TÜRKİYE’DE ELEKTRİK TÜKETİMİNİN DİNAMİKLERİ VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME: SINIR TESTİ VE NEDENSELLİK ANALİZİ

Yıl 2014, , 37 - 65, 18.05.2015

Halil Altıntaş Özgür Koçbulut

https://doi.org/10.18070/euiibfd.83502

Cited By: 13

Öz

Bu çalışma, Türkiye’de elektrik tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi iki önemli kontrol değişkeni (ihracat ve yatırım) kullanarak araştırmaktadır. Ampirik uygulamada değişkenler arasında eş bütünleşmenin varlığı doğrulanmış ve ekonomik büyüme, ihracat ve yatırım değişkenlerinin uzun dönemde elektrik tüketimi üzerinde pozitif etkiye sahip olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca, elektrik tüketiminden ekonomik büyümeye doğru tek yönlü Granger nedensellik sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Bu sonuç, Türkiye’de enerji kaynaklarını korumaya yönelik elektrik tüketimini azaltıcı (konservatif) politikaların ve elektrik arzında ortaya çıkabilecek daralmaların ekonomik büyümeyi azaltabileceğini göstermektedir. Bu nedenle politika uygulayıcıları artan elektrik talebini karşılamak için enerji üretimini artırıcı ve tasarruf edici ileri teknolojileri benimsemeli ve yeni enerji kaynaklarını geliştirici projeleri desteklemelidir. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Elektrik Tüketimi, Ekonomik Büyüme, ARDL, Türkiye.

Kaynakça

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