Teknolojik değişimlerin patent verilerine dayalı istatistiksel kontrol grafikleri ile izlenmesi

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 36 Sayı: 4, 1875 - 1892, 02.09.2021

Nazlı Gülüm Mutlu , Serkan Altuntaş

https://doi.org/10.17341/gazimmfd.815361

Cited By: 2

Öz

Teknoloji değişimlerinin izlnemesi, karar vericiler için üretim sistemlerinde verimlilik ve etkinliği sağlayacak sistemleri tanımalarını sağlamaktadır. Bu nedenle, pratikte teknolojik gelişmeleri takip etmek çok önemli hale gelmiştir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, istatistiksel kontrol grafiklerini kullanarak iş sağlığı ve güvenliği alanındaki güvenlik teknolojilerinin gelişimini takip etmektir. Bu amaçla, güvenlik teknolojileri ile ilgili patent verileri, istatistiksel kontrol grafiklerinden I-MR grafiğini (individual moving range) oluşturmak için kullanılmıştır. Bununla birlikte, zaman serisi analizi de yürütülmüştür. Bu çalışmada, iş sağlığı ve güvenliği (İSG) alanındaki güvenlik teknolojilerine odaklanan çalışma sayısı son derece sınırlı düzeyde olup çalışmanın özgün yönünü oluşturmaktadır. Bu çalışmada elde edilen sonuçlara göre, tek bir teknoloji tahmin modelinin uzun vadeli kullanılması yanıltıcı olduğunu göstermiştir. Bununla birlikte, en uygun tahmin modeli 1947 ile 1988 ve 1988 ile 2012 dönemleri için tek üstel düzleştirme modelidir (single exponential smoothing “with optimal ARIMA parameters”). 2011 ile 2018 dönemi için ise en uygun modeli ikinci dereceden zaman serisi modeli (the quadratic time series model) en uygun modeldir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

İstatistiksel kontrol grafikleri, I-MR kontrol grafiği, patent analizi

Destekleyen Kurum

Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Bilimsel Araştırma Projeleri Koordinatörlüğü

Proje Numarası

Proje Numarası: FBA-2019-3697.

Teşekkür

Bu çalışma, Yıldız Teknik Üniversitesi Bilimsel Araştırma Projeleri Koordinatörlüğü tarafından desteklenmiştir. Destekleri için teşekkür ederiz. Proje Numarası: FBA-2019-3697.

Kaynakça

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