Gelişmekte Olan Ekonomilerde Hiper Globolleşme Döneminde Kamu Harcamaları

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 23, 30 - 42, 30.06.2023

Deniz Songur , Jülide Yalçınkaya Koyuncu

https://doi.org/10.55589/bsbd.1301412

Öz

Globalleşme literatüründe etkinlik ve telafi hipotezleri geniş bir şekilde ele alınıp ampirik boyutta irdelenmektedir. Bu çalışmada etkinlik ve telafi hipotezlerinin geçerliliği on iki farklı kamu harcaması için sınamaktadır. Beş farklı globalleşeme indeksi (genel globalleşme, ekonomik globalleşme, politik globalleşme, kültürel globalleşme ve sosyal globalleşme indeksi) için analizler gerçekleştirilmiştir. Çalışmanın periyodu olarak globalleşmenin en yoğun olduğu Berlin duvarının çöküşü sonrası dönem (hiper globalleşme dönemi olarak adlandırılan 1989 yılı sonrası dönem) seçilmiş, analizler gelişmekte olan ülkeler örneklemi için dengesiz panel veri seti ve iki yönlü sabit etki modelleri kullanılarak gerçekleştirilmiştir. Ayrıca modellerde tüm değişkenler durağan hallerinde kullanılmıştır. Ele alınan beş farklı globalleşme türü için yapılan analizler sonrasında elde edilen sonuçlara göre yoğun bir şekilde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı pozitif katsayılar elde edilmiş olup, bundan dolayı da ağırlıklı bir biçimde telafi hipotezinin geçerli olduğu görülmüştür.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kamu Harcamaları, Hiper Globalleşme, Etkinlik Hipotezi, Telafi Hipotezi, İki Yönlü Sabit Etkiler Modeli

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