Araştırma Makalesi
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Orta Asya'nın Yapay Zeka Jeopolitiği: Rusya ve Çin Örnekleri

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1, 25 - 44, 31.05.2023
https://doi.org/10.28956/gbd.1249381

Öz

Yirmi birinci yüzyılda Yapay Zeka (YZ) teknolojileri güç araçlarını dönüştürmekte ve güç dengesinin dinamikleri üzerindeki rekabete katkıda bulunmaktadır. Orta Asya jeopolitiği çerçevesinde, Çin'in genişleyen YZ teknolojileri yalnızca ekonomik büyüme ve ulusal güce katkıda bulunmamakta, Rusya-Çin ilişkilerinin geleceği açısından da bilinmezlik unsurları barındırmaktadır. Halihazırda iki gücün Orta Asya'daki ilişkileri bir nevi 'antant kordial' çerçevesinde sürmekteyse de YZ alanındaki gelişmeler uzun dönemde söz konusu ilişkilerde olumsuz sonuçlar yaratabilecektir. Bu çalışma YZ teknolojilerinin olası sonuçlarını güç siyaseti çerçevesinde incelemekte ve Rusya-Çin ilişkilerini Orta Asya jeopolitiği düzleminde değerlendirmektedir. Araştırma kapsamında YZ teknolojilerinin askeri, ekonomik ve siyasi alanlarda araçsal olarak kullanılması ve uzun dönemde bölgesel sistemik dinamikler üzerindeki olası sonuçları konu edilmektedir. Son tahlilde, Rusya-Çin ilişkilerinin Orta Asya jeopolitiğinde uyumlu bir görüntü arz etmesine rağmen YZ teknolojilerinin stratejik bir unsur olarak kullanımının uzun dönemde söz konusu ilişkilerde meydan okumalara ve yeni stratejik rekabet alanlarına sebebiyet verebileceği tartışılmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Al Jazeera. (2023). As Alibaba Unveils ChatGPT Rival, China Flags New AI Rules. Retrieved April 29, 2023 from https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/4/11/as-alibaba-unveils-chatgpt-rival-china-flags-new-ai-rules
  • Bastian, M. (2023). Alibaba Launches Its GPT-4 Competitor as Beijing Crashes the Chatbot Party. The Decoder. Retrieved April 30, 2023 from https://the-decoder.com/alibaba-launches-its-gpt-4-competitor-as-beijing-crashes-the-chatbot-party/
  • BBC Future. (2021). Safe Cities: Using Smart Tech for Public Security. Retrieved June 17, 2021 from http://www.bbc.com/future/bespoke/specials/connected-world/government.html
  • Bekzod, Z. (2021). The Challenger and the Outsider: Why are China and Russia Interested in Promoting AI Development? International Affairs House. Retrieved July 20, 2021 from https://www.internationalaffairshouse.org/the-challenger-and-the-outsider-why-are-china-and-russia-interested-in-promoting-ai-development/
  • Bendett, S. (2018). The Development of Artificial Intelligence in Russia. In N. D. Wright (Ed.), Artificial Intelligence, China, Russia and Global Order. Air University Press, 168-178.
  • Bendett, S. (2022). Russia’s Artificial Intelligence Boom May Not Survive the War. Defense One. Retrieved April 28, 2022 from https://www.defenseone. com/ideas/2022/04/russias-artificial-intelligence-boom-may-not-survive-war/365743/
  • BriefCam. (2021). Video Analytics For Safe & Smart Cities. Retrieved June 28, 2021 from https://www.briefcam.com/who-we-serve/safe-smart-cities/
  • CNA. (2022). Artificial Intelligence and Autonomy in Russia: A Year’s Reflection. Retrieved October 1, 2022 from https://www.cna.org/reports/2022/09/ Artificial-Intelligence-and-Autonomy-in-Russia-A-Years-Reflection.pdf
  • Dubnov, A. (2018). Reflecting on a Quarter Century of Russia’s Relations With Central Asia. Retrieved March 2, 2021 from https://carnegieendowment.org/2018/04/19/reflecting-on-quarter-century-of-russia-s-relations-with-central-asia-pub-76117
  • Facon, I. (2016). A Perspective on Russia. Retrieved March 8, 2021 from http://drones.cnas.org/reports/a-perspective-on-russia/
  • Feldstein, S. (2019). The Road to Digital Unfreedom: How Artificial Intelligence is Reshaping Repression. Journal of Democracy, 30(1), 40-52 https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2019.0003.
  • Gigova, R. (2017). Who Vladimir Putin thinks will rule the world. CNN. Retrieved March 17, 2021 from https://edition.cnn.com/2017/09/01/world/putin-artificial-intelligence-will-rule-world/index.html
  • Hoagland, R., Wolkov, N., & Karibayeva, A. (2020). China’s Growing Influence In Central Asia Through Surveillance Systems. Retrieved May 13, 2021 from https://www.caspianpolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/PB-Chinas-growing-influence-in-CA-through-surveillance-systems.pdf
  • Huaxia, E. (2021). China’s AI industry scale exceeds 40 bln USD in 2020. Xinhua. Retrieved August 13, 2021 from http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-07/09/c_1310052462.htm#:~:text=China%27s AI industry scale exceeds 40 bln USD in 2020
  • James Kynge, Valerie Hopkins, Helen Warrell, K. H. (2021). Exporting Chinese surveillance: the security risks of ‘smart cities.’ Financial Times. Retrieved August 18, 2022 from https://www.ft.com/content/76fdac7c-7076-47a4-bcb0-7e75af0aadab
  • Joint-Forces. (2020). Orlan-10 UAV Systems For Kyrgyzstan. Retrieved August 18, 2022 from https://www.joint-forces.com/defence-equipment-news/33546-orlan-10-uav-systems-for-kyrgyzstan
  • Jonathan E. Hillman, M. M. (2019). Watching Huawei’s “Safe Cities.” Retrieved August 15, 2022 from https://www.csis.org/analysis/watching-huaweis-safe-cities
  • Kolomychenko, M. (2018). Russia tries more precise technology to block Telegram messenger. Reuters. Retrieved June 20, 2022 from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-telegram/russia-tries-more-precise-technology-to-block-telegram-messenger-idUSKCN1LF1ZZ
  • Lin, E. (2015). China’s safe cities serve as solutions and opportunities for growth. Asmag. Retrieved July 15, 2022 from https://www.asmag.com/showpost /19628.aspx#:~:text=Safe Cities as a Solution,to as safe city projects.
  • Markotkin, N., & Chernenko, E. (2020). Developing Artificial Intelligence in Russia: Objectives and Reality. Carnegie Moscow Center. Retrieved June 21, 2022 from https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82422
  • Marr, B. (2021). China Poised to Dominate the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Market. Forbes. Retrieved May 13, 2021 from https://www.forbes.com/sites/ bernardmarr/2021/03/15/china-poised-to-dominate-the-artificial-intelligence-ai-market/?sh=23cd4d6d1b38
  • Mirza, M. & Ayub, S. (2021). Sino-Russian Competitive Collaboration for the Central Asian Sphere of Influence. Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, 2021, 25 (4), 437-450. https://doi.org/10.3176/tr.2021.4.04
  • Moscow, I. (2021). Russian AI market overview. Retrieved April 25, 2022 from https://ict.moscow/en/projects/ai/
  • Nocetti, J. (2020). The Outsider: Russia in the Race for Artificial Intelligence. Russie, Nei Reports, No.34, France.
  • Petrella, S., Miller, C., & Cooper, B. (2020). Russia’s Artificial Intelligence Strategy: The Role of State-Owned Firms, Orbis, 65 (1), 75-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2020.11.004
  • Pieper, M. (2022). The Making of Eurasia: Competition and Cooperation Between China's Belt and Road Initiative and Russia. Great Britain: Bloomsbury Publishing.
  • Ramanand, D. (2022). Sino-Russian Cooperation and Competition in Central Asia, Journal of Defence Studies, 16 (2), 3–30.
  • Roberts, H., Cowls, J., Morley, J., Taddeo, M., Wang, V., & Luciano Floridi. (2021). The Chinese approach to artificial intelligence: an analysis of policy, ethics, and regulation. AI & Society, 36, 59–77. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00146-020-00992-2
  • Ruowei, L. (2019). 华为和中信国安投资超10亿美元发展乌兹别克斯坦数字基础设施 (Çev. Huawei ve CITIC Guoan, Özbekistan’ın dijital altyapısını geliştirmek için 1 milyar ABD) dolarının üzerinde yatırım yaptı. Sliuxgc. Retrieved May 13, 2021 from http://web.siluxgc.com/UZ/20190426/16656.html
  • Safecity. (2021). What is safecity? Retrieved July 1, 2022 from https://www.safecity.in/
  • Schwartz, H. A., & Montfort, P. (2020). Russia’s Recent Military Buildup in Central Asia. Center for Strategic & International Studies. Retrieved April 2, 2022 from https://www.csis.org/blogs/post-soviet-post/russias-recent-military-buildup-central-asia
  • Stanford University Human Centered Artificial Intelligence. (2021). Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2022 from https://aiindex.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/2021-AI-Index-Report-_Chapter-7.pdf
  • Sullivan, L. (2022). Artificial Intelligence in Russia. Geohistory. Retrieved May 25, 2022 from https://geohistory.today/artificial-intelligence-in-russia/
  • The Bell. (2019). Russia is struggling to implement the nationwide DPI system it needs for ‘Internet isolation.’ Meduza. Retrieved May 28, 2022 from https://meduza.io/en/news/2019/11/01/russia-is-struggling-to-implement-the-nationwide-dpi-system-it-needs-for-internet-isolation
  • Weber, V. (2020). The Sinicization of Russia’s Cyber Sovereignty Model. Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved June 1, 2022 from https://www.cfr.org/blog/sinicization-russias-cyber-sovereignty-model
  • Westerheide, F. (2020). China – The First Artificial Intelligence Superpower. Forbes. Retrieved May 20, 2021 from https://www.forbes.com/sites /cognitiveworld/2020/01/14/china-artificial-intelligence-superpower/?sh=3ed735cc2f05
  • Yan, Y. T. (2019). Smart Cities or Surveillance? Huawei in Central Asia. The Diplomat. Retrieved May 25, 2021 from https://thediplomat.com /2019/08/smart-cities-or-surveillance-huawei-in-central-asia/
  • Yi, X. (2021). State Security Law of the People’s Republic of China. Ministry of National Defense of the People’s Republic of China. Retrieved October 5, 2021 from http://eng.mod.gov.cn/publications/2021-06/29/content_4888389.htm
  • Zanini, A. (2022). China’s New Military Posture in Central Asia. Retrieved July 26, 2022 from https://nesa-center.org/dev/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/2022-0426_Chinas-New-Military-Posture-in-Central-Asia.pdf
  • Zardykhan, Z. (2022). Central Asia rushes into armed drone race as regional arms transfers brew: Drone diplomacy and geopolitics of arms race in Central Asia. Global Voices. Retrieved August 30, 2022 from https://globalvoices.org/2022/07/07/central-asia-rushes-into-armed-drone-race-as-regional-arms-transfers-brew/
  • Указ Президента Российской Федерации от 10.10.2019 г. № 490, (2019) (testimony of ПРЕЗИДЕНТА РОССИЙСКОЙ ФЕДЕРАЦИИ). Retrieved August 30, 2022 from http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/44731
  • 卢佩珊. (2019). 2019年 中国人工智能行业政策解读概览. Retrieved August 31, 2022 from https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202008061396710412_1.pdf? 1596711832000.pdf

The Geopolitics of Artificial Intelligence in Central Asia: Russian and Chinese Cases

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1, 25 - 44, 31.05.2023
https://doi.org/10.28956/gbd.1249381

Öz

In the 21st century, the Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies are increasingly transforming the instruments of power and contributing to intensifying rivalry on the dynamics of balance of power. In the context of the Central Asian geopolitics, China’s expanding AI technologies do not only serve for its economic growth and national power, but embody future areas of uncertainty in the Sino-Russian relations. Despite the current state of a kind of 'entente cordiale' over their role in the Central Asia, the future developments in the AI technologies can reinforce far-reaching repercussions in their relations. In this vein, this study analyzes the implications of AI technologies in terms of power politics and discusses the future of Sino-Russian relations in the Central Asian context. It addresses the possible utilization of AI technologies under the context of military, economic, and political areas and discusses possible consequences on the future of regional systemic dynamics. Consequently, the study argues that despite ongoing harmonious relations between the two power, the development and utilization of AI as a strategic asset in the Central Asian landscape can generate new areas of strategic competition and challenges for the future of Sino-Russian relations.

Kaynakça

  • Al Jazeera. (2023). As Alibaba Unveils ChatGPT Rival, China Flags New AI Rules. Retrieved April 29, 2023 from https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/4/11/as-alibaba-unveils-chatgpt-rival-china-flags-new-ai-rules
  • Bastian, M. (2023). Alibaba Launches Its GPT-4 Competitor as Beijing Crashes the Chatbot Party. The Decoder. Retrieved April 30, 2023 from https://the-decoder.com/alibaba-launches-its-gpt-4-competitor-as-beijing-crashes-the-chatbot-party/
  • BBC Future. (2021). Safe Cities: Using Smart Tech for Public Security. Retrieved June 17, 2021 from http://www.bbc.com/future/bespoke/specials/connected-world/government.html
  • Bekzod, Z. (2021). The Challenger and the Outsider: Why are China and Russia Interested in Promoting AI Development? International Affairs House. Retrieved July 20, 2021 from https://www.internationalaffairshouse.org/the-challenger-and-the-outsider-why-are-china-and-russia-interested-in-promoting-ai-development/
  • Bendett, S. (2018). The Development of Artificial Intelligence in Russia. In N. D. Wright (Ed.), Artificial Intelligence, China, Russia and Global Order. Air University Press, 168-178.
  • Bendett, S. (2022). Russia’s Artificial Intelligence Boom May Not Survive the War. Defense One. Retrieved April 28, 2022 from https://www.defenseone. com/ideas/2022/04/russias-artificial-intelligence-boom-may-not-survive-war/365743/
  • BriefCam. (2021). Video Analytics For Safe & Smart Cities. Retrieved June 28, 2021 from https://www.briefcam.com/who-we-serve/safe-smart-cities/
  • CNA. (2022). Artificial Intelligence and Autonomy in Russia: A Year’s Reflection. Retrieved October 1, 2022 from https://www.cna.org/reports/2022/09/ Artificial-Intelligence-and-Autonomy-in-Russia-A-Years-Reflection.pdf
  • Dubnov, A. (2018). Reflecting on a Quarter Century of Russia’s Relations With Central Asia. Retrieved March 2, 2021 from https://carnegieendowment.org/2018/04/19/reflecting-on-quarter-century-of-russia-s-relations-with-central-asia-pub-76117
  • Facon, I. (2016). A Perspective on Russia. Retrieved March 8, 2021 from http://drones.cnas.org/reports/a-perspective-on-russia/
  • Feldstein, S. (2019). The Road to Digital Unfreedom: How Artificial Intelligence is Reshaping Repression. Journal of Democracy, 30(1), 40-52 https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2019.0003.
  • Gigova, R. (2017). Who Vladimir Putin thinks will rule the world. CNN. Retrieved March 17, 2021 from https://edition.cnn.com/2017/09/01/world/putin-artificial-intelligence-will-rule-world/index.html
  • Hoagland, R., Wolkov, N., & Karibayeva, A. (2020). China’s Growing Influence In Central Asia Through Surveillance Systems. Retrieved May 13, 2021 from https://www.caspianpolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/PB-Chinas-growing-influence-in-CA-through-surveillance-systems.pdf
  • Huaxia, E. (2021). China’s AI industry scale exceeds 40 bln USD in 2020. Xinhua. Retrieved August 13, 2021 from http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-07/09/c_1310052462.htm#:~:text=China%27s AI industry scale exceeds 40 bln USD in 2020
  • James Kynge, Valerie Hopkins, Helen Warrell, K. H. (2021). Exporting Chinese surveillance: the security risks of ‘smart cities.’ Financial Times. Retrieved August 18, 2022 from https://www.ft.com/content/76fdac7c-7076-47a4-bcb0-7e75af0aadab
  • Joint-Forces. (2020). Orlan-10 UAV Systems For Kyrgyzstan. Retrieved August 18, 2022 from https://www.joint-forces.com/defence-equipment-news/33546-orlan-10-uav-systems-for-kyrgyzstan
  • Jonathan E. Hillman, M. M. (2019). Watching Huawei’s “Safe Cities.” Retrieved August 15, 2022 from https://www.csis.org/analysis/watching-huaweis-safe-cities
  • Kolomychenko, M. (2018). Russia tries more precise technology to block Telegram messenger. Reuters. Retrieved June 20, 2022 from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-telegram/russia-tries-more-precise-technology-to-block-telegram-messenger-idUSKCN1LF1ZZ
  • Lin, E. (2015). China’s safe cities serve as solutions and opportunities for growth. Asmag. Retrieved July 15, 2022 from https://www.asmag.com/showpost /19628.aspx#:~:text=Safe Cities as a Solution,to as safe city projects.
  • Markotkin, N., & Chernenko, E. (2020). Developing Artificial Intelligence in Russia: Objectives and Reality. Carnegie Moscow Center. Retrieved June 21, 2022 from https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82422
  • Marr, B. (2021). China Poised to Dominate the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Market. Forbes. Retrieved May 13, 2021 from https://www.forbes.com/sites/ bernardmarr/2021/03/15/china-poised-to-dominate-the-artificial-intelligence-ai-market/?sh=23cd4d6d1b38
  • Mirza, M. & Ayub, S. (2021). Sino-Russian Competitive Collaboration for the Central Asian Sphere of Influence. Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, 2021, 25 (4), 437-450. https://doi.org/10.3176/tr.2021.4.04
  • Moscow, I. (2021). Russian AI market overview. Retrieved April 25, 2022 from https://ict.moscow/en/projects/ai/
  • Nocetti, J. (2020). The Outsider: Russia in the Race for Artificial Intelligence. Russie, Nei Reports, No.34, France.
  • Petrella, S., Miller, C., & Cooper, B. (2020). Russia’s Artificial Intelligence Strategy: The Role of State-Owned Firms, Orbis, 65 (1), 75-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2020.11.004
  • Pieper, M. (2022). The Making of Eurasia: Competition and Cooperation Between China's Belt and Road Initiative and Russia. Great Britain: Bloomsbury Publishing.
  • Ramanand, D. (2022). Sino-Russian Cooperation and Competition in Central Asia, Journal of Defence Studies, 16 (2), 3–30.
  • Roberts, H., Cowls, J., Morley, J., Taddeo, M., Wang, V., & Luciano Floridi. (2021). The Chinese approach to artificial intelligence: an analysis of policy, ethics, and regulation. AI & Society, 36, 59–77. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00146-020-00992-2
  • Ruowei, L. (2019). 华为和中信国安投资超10亿美元发展乌兹别克斯坦数字基础设施 (Çev. Huawei ve CITIC Guoan, Özbekistan’ın dijital altyapısını geliştirmek için 1 milyar ABD) dolarının üzerinde yatırım yaptı. Sliuxgc. Retrieved May 13, 2021 from http://web.siluxgc.com/UZ/20190426/16656.html
  • Safecity. (2021). What is safecity? Retrieved July 1, 2022 from https://www.safecity.in/
  • Schwartz, H. A., & Montfort, P. (2020). Russia’s Recent Military Buildup in Central Asia. Center for Strategic & International Studies. Retrieved April 2, 2022 from https://www.csis.org/blogs/post-soviet-post/russias-recent-military-buildup-central-asia
  • Stanford University Human Centered Artificial Intelligence. (2021). Artificial Intelligence Index Report 2021. Retrieved April 20, 2022 from https://aiindex.stanford.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/2021-AI-Index-Report-_Chapter-7.pdf
  • Sullivan, L. (2022). Artificial Intelligence in Russia. Geohistory. Retrieved May 25, 2022 from https://geohistory.today/artificial-intelligence-in-russia/
  • The Bell. (2019). Russia is struggling to implement the nationwide DPI system it needs for ‘Internet isolation.’ Meduza. Retrieved May 28, 2022 from https://meduza.io/en/news/2019/11/01/russia-is-struggling-to-implement-the-nationwide-dpi-system-it-needs-for-internet-isolation
  • Weber, V. (2020). The Sinicization of Russia’s Cyber Sovereignty Model. Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved June 1, 2022 from https://www.cfr.org/blog/sinicization-russias-cyber-sovereignty-model
  • Westerheide, F. (2020). China – The First Artificial Intelligence Superpower. Forbes. Retrieved May 20, 2021 from https://www.forbes.com/sites /cognitiveworld/2020/01/14/china-artificial-intelligence-superpower/?sh=3ed735cc2f05
  • Yan, Y. T. (2019). Smart Cities or Surveillance? Huawei in Central Asia. The Diplomat. Retrieved May 25, 2021 from https://thediplomat.com /2019/08/smart-cities-or-surveillance-huawei-in-central-asia/
  • Yi, X. (2021). State Security Law of the People’s Republic of China. Ministry of National Defense of the People’s Republic of China. Retrieved October 5, 2021 from http://eng.mod.gov.cn/publications/2021-06/29/content_4888389.htm
  • Zanini, A. (2022). China’s New Military Posture in Central Asia. Retrieved July 26, 2022 from https://nesa-center.org/dev/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/2022-0426_Chinas-New-Military-Posture-in-Central-Asia.pdf
  • Zardykhan, Z. (2022). Central Asia rushes into armed drone race as regional arms transfers brew: Drone diplomacy and geopolitics of arms race in Central Asia. Global Voices. Retrieved August 30, 2022 from https://globalvoices.org/2022/07/07/central-asia-rushes-into-armed-drone-race-as-regional-arms-transfers-brew/
  • Указ Президента Российской Федерации от 10.10.2019 г. № 490, (2019) (testimony of ПРЕЗИДЕНТА РОССИЙСКОЙ ФЕДЕРАЦИИ). Retrieved August 30, 2022 from http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/44731
  • 卢佩珊. (2019). 2019年 中国人工智能行业政策解读概览. Retrieved August 31, 2022 from https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202008061396710412_1.pdf? 1596711832000.pdf
Toplam 42 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Uluslararası İlişkiler
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Övgü Kalkan Küçüksolak 0000-0002-3052-9728

Tuba Fırat Bu kişi benim 0000-0001-7636-9232

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mayıs 2023
Gönderilme Tarihi 9 Şubat 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Kalkan Küçüksolak, Ö., & Fırat, T. (2023). The Geopolitics of Artificial Intelligence in Central Asia: Russian and Chinese Cases. Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, 12(1), 25-44. https://doi.org/10.28956/gbd.1249381

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