ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN HIGH-TECH PRODUCT IMPORTS AND CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT IN THE TURKISH ECONOMY

Yıl 2023, , 1 - 13, 10.07.2023

Mehmet Burak Karataş , Selman Yılmaz

https://doi.org/10.31671/doujournal.1160722

Öz

The aim of this study is to explain how the current account balance of the Turkish economy is affected by high technology product imports and this trade within the framework of causality analysis. One of the most important factors affecting the current account balance of a country is the import item. As a result of the lower export revenues of the country in return for the imports, the current account balance is adversely affected. The factor that provides the highest return in the production process of the country is the production of high-tech products. While some countries are at the top in the production of high-tech products, others are in the position of importers. Countries that are importers of high-tech products generally have current account deficit problems. However, all countries are trying to build their production structures to produce high-tech products. In this study, the relationship between high technology product imports and current account deficit in the Turkish economy was tested with Granger Causality Analysis. The current account deficit data obtained from the CBRT and the import level of high technology products obtained from TURKSTAT are used monthly between 2013-2021. As a result of the analysis carried out, no causal relationship could be determined between the import of high technology products and the current account deficit.

Anahtar Kelimeler

High Technology, Import, Current Account Deficit

TÜRKİYE EKONOMİSİNDE YÜKSEK TEKNOLOJİLİ ÜRÜN İTHALATI İLE CARİ AÇIK ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN ANALİZİ

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye ekonomisinin yüksek teknolojili ürün ithalatı ve bu ticaret sonucunda cari dengesinin nasıl etkilendiğini nedensellik analizi çerçevesinde açıklamaktır. Bir ülkenin cari işlemler dengesini etkileyen en önemli unsurlardan birisi ithalat kalemidir. Gerçekleştirilen ithalat karşılığında ülkenin elde etmiş olduğu ihracat gelirlerinin daha düşük olması sonucunda cari denge olumsuz etkilenmektedir. Ülkenin gerçekleştirdiği üretim süreci içerisinde en fazla getiriyi sağlayan unsur ise yüksek teknolojili ürün üretimi olmaktadır. Kimi ülkeler yüksek teknolojili ürün üretiminde üst sıralarda iken kimileri ise ithalatçı konumdadır. Yüksek teknolojili ürün ithalatçısı konumunda olan ülkelerin genellikle cari açık sorunları bulunmaktadır. Ancak bütün ülkeler üretim yapılarını yüksek teknolojili ürün üretmeye yönelik inşa etmeye çalışmaktadır. Bu çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisinde yüksek teknolojili ürün ithalatı ve cari açık arasındaki ilişki Granger Nedensellik Analizi ile test edilmiştir. TCMB'den elde edilen cari açık verileri ve TÜİK'ten elde edilen yüksek teknolojili ürün ithalat düzeyi 2013-2021 arasında aylık olarak kullanılmıştır. Gerçekleştirilen analiz sonucunda yüksek teknolojili ürün ithalatı ile cari açık arasında nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilememiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Yüksek Teknoloji, İthalat, Cari Açık

Kaynakça

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