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BRICS ÜLKELERİ İLE TÜRK HİSSE SENEDİ PİYASALARI ARASINDAKİ VOLATİLİTE YAYILIMININ İNCELENMESİ

Year 2021, Volume: 6 Issue: 11, 101 - 117, 05.06.2021

Abstract

Bu çalışmada Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin ve Güney Afrika ekonomilerinden oluşan BRICS ülkelerinin hisse senedi piyasaları ile Türk hisse senedi piyasaları arasındaki volatilite yayılımı incelenmiştir. Hisse senedi piyasalarını temsilen MSCI endeksleri kullanılmıştır. Analizlerde çoklu Student t dağılım varsayımı altında iki değişkenli VAR(1)-Diagonal BEKK (1,1) modelinden yararlanılmıştır. Çalışma bulguları BRICS ülkelerinin hisse senedi piyasaları ile Türk hisse senedi piyasaları arasında volatilite yayılımının söz konusu olduğuna işaret etmektedir. Bulgular ayrıca Türk hisse senedi piyasalarının volatilitesi üzerinde en fazla Güney Afrika ve Rusya, en az ise Çin ve Hindistan hisse senedi piyasalarındaki volatilitenin etkili olduğunu göstermektedir.

References

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  • Arago-Manzana, V., & Fernandez-Izquierdo, M.A., (2007). Influence of Structural Changes in Transmission of Information Between Stock Markets: A European Empirical Study. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Vol.17, 112-124.
  • Aylward, A., & Glen, J., (2000). Some International Evidence on Stock Prices as Leading Indicators of Economic Activity. Applied Financial Economics, Vol.10,1-14.
  • Bai, J., & Perron, P., (1998). Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes. Econometrica, Vol.66, No.1, 47-78.
  • Bai, J., & Perron, P., (2003).Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural Change Models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol.8, No.1, 1-22.
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  • Berberoğlu, M., (2020).The Investigation of Volatility Spillover Effect Between Stock Markets of Turkey, Italy, Greece And Russia. Business & Management Studıes: An International Journal, Vol.8, No.2, 1576-1598.
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  • European Central Bank. (2012). Economic and Monetary Development, Monthly Bulletion, October, 47-50. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub /pdf/other/ mb 201210 _focus05.en.pdf. Erişim Tarihi: 04.02.2020.
  • Gebka, B., & Serwa, D,. (2007). Intra- and Inter-Regional Spillover Between Emerging Capital Markets Around The World. Research in International Business and Finance, Vol.21, 203-221.
  • Gürsoy, S., & Eroğlu, Ö., (2016). Yükselen Ekonomilerin Pay Piyasaları Arasında Getiri Ve Volatilite Yayılımı: 2006 - 2015 Yılları Arasında Yapılmış Bir Analiz. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, cilt.3, sa.1, 16-33.
  • Hamao, Y., Masulis, R.W., & Ng, V., (1990). Correlation in Price Changes and Volatility Across International Stock Market. The Review of Financial Studies, Vol.3, No.2, 281-307.
  • Inagaki, K., (2007). Testing For Volatility Spillover Between The British Pound And The Euro. Research in International Business and Finance,Vol.21, 161-174.
  • Kanas, A., (1998). Volatility Spillover Across Equity Markets: European Evidence. Applied Financial Economics, Vol.8, 245-256.
  • Koç, A., (2009). Borsalar Ekonomilerin Barometresi midir?. Dünya gazetesi, https://www.dunya.com/kose-yazisi/borsalar-ekonomilerin-barometresi-midir /55 01. Erişim Tarihi: 18.02.2020.
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  • Nakajima, T., & Hamori, S., (2012). Causality-in-Mean And Causality-in-Variance Among Electricity Prices, Crude Oil Prices, And Yen-US Dollar Exchange Rates in Japon. Research in International Business and Finance, Vol.26, 371-386.
  • Natarajan, V.K., Singh, A.R.R., & Priya, N.C., (2014). Examining Mean-Volatility Spillover Across National Stock Markets. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Vol.19, 55-62.
  • Phillips, P.C.B., & Perron, P., (1988). Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika, Vol.75, No.2, 335–346.
  • Ross, S.A. (1989). Information And Volatility: The No-Arbitrage Martingale Approach To Timing And Resolution Irrelevancy. Journal of Finance,Vol. XLIV,1-17.
  • Wang,Y., & Wu, C., (2012). Forecasting Energy Market Volatility Using GARCH Models : Can Multivariate Models Beat Univariate Models?. Energy Economics, Vol.34, 2167-2181.
  • Xu, H., & Hamori, S., (2012). Dynamic Linkages of Stock Prices Between The BRICS And United States: Effects Of The 2008-2009 Financial Crisis. Journal of Asian Economics,Vol.23, 344-352.
  • Zhou, X., Zhang, J., & Zhang, Z. (2021), “How Does News Flow Affect Cross-Market Volatility Spillovers? Evidence From China’s Stock Index Futures And Spot Markets. International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol.73, 196–213.
  • Zivkov, D., Njegic, J., & Milenkovic, I., (2015).Bidirectional Volatility Spillover Effect Between The Exchange Rate and Stocks in Selected Eastern European Economies. Czech Journal of Economics and Finance,Vol.65, No.6, 477-498.
Year 2021, Volume: 6 Issue: 11, 101 - 117, 05.06.2021

Abstract

References

  • Alkan, B., & Çiçek, S., (2020). Spillover Effect in Financial Markets in Turkey. Central Bank Review, Vol. 20, 53-64.
  • Arago-Manzana, V., & Fernandez-Izquierdo, M.A., (2007). Influence of Structural Changes in Transmission of Information Between Stock Markets: A European Empirical Study. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Vol.17, 112-124.
  • Aylward, A., & Glen, J., (2000). Some International Evidence on Stock Prices as Leading Indicators of Economic Activity. Applied Financial Economics, Vol.10,1-14.
  • Bai, J., & Perron, P., (1998). Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes. Econometrica, Vol.66, No.1, 47-78.
  • Bai, J., & Perron, P., (2003).Computation and Analysis of Multiple Structural Change Models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol.8, No.1, 1-22.
  • Bayramoğlu, M.F., & Abasız, T., (2017).Gelişmekte Olan Piyasa Endeksleri Arasında Volatilite Yayılım Etkisinin Analizi. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, cilt.74, 183-200.
  • Berberoğlu, M., (2020).The Investigation of Volatility Spillover Effect Between Stock Markets of Turkey, Italy, Greece And Russia. Business & Management Studıes: An International Journal, Vol.8, No.2, 1576-1598.
  • Cheung, Y-W., & Ng, L.K., (1996). A Causality-in-Variance Test And Its Application to Financial Market Prices. Journal of Econometrics, Vol.72, 33-48.
  • Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A., (1979). Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with Unit Root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol.74, 427–431.
  • Dijk, D., Osborn, D.R., & Sensier,M., (2005). Testing For Causality in Variance in The Presence of Breaks. Economic Letters,Vol.89, No.2,193-199.
  • Engle, R., & Kroner, K., (1995). Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, Vol.11, 122-150.
  • Ertena, I., Tuncela, M.B., & Okay, N., (2012). Volatility Spillovers in Emerging Markets During the Global Financial Crisis: Diagonal BEKK Approach. MPRA Paper 56190, University Library of Munich, Germany. https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/56190/. Erişim Tarihi:14.04.2020.
  • European Central Bank. (2012). Economic and Monetary Development, Monthly Bulletion, October, 47-50. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub /pdf/other/ mb 201210 _focus05.en.pdf. Erişim Tarihi: 04.02.2020.
  • Gebka, B., & Serwa, D,. (2007). Intra- and Inter-Regional Spillover Between Emerging Capital Markets Around The World. Research in International Business and Finance, Vol.21, 203-221.
  • Gürsoy, S., & Eroğlu, Ö., (2016). Yükselen Ekonomilerin Pay Piyasaları Arasında Getiri Ve Volatilite Yayılımı: 2006 - 2015 Yılları Arasında Yapılmış Bir Analiz. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, cilt.3, sa.1, 16-33.
  • Hamao, Y., Masulis, R.W., & Ng, V., (1990). Correlation in Price Changes and Volatility Across International Stock Market. The Review of Financial Studies, Vol.3, No.2, 281-307.
  • Inagaki, K., (2007). Testing For Volatility Spillover Between The British Pound And The Euro. Research in International Business and Finance,Vol.21, 161-174.
  • Kanas, A., (1998). Volatility Spillover Across Equity Markets: European Evidence. Applied Financial Economics, Vol.8, 245-256.
  • Koç, A., (2009). Borsalar Ekonomilerin Barometresi midir?. Dünya gazetesi, https://www.dunya.com/kose-yazisi/borsalar-ekonomilerin-barometresi-midir /55 01. Erişim Tarihi: 18.02.2020.
  • Kyle, A.A., (1985).Continuous Auctions And Inseder Trading. Econometrica, Vol.53,1315-1335.
  • Nakajima, T., & Hamori, S., (2012). Causality-in-Mean And Causality-in-Variance Among Electricity Prices, Crude Oil Prices, And Yen-US Dollar Exchange Rates in Japon. Research in International Business and Finance, Vol.26, 371-386.
  • Natarajan, V.K., Singh, A.R.R., & Priya, N.C., (2014). Examining Mean-Volatility Spillover Across National Stock Markets. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science, Vol.19, 55-62.
  • Phillips, P.C.B., & Perron, P., (1988). Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression. Biometrika, Vol.75, No.2, 335–346.
  • Ross, S.A. (1989). Information And Volatility: The No-Arbitrage Martingale Approach To Timing And Resolution Irrelevancy. Journal of Finance,Vol. XLIV,1-17.
  • Wang,Y., & Wu, C., (2012). Forecasting Energy Market Volatility Using GARCH Models : Can Multivariate Models Beat Univariate Models?. Energy Economics, Vol.34, 2167-2181.
  • Xu, H., & Hamori, S., (2012). Dynamic Linkages of Stock Prices Between The BRICS And United States: Effects Of The 2008-2009 Financial Crisis. Journal of Asian Economics,Vol.23, 344-352.
  • Zhou, X., Zhang, J., & Zhang, Z. (2021), “How Does News Flow Affect Cross-Market Volatility Spillovers? Evidence From China’s Stock Index Futures And Spot Markets. International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol.73, 196–213.
  • Zivkov, D., Njegic, J., & Milenkovic, I., (2015).Bidirectional Volatility Spillover Effect Between The Exchange Rate and Stocks in Selected Eastern European Economies. Czech Journal of Economics and Finance,Vol.65, No.6, 477-498.
There are 28 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Economics
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Önder Büberkökü 0000-0002-7140-557X

Celal Kızıldere 0000-0001-9904-0472

Kaan Yiğenoğlu 0000-0002-1961-6601

Publication Date June 5, 2021
Submission Date April 1, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 6 Issue: 11

Cite

APA Büberkökü, Ö., Kızıldere, C., & Yiğenoğlu, K. (2021). BRICS ÜLKELERİ İLE TÜRK HİSSE SENEDİ PİYASALARI ARASINDAKİ VOLATİLİTE YAYILIMININ İNCELENMESİ. Van Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 6(11), 101-117.