Research Article
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Spatiotemporal analysis of fatal earthquakes between 1800 and 2015 at a global scale

Year 2023, Volume: 5 Issue: 2, 92 - 100, 25.12.2023
https://doi.org/10.56130/tucbis.1356178

Abstract

Earthquakes are catastrophic natural disasters and along with their aftereffects, they have caused significant fatalities, injuries and economic losses throughout history, and have changed the landscape physically. There is a need to understand the distribution and associated damage patterns of earthquakes to be better prepared and to ensure mitigation of damage in the future. This study analyses the spatial and spatiotemporal trends of earthquake occurrence and associated fatality at a global scale over the 215-year period between 1800 and 2015. Spatial and spatiotemporal analyses revealed that certain countries in Asia including Türkiye, China, India, Pakistan and Indonesia suffered the most both in terms of fatality and earthquake occurrence. There were significant spatiotemporal clusters of earthquake occurrence over this time period on the southern half of Asia, Türkiye and southwest Europe and northern Africa. The findings of the study provide a spatial and spatiotemporal characterization of fatal earthquakes and improve our understanding of these patterns at the global scale. Spatial analyses covering longer time intervals at regional and global scales should be undertaken in future studies to provide a more comprehensive understanding of earthquake occurrence and associated damage patterns

References

  • Akyürek, Ö., & Arslan, O. (2018). Spatial statistical analysis of historical earthquakes (1900- 2016) in Kocaeli province and its surroundings. Journal of Geomatics, 3(1), 48-62. https://doi.org/10.29128/geomatik.333104
  • Al-Ahmadi, K., Al-Amri, A., & See, L. (2014). A spatial statistical analysis of the occurrence of earthquakes along the Red Sea floor spreading: clusters of seismicity. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 7, 2893-2904. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-013-0974-6
  • Alevkayalı, Ç., & Dindar, H. (2022) Spatial and temporal distribution of earthquakes in Cyprus and its surroundings: A geostatistical approach. Bulletin For Earth Sciences, 43(3), 197-211. https://doi.org/10.17824/yerbilimleri.1008258
  • Anselin, L. (1995). Local indicators of spatial association-LISA. Geographical Analysis, 27, 93–115. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.1995.tb00338.x
  • Benito, B., Cepeda, J. M., & Martinez Diaz, J. J. (2004). Analysis of the spatial and temporal distribution of the 2001 earthquakes in El Salvador. Geological Society of America Special Paper 375, 1-18.
  • GADM. (2021). Global administrative areas. Retrieved October 17, 2021, from https://gadm.org/download_country.html
  • Godano, C., Tosi, P., Derubeis, V., & Augliera, P. (1999). Scaling properties of the spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes: a multifractal approach applied to a Californian catalogue. Geophysical Journal International, 136(1), 99-108. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-246X.1999.00697.x
  • Gökkaya, K. (2016). Geographic analysis of earthquake damage in Türkiye between 1900 and 2012. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 7 (6), 1948-1961. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2016.1171259
  • Hashemi, M., & Alesheikh, A. (2011). Spatio-temporal analysis of Tehran’s historical earthquakes trends. In advancing geoinformation science for a changing world. Springer.
  • Kulldorff, M., Heffernan, R., Hartman, J., Assunçao, R., & Mostashari, F. (2005). A space–time permutation scan statistic for disease outbreak detection. PLOS Medicine, 2 (3), e59. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0020059
  • Kulldorff, M. (2015). SaTScanTM user guide for version 9.4. SaTScan.
  • Li, M., Zhenhua, Z., Xu, G., & Shi, P. (2015). Mapping earthquake risk of the world in world atlas of natural disaster risk. Springer.
  • NOAA. (2021) National Geophysical Data Center / World Data Service (NGDC/WDS): NCEI/WDS Global Significant Earthquake Database. Retrieved September 10, 2021, from https://doi.org/10.7289/V5TD9V7K
  • Rogerson, P. (2015). Statistical methods for geography: A student’s guide. 4th edition. SAGE Publications.
  • Shedlock, K. M., & Pakiser, C. L. (1998). Earthquakes. USGS report, p. 2. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.
  • Tağıl, Ş., & Alevkayalı, Ç. (2013), Earthquake spatial distribution in the egean region, Turkey: The geostatistical approach. The Journal of International Social Research, 6(28), 370-379.
  • Utsu, T. (1980). Spatial and temporal distribution of low-frequency earthquakes in Japan. Journal of Physics of the Earth, 28, 361-384. https://doi.org/10.4294/jpe1952.28.361
  • Xu, D. Y., & Ouchi, T. (1998). Spatiotemporal ordering of great earthquakes (M>=8.0) in Asia during 1934-1970 years. Kobe University Departmental Bulletin Paper, 2, 159-170.
  • Zheng-Xiang, F., Gui-Ping, L., Hui-Cheng, S., & Xiang, D. (2005). An overview on shallow strong earthquake activity and earthquake live losses of Chinese mainland in the centenary from 1901 to 2001. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 18, 392-401. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-005-0016-
  • Zohar, M., Salamon, A., & Rubin, R. (2017). Earthquake damage history in Israel and its close surrounding-evaluation of spatial and temporal patterns. Tectonophysics, 696–697, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2016.12.015

Spatiotemporal analysis of fatal earthquakes between 1800 and 2015 at a global scale

Year 2023, Volume: 5 Issue: 2, 92 - 100, 25.12.2023
https://doi.org/10.56130/tucbis.1356178

Abstract

Earthquakes are catastrophic natural disasters and along with their aftereffects, they have caused significant fatalities, injuries and economic losses throughout history, and have changed the landscape physically. There is a need to understand the distribution and associated damage patterns of earthquakes to be better prepared and to ensure mitigation of damage in the future. This study analyses the spatial and spatiotemporal trends of earthquake occurrence and associated fatality at a global scale over the 215-year period between 1800 and 2015. Spatial and spatiotemporal analyses revealed that certain countries in Asia including Türkiye, China, India, Pakistan and Indonesia suffered the most both in terms of fatality and earthquake occurrence. There were significant spatiotemporal clusters of earthquake occurrence over this time period on the southern half of Asia, Türkiye and southwest Europe and northern Africa. The findings of the study provide a spatial and spatiotemporal characterization of fatal earthquakes and improve our understanding of these patterns at the global scale. Spatial analyses covering longer time intervals at regional and global scales should be undertaken in future studies to provide a more comprehensive understanding of earthquake occurrence and associated damage patterns.

References

  • Akyürek, Ö., & Arslan, O. (2018). Spatial statistical analysis of historical earthquakes (1900- 2016) in Kocaeli province and its surroundings. Journal of Geomatics, 3(1), 48-62. https://doi.org/10.29128/geomatik.333104
  • Al-Ahmadi, K., Al-Amri, A., & See, L. (2014). A spatial statistical analysis of the occurrence of earthquakes along the Red Sea floor spreading: clusters of seismicity. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 7, 2893-2904. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-013-0974-6
  • Alevkayalı, Ç., & Dindar, H. (2022) Spatial and temporal distribution of earthquakes in Cyprus and its surroundings: A geostatistical approach. Bulletin For Earth Sciences, 43(3), 197-211. https://doi.org/10.17824/yerbilimleri.1008258
  • Anselin, L. (1995). Local indicators of spatial association-LISA. Geographical Analysis, 27, 93–115. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.1995.tb00338.x
  • Benito, B., Cepeda, J. M., & Martinez Diaz, J. J. (2004). Analysis of the spatial and temporal distribution of the 2001 earthquakes in El Salvador. Geological Society of America Special Paper 375, 1-18.
  • GADM. (2021). Global administrative areas. Retrieved October 17, 2021, from https://gadm.org/download_country.html
  • Godano, C., Tosi, P., Derubeis, V., & Augliera, P. (1999). Scaling properties of the spatio-temporal distribution of earthquakes: a multifractal approach applied to a Californian catalogue. Geophysical Journal International, 136(1), 99-108. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-246X.1999.00697.x
  • Gökkaya, K. (2016). Geographic analysis of earthquake damage in Türkiye between 1900 and 2012. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 7 (6), 1948-1961. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2016.1171259
  • Hashemi, M., & Alesheikh, A. (2011). Spatio-temporal analysis of Tehran’s historical earthquakes trends. In advancing geoinformation science for a changing world. Springer.
  • Kulldorff, M., Heffernan, R., Hartman, J., Assunçao, R., & Mostashari, F. (2005). A space–time permutation scan statistic for disease outbreak detection. PLOS Medicine, 2 (3), e59. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0020059
  • Kulldorff, M. (2015). SaTScanTM user guide for version 9.4. SaTScan.
  • Li, M., Zhenhua, Z., Xu, G., & Shi, P. (2015). Mapping earthquake risk of the world in world atlas of natural disaster risk. Springer.
  • NOAA. (2021) National Geophysical Data Center / World Data Service (NGDC/WDS): NCEI/WDS Global Significant Earthquake Database. Retrieved September 10, 2021, from https://doi.org/10.7289/V5TD9V7K
  • Rogerson, P. (2015). Statistical methods for geography: A student’s guide. 4th edition. SAGE Publications.
  • Shedlock, K. M., & Pakiser, C. L. (1998). Earthquakes. USGS report, p. 2. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office.
  • Tağıl, Ş., & Alevkayalı, Ç. (2013), Earthquake spatial distribution in the egean region, Turkey: The geostatistical approach. The Journal of International Social Research, 6(28), 370-379.
  • Utsu, T. (1980). Spatial and temporal distribution of low-frequency earthquakes in Japan. Journal of Physics of the Earth, 28, 361-384. https://doi.org/10.4294/jpe1952.28.361
  • Xu, D. Y., & Ouchi, T. (1998). Spatiotemporal ordering of great earthquakes (M>=8.0) in Asia during 1934-1970 years. Kobe University Departmental Bulletin Paper, 2, 159-170.
  • Zheng-Xiang, F., Gui-Ping, L., Hui-Cheng, S., & Xiang, D. (2005). An overview on shallow strong earthquake activity and earthquake live losses of Chinese mainland in the centenary from 1901 to 2001. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 18, 392-401. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-005-0016-
  • Zohar, M., Salamon, A., & Rubin, R. (2017). Earthquake damage history in Israel and its close surrounding-evaluation of spatial and temporal patterns. Tectonophysics, 696–697, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2016.12.015
There are 20 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Geospatial Information Systems and Geospatial Data Modelling, Geographic Information Systems, Natural Hazards
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Kemal Gökkaya 0000-0001-8980-5072

Early Pub Date December 18, 2023
Publication Date December 25, 2023
Published in Issue Year 2023 Volume: 5 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Gökkaya, K. (2023). Spatiotemporal analysis of fatal earthquakes between 1800 and 2015 at a global scale. Türkiye Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri Dergisi, 5(2), 92-100. https://doi.org/10.56130/tucbis.1356178

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