Karadeniz Ekonomik İşbirliği Örgütü Ülkelerinde Enerji Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme İlişkisi: Panel Nedensellik Analizi
Yıl 2016,
Cilt: 16 Sayı: 2, 37 - 48, 12.08.2016
Yrd. Doç. Dr. Zafer Öztürk
,
Arş. Grv. Damla Öz
Öz
Karadeniz Ekonomik İşbirliği Örgütü 1992 yılında Türkiye öncülüğünde kurulmuştur. On iki üyesi olan bu oluşumun temel amacı hem ekonomik hem de politik ilişkileri küresel ve bölgesel düzeyde artırmaktır. Enerji havzası ve koridoru üzerinde bulunan bu ülkelerde sanayi sektörünün temel girdilerinden biri olan enerji ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin analizi uygulanacak enerji politikalarını da etkileyecektir. Bu çalışmada Karadeniz Ekonomik İşbirliği Örgütü’ne üye ülkelerde ekonomik büyüme ile enerji tüketimi arasındaki ilişki panel nedensellik metoduyla analiz edilmiştir. Bu amaçla, Konya (2006) tarafından geliştirilen yatay kesit bağımlılığını ve modeldeki değişen varyanslı hata terimi durumlarını hesaba katan panel SUR nedensellik testi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmada Dünya Bankası veri tabanı WDI’dan elde edilen yıllık kişi başına reel GSYH ve kişi başına enerji tüketimi verileri kullanılmıştır. Veriler 1992-2011 yılları arasını kapsamaktadır.
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