Makine öğrenmesi algoritmalarıyla astronomik gözlem kalitesi tahminine yönelik karar destek sistemi geliştirilmesi ve uygulanması

Year 2022, Volume: 36 Issue: 3, 289 - 303, 15.07.2022

Ömer Çağrı Yavuz , Ersin Karaman , Cahit Yeşilyaprak

Abstract

Kurulumunun tamamlanmasıyla birlikte araştırmacıların kullanımına sunulması planlanan Doğu Anadolu Gözlemevi (DAG) teleskobunun etkin ve verimli kullanımı önem arz etmektedir. Bu çalışma kapsamında araştırmacılar tarafından sunulan projelerin, gözlemevinin bulunduğu bölgenin yerel özellikleri dikkate alınarak gözlem türüyle eşleştirilmesi, değerlendirilmesi ve en uygun güne atanmasına yönelik karar destek sistemi geliştirilmesi amaçlanmaktadır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda öncelikle Naive Bayes, K En Yakın Komşu, Karar Ağacı ve Rastgele Orman algoritması kullanılarak dört farklı algoritmanın performansları değerlendirilmiş, yeniden örnekleme yöntemleri uygulanmış ve öz niteliklerin sonuca etkisi incelenmiştir. Sonrasında MAUT yönteminden esinlenilerek her bir proje için yarar fonksiyonu formülünü barındıran fayda değerlerinin hesaplanmasına dayalı karar destek modeli geliştirilmiştir. Fayda değerleri projeler için başarı puanını temsil etmektedir. Projeler, gözlem türüne göre sınıflandırılarak başarı puanına göre büyükten küçüğe sıralanmıştır. Sonrasında önceden tahmin edilen gözlem türleri doğrultusunda projeler önceliklendirilerek ilgili günlere atanmıştır. Geliştirilen karar destek modeli ile teleskobun etkin ve verimli kullanımıyla birlikte değerlendirme sürecinin otomatikleştirilmesi amaçlanmaktadır.

Keywords

Astronomik gözlem kalitesi, Doğu Anadolu Gözlemevi, tahmin, karar destek sistemleri, makine öğrenmesi

Developing and implementing a decision support system for astronomical observation quality estimation with machine learning algorithms

Abstract

Keywords

Astronomival observation quality, decision support systems, Eastern Anatolia Observatory, estimation, machine learning

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