Empirical evaluation of the pollution haven hypothesis for seven largest emerging economies within the framework of the new global climate agreements
Yıl 2024,
Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2, 85 - 95, 11.09.2024
Emine Kılavuz
,
Betül Altay Topcu
,
Sevgi Sumerli Sarıgül
Öz
This study aims to determine whether the Pollution Haven Hypothesis (PHavenH), which suggests the negative impact of the FDI on environmental quality (EQ), is valid in seven selected emerging market economies for the period 1990-2020. To achieve this goal, the CO2 emission (CE) model includes renewable energy consumption (REC) in addition to the FDI variable. The elasticity coefficients of the model, in which cross-sectional dependence (CSD) and slope heterogeneity were determined, were estimated by the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) method. The study found that FDI and REC positively influenced the EQ of the countries examined. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin (D-H) test results indicated a bidirectional causality relationship between FDI and CE. Additionally, a unidirectional causality was observed from REC to CE. These results suggest that both FDI and REC play a role in improving EQ. The results of the analysis show that the PHavenH, which expresses the view that FDI in the relevant countries causes environmental degradation (ED) in developing countries, is not valid. In other words, it confirms the Pollution Halo Hypothesis (PHaloH), which points to the finding that FDI improves EQ in the countries concerned. In this context, it has been concluded that REC has an important contribution to determining the validity of this hypothesis. The findings of the study suggest that it is essential to formulate policy recommendations aimed at boosting the production and utilization of renewable energy in the seven emerging market economies under investigation. Such initiatives can help enhance environmental sustainability and contribute to a cleaner and greener future for these countries.
Kaynakça
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- Apergis, N., Pinar, M., & Unlu, E. (2023). How do foreign direct investment flows affect carbon emissions in BRICS countries? Revisiting the pollution haven hypothesis using bilateral FDI flows from OECD to BRICS countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30, 14680-14692. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-23185-4
- Avcı, P., Sarıgül, S.S., Karataser, B., Cetin, M., & Aslan, A. (2024). Analysis of the relationship between tourism, green technological innovation and environmental quality in the top 15 most visited countries: evidence from method of moments quantile regression. Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, 26, 2337-2355, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10098-023-02708-8
- Balcılar, M. Usman, O., & Ike, G.N. (2023). Operational behaviours of multinational corporations, renewable energy transition, and environmental sustainability in Africa: Does the level of natural resource rents matter? Resources Policy, 81, 103344. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103344
- Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Gokmenoglu, K.K., Taspinar, N., & Cantos-Cantos, J.M. (2019). An approach to the pollution haven and pollution halo hypotheses in MINT countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(22), 23010-23026
- Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Ibáñez-Luzón, L., Usman, M., & Shahbaz, M. (2022). The environmental Kuznets curve, based on the economic complexity, and the pollution haven hypothesis in PIIGS countries. Renewable Energy, 185, 1441-1455. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2021.10.059
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Bashir, T., Mansha, A., Zulfiqar, R., & Riaz, R. (2014). Impact of FDI on economy growth: a comparison of Southasian states & China, European Scientific Journal, 10(1), 446-469.
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Blomquist, J. & Westerlund, J. (2013). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels with serial correlation. Economics Letters, 121(3), 374-378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2013.09.012
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- Destek, M.A., & Okumus, I. (2019). Does pollution haven hypothesis hold in newly industrialized countries? Evidence from ecological footprint. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(23), 23689-23695. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-05614-z
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- Han, J. et al. (2023). The construction of green finance and high-quality economic development under China’s SDGs target. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(52), 111891-111902
- Ibhagui, O. (2020). How does foreign direct investment affect growth in sub-Saharan Africa? New evidence from threshold analysis, Journal of Economic Studies, 47(1), 149-181. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-06-2018-0198
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- Koksal, C. & Cetin, G. (2021). The International Trade Analysis of Turkey’s Polluting Industries, Journal of Economic Policy Researches 8(2), 257-275. DOI: 10.26650/JEPR.930212
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https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073
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Yıl 2024,
Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2, 85 - 95, 11.09.2024
Emine Kılavuz
,
Betül Altay Topcu
,
Sevgi Sumerli Sarıgül
Kaynakça
- Ahmad, M., Jabeen, G., & Wu, Y. (2021). Heterogeneity of pollution haven/halo hypothesis and Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis across development levels of Chinese provinces, Journal of Cleaner Production, 285, 124898, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124898
- Alvarado, R. et al. (2022). Impact of the informal economy on the ecological footprint: the role of urban concentration and globalization. Economic Analysis and Policy, 75, 750-767.
- Alvarez-Herranz, A., Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Shahbaz, M., & Cantos, J. M. (2017). Energy innovation and renewable energy consumption in the correction of air pollution levels. Energy Policy, 105, 386-397. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.03.009
- An, H., Razzaq, A., Haseeb, M., and Mihardjo, L.W.W. (2021). The role of technology innovation and people’s connectivity in testing Environmental Kuznets Curve and Pollution Heaven Hypotheses across the Belt and Road host countries: New evidence from Method of Moments Quantile Regression, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(5), 5254-5270. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-10775-3
- Apergis, N., Pinar, M., & Unlu, E. (2023). How do foreign direct investment flows affect carbon emissions in BRICS countries? Revisiting the pollution haven hypothesis using bilateral FDI flows from OECD to BRICS countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30, 14680-14692. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-23185-4
- Avcı, P., Sarıgül, S.S., Karataser, B., Cetin, M., & Aslan, A. (2024). Analysis of the relationship between tourism, green technological innovation and environmental quality in the top 15 most visited countries: evidence from method of moments quantile regression. Clean Technologies and Environmental Policy, 26, 2337-2355, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10098-023-02708-8
- Balcılar, M. Usman, O., & Ike, G.N. (2023). Operational behaviours of multinational corporations, renewable energy transition, and environmental sustainability in Africa: Does the level of natural resource rents matter? Resources Policy, 81, 103344. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103344
- Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Gokmenoglu, K.K., Taspinar, N., & Cantos-Cantos, J.M. (2019). An approach to the pollution haven and pollution halo hypotheses in MINT countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(22), 23010-23026
- Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Ibáñez-Luzón, L., Usman, M., & Shahbaz, M. (2022). The environmental Kuznets curve, based on the economic complexity, and the pollution haven hypothesis in PIIGS countries. Renewable Energy, 185, 1441-1455. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2021.10.059
- Baltagi, B.H. (2013). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, Fifth Edition, England: John Wiley& Sons, Ltd.
Bashir, T., Mansha, A., Zulfiqar, R., & Riaz, R. (2014). Impact of FDI on economy growth: a comparison of Southasian states & China, European Scientific Journal, 10(1), 446-469.
- Benzerrouk, Z., Abid, M., & Sekrafi, H. (2021). Pollution haven or halo effect? A comparative analysis of developing and developed countries, Energy Reports, 7, 4862-4871, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2021.07.076
Blomquist, J. & Westerlund, J. (2013). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels with serial correlation. Economics Letters, 121(3), 374-378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2013.09.012
- Bulut, U., Ucler, G., & Inglesi_Lotz, R. (2021). Does the pollution haven hypothesis prevail in Turkey? Empirical evidence from nonlinear smooth transition models, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 38563-38572. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13476-7
- Cetin, M., & Ecevit, E. (2015). Urbanization, Energy Consumption and CO2 Emissions in Sub-Saharan Countries: A Panel Cointegration and Causality Analysis, Journal of Economics and Development Studies, 3(2), 66-76. https://doi.org/10.15640/jeds.v3n2a7
- Cetin, M., & Yuksel, Ö. (2018). Türkiye Ekonomisinde Enerji Tüketiminin Karbon Emisyonu Üzerindeki Etkisi, Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 5(2), 169-186. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.409119
- Çetin, M., et al. (2023a). The impact of natural resources, economic growth, savings, and current account balance on financial sector development: Theory and empirical evidence. Resources Policy, 81, 103300.
- Cetin, M., Sarıgul, S.S., Topcu, B.A., Alvarado, R.& Karataser, B. (2023b). Does globalization mitigate environmental degradation in selected emerging economies? assessment of the role of financial development, economic growth, renewable energy consumption and urbanization, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30, 100340-100359. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-29467-9
- Cetin, M., Ozturk, I., Sarigul, S.S., Murshed, M., & Kilavuz, E. (2024). Nexus between technological innovation and environmental pollution in selected OECD countries. Natural Resources Forum. https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.12458
- Chandra, R. (2004). Adam Smith and Competitive Equilibrium. Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, 1, 57-83, https://doi.org/10.14441/eier.1.57
- Chen, X.H., Tee, K., Elnahass, M., & Ahmed, R. (2023). Assessing the environmental impacts of renewable energy sources: A case study on air pollution and carbon emissions in China, Journal of Environmental Management, 345(1), 118525, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.118525
- Danish, & Ulucak, R. (2022). Analyzing energy innovation-emissions nexus in China: A novel dynamic simulation method, Energy, 244, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.123010
- Danish, Khan, SUD, & Ahmad, A. (2021). Testing the pollution haven hypothesis on the pathway of sustainable development: Accounting the role of nuclear energy consumption, Nuclear Engineering and Technology, 53(8), 2746-2752, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.net.2021.02.008
- Destek, M.A., & Okumus, I. (2019). Does pollution haven hypothesis hold in newly industrialized countries? Evidence from ecological footprint. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(23), 23689-23695. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-05614-z
- Diaconu, L. (2014). The foreign direct investments in South East Asia in the context of the 1997 and 2007 crises, Procedia - Social and Behavioural Sciences, 109, 160-164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.12.437
- Dumitrescu, E.-I. and Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450-1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014
- Eberhardt M., & Bond, S.R. (2009). Cross-sectional dependence in non-stationary panel models: A novel estimator. Nordic Econometric Meetings, Sweeden.
- Eberhardt, M., & Teal F. (2010). Productivity analysis in the global manufacturing production. Department of Economics, University of Oxford.
- Goh, S.K., Sam, C.Y., & McNown, R. (2017). Re-examining foreign direct investment, exports, and economic growth in asian economies using a bootstrap ARDL test for cointegration, Journal of Asian Economics, 51, 12-22, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2017.06.001
- Han, J. et al. (2023). The construction of green finance and high-quality economic development under China’s SDGs target. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(52), 111891-111902
- Ibhagui, O. (2020). How does foreign direct investment affect growth in sub-Saharan Africa? New evidence from threshold analysis, Journal of Economic Studies, 47(1), 149-181. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-06-2018-0198
- Kao, C. (1999). Spurious regression and residual-based tests for co-integration in panel data. Journal of Econometrics, 90(1), 1-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00023-2
- Karimi Alavijeh, N., Ahmadi Shadmehri, M.., Nazeer, N., Zangoei, S., & Dehdar, F. (2023). The role of renewable energy consumption on environmental degradation in EU countries: do institutional quality, technological innovation, and GDP matter? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30, 44607-44624. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-25428-4
- Koksal, C. & Cetin, G. (2021). The International Trade Analysis of Turkey’s Polluting Industries, Journal of Economic Policy Researches 8(2), 257-275. DOI: 10.26650/JEPR.930212
- Li, X., and Liu, X. (2005). Foreign direct ınvestment and economic growth: An ıncreasingly endogenous relationship, World Development, 33, 393-407. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2004.11.001
- Magazzino, C., Toma, P., Fusco,G., Valente, D., & Petrosillo, I. (2022). Renewable energy consumption, environmental degradation and economic growth: the greener the richer? Ecological Indicators, 139, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108912.
- Merican, Y., Yusop, Z., Noor, Z.M.& Hook, L.S. (2007). Foreign Direct Investment and the Pollution in Five ASEAN Nations, Int. Journal of Economics and Management, 1(2), 245-261.
- Mert, M., Bölük, G., & Caglar, A.E. (2019). Interrelationships among foreign direct investments, renewable energy, and CO2 emissions for different European country groups: a panel ARDL approach, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(21), 21495-21510. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-05415-4
- Ozkan, O., Coban, M.N., Iortile, I.B., and Usman, O. (2023). Reconsidering the environmental Kuznets curve, pollution haven, and pollution halo hypotheses with carbon efficiency in China: A dynamic ARDL simulations approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30, 68163-68176. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26671-5
- Pedroni, (2004). Panel cointegration: Asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an applicaton to the PPP hypothesis. Econometric Theory, 20, 597-625.
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0266466604203073
- Persyn, D., & Westerlund, J. (2008). Error-Correction-Based Cointegration Tests for Panel Data. The Stata Journal, 8(2), 232-241
- Pesaran, M.H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels, Discussion Paper No. 1240, 1-42.
- Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951
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