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Türkiye’de Uzun-dönem Genç İşsizliği: Hanehalkı İşgücü İstatistiklerinden Bulgular

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2, 412 - 426, 31.05.2024
https://doi.org/10.29023/alanyaakademik.1276280

Öz

İşsizlik bireylerin ekonomik ve sosyal yaşantısı üzerinde yıkıcı sonuçlar doğuran en önemli sosyal risklerden biridir. Bir de işsizlik süresinin uzamasıyla, bir taraftan işsizler ve aileleri için yaşam koşulları giderek zorlaşırken, uzun dönem işsizler, işverenlerin gözünde damgalanmakta ve iş bulmakta çok daha fazla engellerle karşılaşmaktadırlar. Uzun dönem işsizlik gençler arasında çok daha yaygın bir şekilde gözlenen bir fenomendir. Bu açıdan uzun dönem işsizlik çoğu zaman genç işsizliğinin bir türü olarak algılanmaktadır. Bu çalışma, 2021 Türkiye Hanehalkı İşgücü Anketi mikro verisini kullanarak, uzun dönem işsizliğinin demografik ve işsizlikle ilgili değişkenler arasındaki ilişkisinde, genç kadın ve erkek arasındaki farklılıkları inceleyen bir analiz sunmayı amaçlamaktadır. Sonuçlar vasıf ve iş deneyimi eksikliği, yetersiz iş arama kanalı kullanımı, yeni mezun olmak ve profesyonel ya da yarı vasıf gerektiren pozisyonlarda bir iş aramak uzun dönem genç işsizliğini artırdığını ortaya koymaktadır. Ayrıca, üniversite derecesi kazanımları gençleri uzun dönem işsizliğe karşı koruyamamaktadır. Bu bağlamlarda, genç kadınlar uzun dönem işsizlik açısından genç erkeklerden daha fazla dezavantaja sahiptir.

Kaynakça

  • Aaronson, D., Mazumder, B., & Schechter, S. (2010). What is behind the rise in long-term unemployment? Economic Perspectives, 34(2), 28-51.
  • Acemoglu, D. (1995). Public policy in a model of long-term unemployment. Economica, 62(246), 161-178.
  • Adıgüzel, M. (2021). Türkiye’de genç işsizliği etkileyen faktörler. Econharran, 5(8), 100-129.
  • Altınsoy, H. (2020). Türkiye’de genç işsizliğinin boyutları ve çözümüne ilişkin öneriler. Çalışma İlişkileri Dergisi, 11(1), 69-89.
  • Assaad, R., & Levison, D. (2013). Employment for youth – a growing challenge for the global community. Commissioned Paper for the High-Level Panel on Post-2015 UN MDG Development Agenda Employment and Economic Growth.
  • Avcı, B.S. (2022). Türkiye’de genç işsizliğine etki eden faktörler. Abant Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 22(1), 33-46. https://doi.org/10.11616/asbi.954652
  • Baah-Boateng, W. (2016). The youth unemployment challenge in Africa: What are the drivers? The Economic and Labour Relations Review, 27(4), 413–431.
  • Begum, N. (2004). Characteristics of the short-term and long-term unemployed. Labour Market Trends, British Office for National Statistics Analysis in brief, 139-144.
  • Bell, D.N.F., & Blanchflower, D.G. (2011). Young people and the great recession. IZA Discussion Paper, No. 5674.
  • Blanchard, O.J., & Diamond, P. (1994). Ranking, unemployment duration, and wages. Review of Economic Studies, 61(3), 417-434.
  • Card, D., & Levine, P.B. (2000). Extended benefits and the duration of UI spells: Evidence from the new jersey extended benefit program. Journal of Public Economics, 78(1-2), 107-138.
  • Çalışma ve Sosyal Güvenlik Bakanlığı (ÇSGB) (2017). Ulusal istihdam stratejisi eylem planları (2017–2019): Ankara.
  • Demirgil, H. (2014). Parametrik olmayan (non-parametrik) hipotez testleri. Ş. Kalaycı (Ed.) SPSS Uygulamalı Çok Değişkenli İstatistik Teknikleri, 6. Baskı, Ankara, Asil Yayın Dağıtım, 85-112.
  • Devine, T.J., & Kiefer. N.M. (1991). Empirical labor economics: The search approach. Oxford University Press.
  • Davis, S.J., & Haltiwanger J. (2014). Labor market fluidity and economic performance. NBER Working Paper No. 20479 December.
  • Ellwood, D. (1982). Teenage unemployment: Permanent scars or temporary blemishes? Richard B. Freeman and David A. Wise (Eds.), The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes and Consequences, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 349-390
  • Ekiz, F.M., & Örk Özel, S. (2020). Genç işsizliğini belirleyen unsurlar: Türkiye örneği. İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(39), 1022-1045. https://doi.org/10.46928/iticusbe.768646
  • Eurofound (2017). Long-term unemployed youth: Characteristics and policy responses. Publications Office of the European Union: Luxembourg.
  • Fuchs, J., & Weber, E. (2015). Long-term unemployment and labor force participation. IAB-Discussion Paper, No.32, 1-20.
  • Godfrey, M. (2003). Youth employment policy in developing and transition countries - prevention as well as cure. The World Bank Social Protection Discussion Paper, Series No. 0320.
  • Gregg, P.A., & Tominey, E. (2005). The wage scar from male youth unemployment. Labour Economics, 12, 487–509.
  • Hornstein, A., & Lubik, T.A. (2010). The rise in long-term unemployment potential causes and implications. The Federal Reserv Bank of Ricmond 2010 Annual Report, 1-23.
  • ILO (2015a). Long-term unemployment. The Key Indicators of the Labour Market: Education and Labour Market (KILM 11), 1-4.
  • ILO (2015b). Global employment trends for youth 2015: Scaling up investments in decent jobs for youth. International Labour Office: Geneva.
  • ILO (2003). International training compendium on labour statistics, module 1 statistics of employment, unemployment, underemployment: Economically active population: Geneva, Switzerland.
  • Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) (2013). Youth employment programs: An evaluation of world bank and international finance corporation support. World Bank Publications: Washington, DC.
  • Jackman, R., & Layard, R. (1991). Does long-term unemployment reduce a person’s chance of a job? A time-series test. Economica, New Series 58, (229), 93-106.
  • Katz, L.F. (2010). Long-term unemployment in the great recession. Testimony for the Joint Economic Committee U.S. Congress, 1-13.
  • Kieselbach, T., & Traiser, U. (2004). Long-term unemployment and the risk of social exclusion among young people in Europe: Recommendations for activation policies. A. Serrano (Ed.), Are Activation Policies Converging in Europe? The European Employment Strategy for Young People: ETUI Brussels, 415-450.
  • Krueger, A.B., Cramer, J., & Cho, D. (2014). Are the long term unemployed on the margins of the labor market? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, (Spring), 229-299.
  • Krueger, A.B., & Mueller, A. (2011). Job search and job finding in a period of mass unemployment: Evidence from high-frequency longitudinal data. CEPS Working Paper, No. 215.
  • Ljungqvist, L., & Sargent, T.J. (1998). The European unemployment dilemma. Journal of Political Economy, 106(3), 514-550.
  • Llaudes, R. (2005). The phillips curve and long-term unemployment. European Central Bank Working Paper, No: 441.
  • Marelli, E., & Vakulenko, E. (2016). Youth unemployment in Italy and Russia: Aggregate trends and individual determinants. The Economic and Labour Relations Review, 27(3), 387–405.
  • Martin, J. (2012). Quality apprenticeships: The search for the holy grail. Paper Presented at NIESR Seminar Understanding and Influencing Young People’s Early Labour Market Experiences: London, England.
  • McQuaid, R.W., & Lindsay, C. (2002). The ‘employability gap’: Long-term unemployment and barriers to work in buoyant labour markets. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 20, 613-628.
  • Mroz, T.A., & Savage, T.H. (2006). The long-term effects of youth unemployment. Journal of Human Resources, 41(2), 259–293.
  • Mulligan, C.B. (2010). Do jobless benefits discourage people from findings jobs? Economix Blog, The New York Times, March 17.
  • Nichols, A., Mitchell, J., & Lindner, S. (2013). Consequences of long-term unemployment. The Urban Institute: Washington. D.C, 1-32.
  • Okun, A.M. (1962). Potential GNP: Its measurement and significance, In: Proceedings of the Business and Economics Section: American Statistical Association, 98-104.
  • O’Reilly, J., Eichhorst, W., Gábos, A., Hadjivassiliou, K. at al. (2015). Five characteristics of youth unemployment in Europe: Flexibility, education, migration, family legacies, and EU policy. SAGE Open, 5(1), 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244015574962
  • OECD (2017). Employment rate by age group (indicator), https://data.oecd.org
  • OECD, (2007). Jobs for youth: Slovak Republic.
  • Perovic, B. (2016). Defining youth in contemporary national legal and policy frameworks across Europe: Analytical paper, Council of Europe: Strasbourg.
  • Pissarides, C.A. (1992). Loss of skill during unemployment and the persistence of unemployment shocks. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(4), 1371-1391.
  • Sayın, F. (2011). Türkiye’de 1988-2010 döneminde eğitim ve büyümenin genç işsizliğine etkisinin analizi. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 13(4), 33-53.
  • Schmieder, J., Wachter, T.V., & Bender, S. (2009). The effects of unemployment insurance on labor supply and search outcomes: Regression discontinuity estimates from Germany: Columbia University.
  • Schmitt, J., & Wadsworth, J. (1993). Unemployment benefit levels and search activity. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 55(1), 1-24.
  • Soylu, Ö.B., & Aydın, B.N. (2020). Genç işsizliğin gelişimi, belirleyicileri ve iktisadi politikalar: Avrupa Birliği-Türkiye karşılaştırması. EKEV Akademi Dergisi, 82, 339-360.
  • TÜİK (2022). İşgücü istatistikleri mikro veri seti, 2021. Yayın no:4661: Ankara
  • TÜİK (2021a). 2014 ve sonrası işgücü istatistikleri.
  • TÜİK (2021b). 2021 hanehalkı işgücü anketi mikro verisi.
  • United Nations (BM) (2013). Fact sheet, definition of youth. http://www.un.org/esa/socdev/documents/youth/fact-sheets/youth-definition.pdf
  • Vertot, N. (2009). Youth in Slovenia. Ljubljana: Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia.

Long-term Youth Unemployment in Turkey: Findings from the Labour Force Statistics

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2, 412 - 426, 31.05.2024
https://doi.org/10.29023/alanyaakademik.1276280

Öz

Unemployment is one of the most important social risks that have devastating consequences on the economic and social life of individuals. With the prolongation of the unemployment period, while the living conditions for the unemployed and their families become increasingly difficult, the long-term unemployed are stigmatised in the eyes of employers and face many more obstacles in finding a job. Long-term unemployment is a much more common phenomenon among young people. In this respect, long-term unemployment is often perceived as youth unemployment. This study aims to present an analysis that examines the differences between young women and men in the relationship between long-term unemployment and demographic and unemployment-related variables, using microdata from the 2021 Turkey Labour Force Survey. The study reveals that lack of skills and work experience, use of inadequate job search channels, new-graduated, and seeking a job in professional or semi-skilled positions among youth increase long-term youth unemployment. Also, university degree attainments cannot protect young people against long-term unemployment. In these contexts, young women have more disadvantaged than young men in terms of long-term unemployment.

Kaynakça

  • Aaronson, D., Mazumder, B., & Schechter, S. (2010). What is behind the rise in long-term unemployment? Economic Perspectives, 34(2), 28-51.
  • Acemoglu, D. (1995). Public policy in a model of long-term unemployment. Economica, 62(246), 161-178.
  • Adıgüzel, M. (2021). Türkiye’de genç işsizliği etkileyen faktörler. Econharran, 5(8), 100-129.
  • Altınsoy, H. (2020). Türkiye’de genç işsizliğinin boyutları ve çözümüne ilişkin öneriler. Çalışma İlişkileri Dergisi, 11(1), 69-89.
  • Assaad, R., & Levison, D. (2013). Employment for youth – a growing challenge for the global community. Commissioned Paper for the High-Level Panel on Post-2015 UN MDG Development Agenda Employment and Economic Growth.
  • Avcı, B.S. (2022). Türkiye’de genç işsizliğine etki eden faktörler. Abant Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 22(1), 33-46. https://doi.org/10.11616/asbi.954652
  • Baah-Boateng, W. (2016). The youth unemployment challenge in Africa: What are the drivers? The Economic and Labour Relations Review, 27(4), 413–431.
  • Begum, N. (2004). Characteristics of the short-term and long-term unemployed. Labour Market Trends, British Office for National Statistics Analysis in brief, 139-144.
  • Bell, D.N.F., & Blanchflower, D.G. (2011). Young people and the great recession. IZA Discussion Paper, No. 5674.
  • Blanchard, O.J., & Diamond, P. (1994). Ranking, unemployment duration, and wages. Review of Economic Studies, 61(3), 417-434.
  • Card, D., & Levine, P.B. (2000). Extended benefits and the duration of UI spells: Evidence from the new jersey extended benefit program. Journal of Public Economics, 78(1-2), 107-138.
  • Çalışma ve Sosyal Güvenlik Bakanlığı (ÇSGB) (2017). Ulusal istihdam stratejisi eylem planları (2017–2019): Ankara.
  • Demirgil, H. (2014). Parametrik olmayan (non-parametrik) hipotez testleri. Ş. Kalaycı (Ed.) SPSS Uygulamalı Çok Değişkenli İstatistik Teknikleri, 6. Baskı, Ankara, Asil Yayın Dağıtım, 85-112.
  • Devine, T.J., & Kiefer. N.M. (1991). Empirical labor economics: The search approach. Oxford University Press.
  • Davis, S.J., & Haltiwanger J. (2014). Labor market fluidity and economic performance. NBER Working Paper No. 20479 December.
  • Ellwood, D. (1982). Teenage unemployment: Permanent scars or temporary blemishes? Richard B. Freeman and David A. Wise (Eds.), The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes and Consequences, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 349-390
  • Ekiz, F.M., & Örk Özel, S. (2020). Genç işsizliğini belirleyen unsurlar: Türkiye örneği. İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 19(39), 1022-1045. https://doi.org/10.46928/iticusbe.768646
  • Eurofound (2017). Long-term unemployed youth: Characteristics and policy responses. Publications Office of the European Union: Luxembourg.
  • Fuchs, J., & Weber, E. (2015). Long-term unemployment and labor force participation. IAB-Discussion Paper, No.32, 1-20.
  • Godfrey, M. (2003). Youth employment policy in developing and transition countries - prevention as well as cure. The World Bank Social Protection Discussion Paper, Series No. 0320.
  • Gregg, P.A., & Tominey, E. (2005). The wage scar from male youth unemployment. Labour Economics, 12, 487–509.
  • Hornstein, A., & Lubik, T.A. (2010). The rise in long-term unemployment potential causes and implications. The Federal Reserv Bank of Ricmond 2010 Annual Report, 1-23.
  • ILO (2015a). Long-term unemployment. The Key Indicators of the Labour Market: Education and Labour Market (KILM 11), 1-4.
  • ILO (2015b). Global employment trends for youth 2015: Scaling up investments in decent jobs for youth. International Labour Office: Geneva.
  • ILO (2003). International training compendium on labour statistics, module 1 statistics of employment, unemployment, underemployment: Economically active population: Geneva, Switzerland.
  • Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) (2013). Youth employment programs: An evaluation of world bank and international finance corporation support. World Bank Publications: Washington, DC.
  • Jackman, R., & Layard, R. (1991). Does long-term unemployment reduce a person’s chance of a job? A time-series test. Economica, New Series 58, (229), 93-106.
  • Katz, L.F. (2010). Long-term unemployment in the great recession. Testimony for the Joint Economic Committee U.S. Congress, 1-13.
  • Kieselbach, T., & Traiser, U. (2004). Long-term unemployment and the risk of social exclusion among young people in Europe: Recommendations for activation policies. A. Serrano (Ed.), Are Activation Policies Converging in Europe? The European Employment Strategy for Young People: ETUI Brussels, 415-450.
  • Krueger, A.B., Cramer, J., & Cho, D. (2014). Are the long term unemployed on the margins of the labor market? Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, (Spring), 229-299.
  • Krueger, A.B., & Mueller, A. (2011). Job search and job finding in a period of mass unemployment: Evidence from high-frequency longitudinal data. CEPS Working Paper, No. 215.
  • Ljungqvist, L., & Sargent, T.J. (1998). The European unemployment dilemma. Journal of Political Economy, 106(3), 514-550.
  • Llaudes, R. (2005). The phillips curve and long-term unemployment. European Central Bank Working Paper, No: 441.
  • Marelli, E., & Vakulenko, E. (2016). Youth unemployment in Italy and Russia: Aggregate trends and individual determinants. The Economic and Labour Relations Review, 27(3), 387–405.
  • Martin, J. (2012). Quality apprenticeships: The search for the holy grail. Paper Presented at NIESR Seminar Understanding and Influencing Young People’s Early Labour Market Experiences: London, England.
  • McQuaid, R.W., & Lindsay, C. (2002). The ‘employability gap’: Long-term unemployment and barriers to work in buoyant labour markets. Environment and Planning C: Government and Policy, 20, 613-628.
  • Mroz, T.A., & Savage, T.H. (2006). The long-term effects of youth unemployment. Journal of Human Resources, 41(2), 259–293.
  • Mulligan, C.B. (2010). Do jobless benefits discourage people from findings jobs? Economix Blog, The New York Times, March 17.
  • Nichols, A., Mitchell, J., & Lindner, S. (2013). Consequences of long-term unemployment. The Urban Institute: Washington. D.C, 1-32.
  • Okun, A.M. (1962). Potential GNP: Its measurement and significance, In: Proceedings of the Business and Economics Section: American Statistical Association, 98-104.
  • O’Reilly, J., Eichhorst, W., Gábos, A., Hadjivassiliou, K. at al. (2015). Five characteristics of youth unemployment in Europe: Flexibility, education, migration, family legacies, and EU policy. SAGE Open, 5(1), 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244015574962
  • OECD (2017). Employment rate by age group (indicator), https://data.oecd.org
  • OECD, (2007). Jobs for youth: Slovak Republic.
  • Perovic, B. (2016). Defining youth in contemporary national legal and policy frameworks across Europe: Analytical paper, Council of Europe: Strasbourg.
  • Pissarides, C.A. (1992). Loss of skill during unemployment and the persistence of unemployment shocks. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(4), 1371-1391.
  • Sayın, F. (2011). Türkiye’de 1988-2010 döneminde eğitim ve büyümenin genç işsizliğine etkisinin analizi. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 13(4), 33-53.
  • Schmieder, J., Wachter, T.V., & Bender, S. (2009). The effects of unemployment insurance on labor supply and search outcomes: Regression discontinuity estimates from Germany: Columbia University.
  • Schmitt, J., & Wadsworth, J. (1993). Unemployment benefit levels and search activity. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 55(1), 1-24.
  • Soylu, Ö.B., & Aydın, B.N. (2020). Genç işsizliğin gelişimi, belirleyicileri ve iktisadi politikalar: Avrupa Birliği-Türkiye karşılaştırması. EKEV Akademi Dergisi, 82, 339-360.
  • TÜİK (2022). İşgücü istatistikleri mikro veri seti, 2021. Yayın no:4661: Ankara
  • TÜİK (2021a). 2014 ve sonrası işgücü istatistikleri.
  • TÜİK (2021b). 2021 hanehalkı işgücü anketi mikro verisi.
  • United Nations (BM) (2013). Fact sheet, definition of youth. http://www.un.org/esa/socdev/documents/youth/fact-sheets/youth-definition.pdf
  • Vertot, N. (2009). Youth in Slovenia. Ljubljana: Statistical Office of the Republic of Slovenia.
Toplam 54 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Ayhan Görmüş 0000-0002-6175-5381

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mayıs 2024
Kabul Tarihi 4 Mart 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Görmüş, A. (2024). Türkiye’de Uzun-dönem Genç İşsizliği: Hanehalkı İşgücü İstatistiklerinden Bulgular. Alanya Akademik Bakış, 8(2), 412-426. https://doi.org/10.29023/alanyaakademik.1276280