, 2018.
  • Reitano, Tuesday, and Mark Shaw, The Politics of Power, Protection, Identity and Illicit Trade, 2017.
  • Serwer, Daniel P. Libya’s Escalating Civil War. New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 2015.
  • Sladden, James, Becca Wasser, Ben Connable, and Sarah Grand-Clement. Russian Strategy in the Middle East. Santa Monica: Rand Corporation, 2017.
  • Stepanova, Ekaterina. "Russia’s Approach to the Conflict in Libya, the East-West Dimension and the Role of the OSCE." in The Search for Stability in Libya: OSCE’s Role between Internal Obstacles and External Challenges, ed. by Andrea Dessi and Ettore Greco Rome: Nuova Cultura, 2018: 89–111.
  • Sukhankin, Sergey ‘“Continuing War by Other Means”: The Case of Wagner, Russia’s Premier Private Military Company in the Middle East.'' in Russia in the Middle East Washington D.C.: The Jamestown Foundation, 2018: 290–319.
  • Trenin, Dmitri. Russia in the Middle East: Moscow’s Objectives, Priorities, and Policy Drivers. Washington D.C.: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2016.
  • Turkey Wades into Libya’s Troubled Waters. Brussels: International Crisis Group, 2020.
  • Winer, Jonathan M. Origins of the Libyan Conflict and Options for Its Resolution. Washington D.C.: The Middle East Institute, 2019.
  • Zelin, Aaron Y. The Others: Foreign Fighters in Libya. Washington D.C.: The Washington Institute for Near East Policy 2018).
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  • Al-Atrush, Samer. "Libya Urges U.S. to Help End Conflict as Russian Role Grows." Accessed: 04.05.2020. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-11-09/tripoli-urges-u-s-to-help-end-war-as-russian-role-grows.
  • Badadin, Roman, Olga Churakova, Maria Zholobova, and Mikhail Rubin. "Shef i Povar. Chast’ Chetvertaya. Rassledovaniye o Tom, Kak Rossiya Uchastvuyet v Grazhdanskoy Voyne v Livii." Accessed: 04.05.2020. https://www.proekt.media/investigation/prigozhin-libya/.
  • Bakeer, Ali. "Turkish-Libyan Alliance in Eastern Mediterranean: A Game Changer?." Accessed: 09.06.2020. https://english.alaraby.co.uk/english/indepth/2019/12/10/turkish-libyan-alliance-in-eastern-mediterranean-a-game-changer.
  • Baskan, Birol. "Turkey and the UAE: A Strange Crisis." Accessed: 07.05.2020. https://www.mei.edu/publications/turkey-and-uae-strange-crisis.
  • Bezhan, Frud. "U.S. Vacuum: How Libya Is Descending Into A Russia-Turkey Proxy War." Accessed: 03.04.2020. https://www.rferl.org/a/u-s-vacuum-how-libya-is-descending-into-a-russia-turkey-proxy-war-/30389900.html.
  • Bilginsoy, Zeynep. "Turkish Parliament OKs Controversial Libya Military Deal." Accessed: 03.04.2020. https://apnews.com/d9df4aa30f2303140b14fdf5485e0955.
  • "East Mediterranean Gas Forum Transformed into a Regional Organization." Accessed: 03.05.2020. http://www.energy-sea.gov.il/English-Site/Lobby/Articles/Pages/East Mediterranean Gas Forum transformed into a regional organization.aspx.
  • "Executive Order on Sanctions against Libya." Accessed: 24.04.2020. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/10558#sel=1:4:HRk,1:45:nyn.
  • "Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation." Accessed: 05.06.2017. http://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/official_documents/-/asset_publisher/CptICkB6BZ29/content/id/2542248.
  • "Haftar’s Forces Continue Push into Tripoli as Libya Crisis Escalates." Accessed: 02.04.2020. https://www.france24.com/en/20190407-libya-haftar-forces-air-strike-tripoli-gaddafi-usa.
  • "ISIL Video Shows Christian Egyptians Beheaded in Libya." Accessed: 04.04. 2020. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2015/02/isil-video-execution-egyptian-christian-hostages-libya-150215193050277.html.
  • Johnson, Keith. "Newly Aggressive Turkey Forges Alliance With Libya.” Accessed: 03.04.2020. https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/12/23/turkey-libya-alliance-aggressive-mideterranean/.
  • "Komuta NATO’da, Hava Üssü İzmir’de." Accessed: 07.05.2020. https://www.cnnturk.com/2011/dunya/03/25/komuta.natoda.hava.ussu.izmirde/611062.0/index.html.
  • Kritikou, Nikoletta."Haftar “agrees” to Tear up Libya-Turkey Maritime Deal: Greece." Accessed: 06.05.2020. https://www.euronews.com/2020/01/17/libya-s-haftar-holds-talks-in-athens-ahead-of-berlin-summit.
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  • "Natural Gas Potential Assessed in Eastern Mediterranean." Accessed: 18.11.2019. https://archive.usgs.gov/archive/sites/www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp-ID=2435.html.
  • Political Developments in Libya and Prospects of Stability. Accessed: 19.04.2020. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2017/603959/EPRS_BRI(2017)603959_EN.pdf.
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  • Ramani, Samuel. "Russia’s Strategy in Libya." Accessed: 03.05.2020. https://rusi.org/commentary/russias-strategy-libya.
  • “Russia Denies Sending Mercenaries to Libya.” Accessed: 03.05.2020. https://timesofmalta.com/articles/view/russia-denies-sending-mercenaries-to-libya.748143.
  • Shama, Nael M. "Gas and Conflict in the Eastern Mediterranean. Accessed 05.05.2020. https://atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/energysource/gas-and-conflict-in-the-eastern-mediterranean/.
  • "Speech and the Following Discussion at the Munich Conference on Security Policy." Accessed: 14.04.2020. http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/24034.
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There are 61 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Political Science, International Relations
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Gökhan Tekir 0000-0003-3985-7442

Publication Date June 30, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2020 Issue: 3

Cite

Chicago Tekir, Gökhan. “Russian-Turkish Involvement in the Civil War in Libya”. Türkiye Rusya Araştırmaları Dergisi, no. 3 (June 2020): 190-215.

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