TÜRKİYE VE BİRLEŞİK KRALLIK’TA GREVDE KAYBOLAN İŞGÜNÜ SAYISININ ÜCRET ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ

Year 2019, Issue: 2, 143 - 168, 22.03.2019

Emre Ünal , Nezir Köse

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye ve Birleşik Krallık için ücret
üzerinde enflasyon ve ekonomik büyümenin yanı sıra grevde kaybolan işgünü
sayısının uzun ve kısa dönem etkileri 1963-2015 dönemlerini kapsayan yıllık
zaman serisi verileri kullanılarak Engle-Granger Eşbütünleşme Analizi ve Hata
Düzeltme Modeli çerçevesinde incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, her iki
ülkede de enflasyonun hem kısa hem de uzun dönemde, ekonomik büyümenin ise
sadece kısa dönemde ücretin belirleyicisi olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca grevde
kaybolan işgünü sayısının ücreti uzun dönemde pozitif yönde etkilediği buna
karşın kısa dönemde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkisinin olmadığı bulunmuştur.

Keywords

Eşbütünleşme, Hata Düzeltme, Girdi-Çıktı Analizi, Ücret Uzlaşması, Grevler, Matematiksel Temelli Sosyal Anlaşma

THE IMPACT OF LOST WORKING DAYS ON WAGE IN TURKEY AND UNITED KINGDOM DURING STRIKES

Abstract

In
this research, the long- and short-term impacts of workdays lost to strikes,
inflation and real GDP growth on wages have been analyzed in Turkey and the
United Kingdom, using the Engle-Granger Cointegration Test and Error Correction
Model on annual data collected for the years 1963-2015. The results revealed
that wage levels in these two countries are determined by real GDP growth only
in the short-term, but are influenced by inflation in both the short- and
long-terms. In addition, it was found that wage levels are positively affected by
workdays lost to strikes in the long-term, whereas the impact of workdays lost
to strikes on wages is not statistically significant in the short-term.

Keywords

Cointegration, Error Correction, Input-Output Analysis, Wage Setting, Strikes, Mathematical Base Social Contract

References

• • ASHENFELTER, O. ve JOHNSON, G. E., (1969), Bargaining Theory, Trade Unions, and Industrial Strike Activity, American Economic Review, 59 (1), 35-49.
• • BAAH, A. Y. ve REILLY, B., (2009), An Empricalanalysis of Strike Durations in Ghana from 1980 to 2004, LABOUR, 23 (3), 459-479.
• • BOERI, T., (2012), Setting the Minimum Wage, Labor Economics, 19 (3), 281-290.
• • BOYER, R., (1990), The Regulation School: A Critical Introduction, Çev., C., Charney, New York: Columbia University Press.
• • BOYER, R. ve HOLLINGSWORTH, J. R., (1997), The Variety of Institutional Arrangements and Their Complementarity in Modern Economies, (Ed.) R., Boyer & J., R., Hollingsworth, Contemporary Capitalism: The Embeddedness of Institutions, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
• • BOYER, R. ve SAILLARD, Y., (2002), A Summary of Regulation Theory, Çev., C., Shread, (Ed.) R., Boyer ve Y., Saillard, Regulation Theory: The State of the Art, London: Routledge.
• • DICKEY, D. A. ve FULLER, W. A., (1981), Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root, Econometrica, 49, 1057-72.
• • ENGLE, F. R. ve GRANGER, C. W. J., (1987), Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing, Econometrica, 55, 251-276.
• • HICKS, J. R., (1963), The Theory of Wages, Toronto: Palgrave Macmillan.
• • MORIN, A., (2017), Cyclicality of Wages and Union Power, Labor Economics, 48, 1-22.
• • MURILLO, M. V. ve RONCONI, L., (2004), Teachers’ Strikes in Argentine: Partisan Alignments and Public-Sector Labor Relations, Studies in Comparative International Development, 39 (1), 77-98.
• • PENCAVEL, J. H., (1970), An Investigation into Industrial Strike Activity in Britain, Economica, 37 (147), 239-256.
• • TARLING, R. ve WILKINSON, F., (1977), The Social Contract: Post-War Incomes Policies and Their Inflationary Impact, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 1 (4), 395-414.
• • UNI, H., (2007), Export-Biased Productivity Increase and Exchange Rate Regime in East Asia and Europe, Kyoto Economic Review, 76 (1), 117-138.
• • UNI, H., (2012), Comparative Analysis of Conditions for Monetary Integration: Europe and Asia, (Ed.) R., Boyer, H., Uemura, A., Isogai, Diversity and Transformations of Asian Capitalism, New York: Routledge, 287-305.
• • ÜNAL, E., (2016a), A Comparative Analysis of Export Growth in Turkey and China through Macroeconomic and Institutional Factors, Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, 13 (1), 57-91, DOI: 10.1007/s40844-016-0036-3.
• • ÜNAL, E., (2016b), How Can Turkey be Part of the EMU?: Turkey’s Economic and Monetary Integration into the EMU and the Analyses of Macroeconomic and Institutional Factors by Export-Led Growth, Kyoto Economic Review, 85 (1-2), 2-41.
• • ÜNAL, E., (2017), Turkey’s Current Account Deficit Problem and Integration into the Economic and Monetary Union of the European Union, Kyoto Economic Review, 86 (1-2): 1-49.
• • ÜNAL, E., (2018), An Institutional Approach and Input-Output Analysis for Explaining the Transformation of the Turkish Economy, Journal of Economic Structures, 7 (3), 1-38, DOI: 10.1186/s40008-017-0101-z.
• • ÜNAL, E. ve KÖSE, N., (2018), The Impact of Workdays Lost by Strike on Wage Growth in Turkey, Journal of Economic Structures, 7 (12), 1-19, DOI: 10.1186/s40008-018-0108-0.