Türkiye’de Elektrikli Araçların Elektrik Tüketimi ve Toplam Elektrik Tüketiminde Payı: 2030 Projeksiyonu

Yıl 2025, , 423 - 432, 27.03.2025

Habip Şahin

https://doi.org/10.35234/fumbd.1603738

Öz

Elektrikli araçların hızlı yayılımı ve buna eşlik eden artan elektrik talebi, elektrik sistemine büyük bir yük getirecektir. Bu çalışmada, elektrikli araçların elektrik tüketimi geçmiş veriler kullanılarak analiz edilmiş ve yakın geleceğe yönelik tahminlerde bulunulmuştur. Türkiye pazarındaki elektrikli araçlar için ortalama ağırlıklı tüketim değeri 175 W/km olarak bulunmuştur. 2030 yılına kadar elektrik tüketiminin yıllık ortalama %2,5 artması beklenmektedir. 2023 için toplam tüketimde %0,03 olan elektrikli araçların elektrik tüketimindeki payının, 2030 yılında %0,64’e yükselmesi öngörülmektedir. Bu bulgulara dayanarak, Türkiye’nin artan elektrik talebini daha çevre dostu ve ekonomik olarak sürdürülebilir bir şekilde karşılayabilmesi için yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklarına yönelmesi ve yenilenebilir destekli akıllı şarj sistemlerini desteklemesi gerektiği sonucuna varılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Elektrikli araçlar, Elektrik, Elektrik tüketimi, Elektrik üretimi

Electricity Consumption of Electric Vehicles in Türkiye and its Share in Total Electricity Consumption: 2030 Projection

Öz

The rapid expansion of electric vehicles (EVs) and the accompanying increased demand for electricity will put a huge burden on the electrical system. In this paper, the electricity consumption of EVs is analyzed by using realized data and is forecasted for near future. The weighted average value of rated consumption for EVs in Turkish market is found to be 175 W/km. Until 2030, it is estimated that electricity consumption will increase by 2.5% annually on average. It is predicted that the electricity consumption shares of EVs in general consumption, which was 0.03% for 2023, will increase to 0.64% by 2030. Based on these findings, Türkiye should turn to renewable and sustainable energy sources and support renewable-supported smart charging systems to meet increasing demand for electricity in a more environmentally and economically sustainable manner.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Electric vehicles, Electricity, Electricity consumption, Electricity generation

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