THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION IN TURKEY

Yıl 2021, , 289 - 314, 31.08.2021

Mohammed Alnour

https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.861440

Cited By: 7

Öz

This study examines the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution in Turkey. The research uses annual time series data from 1970 to 2017. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root tests were used to test the stationarity of the series. In this the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is used as an estimation technique. Furthermore, the classical additive decomposition method was used to forecast the pollution. The results indicate that economic growth has a positive significant effect on environmental pollution in the short-run and positive but insignificant effect in the long-run. When the long-run and short-run elasticities were compared it is found that the long-run elasticity is greater than the short-run elasticity which challenges the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis and provides evidence against its existence in Turkey. The paper suggests that robust and effective environmental policies should be strictly implemented and closely monitored to reduce the environmental pollution and to ensure the preservation of resources for future generations.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic Growth, EKC, Environmental Pollution, CO2, EFP

TÜRKİYE'DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLE ÇEVRE KİRLİLİĞİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİ

Öz

Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de ekonomik büyüme ile çevre kirliliği arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmaktadır.Araştırmada,
1970 –2017 arasındaki yıllık zaman serisi verileri kullanılmıştır.Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) ve
Phillips-Perron (PP) birim kök testleri kullanılmıştır. Bu ARDL yaklaşımı bir tahmin tekniği olarak
kullanılmaktadır. Ayrıca, kirliliği tahmin etmek için klasik katkı ayrıştırma yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Elde
edilenbulgulara göre, ekonomik büyümenin kısa vadede çevre kirliliğine olumlu, uzun vadede ise olumlu
önemsiz etkiye sahip olduğunu göstermektedir. Uzun vadeli ve kısa vadeli esneklikler karşılaştırıldığında,
uzun vadeli esnekliğin, EKC hipoteziningeçerliliğini desteklemeyen kısa vadeli esneklikten daha büyük
olduğu bulunmuştur ve Türkiye'de Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi hipotezinin varlığına karşı kanıt sağlanmaktadır.Çalışma, çevre kirliliğini azaltmak ve gelecek nesillere aktarılacak kaynakların korunmasını sağlamak için sağlam ve etkili çevre politikalarının sıkı bir şekilde uygulanması ve yakından takip edilmesi gerektiğini öne sürmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

EKC, CO2, EFP, Ekonomik Büyüme, Çevre Kirliliği, CO2

Kaynakça

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