Üst Düzey Voleybol Maçlarında Beceriye Dayalı Faktörlerin Maç Sonucuna Etkileri

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 10 - 18, 31.03.2024

Fatih Kaya , Serkan Paçacı

Öz

Beceri performansı göstergelerinin puanlarla ilişkisini anlamak, karar verme ve hata kontrolü yoluyla avantaj sağlamada sporcular ve antrenörler için yararlıdır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, CEV Tokyo Voleybol Avrupa Elemeleri 2020 müsabakalarına katılan milli takımların maç sonuçlarına etki eden beceriye dayalı faktörleri belirlemek ve maç sonucuna yönelik tahminde bulunmaktı. Sekiz kadın (15 maç, 56 set) ve sekiz erkek (15 maç, 59 set) milli takımın toplam 30 maçı analiz edildi. Veriler, Avrupa Voleybol Konfederasyonu (CEV) bünyesindeki web sitelerinden alındı. Analiz edilen değişkenler şunlardır; maç sonucu, cinsiyet, servis direk puanı, servis hatası, blok sayısı, atak sayısı, atak hatası, bloklanan atak, atak puanı yüzdesi (APY), atak verimliliği, karşılama hatası, karşılama hatası yüzdesi (KHY), olumlu karşılama yüzdesi (OKY), mükemmel karşılama yüzdesi (MKY), atılan servis sonrası ralliyi kazanma, rakip hatası. Sonuçlar bloklanan atak, OKY ve atılan servis sonrası ralliyi kazanmanın maç sonucu üzerinde etkili olduğunu (p<0,05), atılan servis sonrası ralliyi kazanmanın ve OKY değişkenlerinin takımların kazanma olasılığına sırasıyla 0,318 ve 0,101’lik katkı yaptığını, bloklanan atak değişkeninin ise mağlubiyet olasılığına 0,465’lik katkı yaptığını gösterdi.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Voleybol, Lojistik Regresyon, Maç Sonucu, Tahmin

Etik Beyan

Bu çalışmanın, özgün bir çalışma olduğunu, çalışmanın hazırlık, veri toplama, analiz ve bilgilerin sunumu olmak üzere tüm aşamalarından bilimsel etik ilke ve kurallarına uygun davrandığını, bu çalışma için elde edilen veriler, insan ve hayvanların deneysel ya da diğer bilimsel amaçlarla kullanılması ve kişisel verilerin korunması kanunu gereğince retrospektif çalışmalar kapsamında olmamasından dolayı etik kurul iznine tabi olmadığını, çalışmanın Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE)' in tüm şartlarını ve koşullarını kabul ederek etik görev ve sorumluluklara riayet edildiğini tüm yazarlar adına beyan edildiğini bildiririm.

Teşekkür

Bu araştırmayı mümkün kılan Confédération Européenne de Volleyball’a veri kullanım izni verdiği için teşekkür ederiz. Katkılarından dolayı CEV Digital CEO’su Aurèle Weyeneth’e özel teşekkürler.

The Effects of Skill-Based Factors on The Results of High-Level Volleyball Games

Öz

Understanding the relationship of skill performance indicators to scores is helpful for athletes and coaches in gaining advantage through decision making and error control. The aim of this study was to determine the skill-based factors affecting the match results of the national teams participating in the CEV Tokyo Volleyball European Qualification 2020 competitions and to make predictions about the match result. A total of 30 national team’s matches of the 8 women (15 matches, 56 sets) and 8 men (15 matches, 59 sets) were analyzed. Data were obtained from the websites in the Confédération Européenne de Volleyball (CEV). The analyzed variables are: match result, gender, service aces, service errors, block points, attack points, attack errors, blocked attack, percentage of attack points (PAP), attack efficiency, reception errors, percentage of reception errors (PRE), percentage of positive receptions (PPR), percentage of excellent receptions (PER), break points, opponent errors. The results showed that blocked attack, PPR and break points were effective on the match result (p<0.05), break points and PPR variables contributed to the probability of winning the teams by 0.318 and 0.101 respectively while the blocked attack variable contributed to the probability of defeat by 0.465.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Volleyball, Logistic Regression, Match Result, Prediction

Etik Beyan

I declare on behalf of all authors that this study is an original work, that we acted in accordance with the scientific ethical principles and rules in all stages of the study, including preparation, data collection, analysis and presentation of information, that the data obtained for this study are not subject to ethical committee approval as they do not fall under the scope of retrospective studies according to the law on the use of human and animal subjects for experimental or other scientific purposes and the protection of personal data, and that we accepted and complied with all the terms and conditions and ethical duties and responsibilities of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE).

Teşekkür

We would like to thank the Confédération Européenne de Volleyball for granting us the permission to use the data that made this research possible. We also extend our special thanks to Aurèle Weyeneth, the CEO of CEV Digital, for his contributions.

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