DETERMINANTS OF CROSS-REGIONAL INCOME DIFFERENTIALS: THE CASE OF TURKEY

Yıl 2010, Cilt: 28 Sayı: 2, 71 - 94, 31.12.1899

Sevinç Mıhçı , Mehmet Zafer Köksal

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’de bölgeler
arası büyüme oranları ve gelir farklılıklarının belirleyenlerinin
araştırılmasıdır. Bu bağlamda bölgeler arası gelir dağılımı konusuyla ilgili
sorunlar için politika önerileri getirmek bir başka diğer amaçtır. Kullanacağımız
ampirik tahmin yöntemi panel veridir. Bu amaçla Türkiye’deki illerinin
1980-2000 yılları arasındaki verileri kullanılmıştır. Türkiye bölgeleri
arasındaki gelir ve büyüme farklılıklarının temel belirleyenlerinin,
literatürde neoklasik teori, içsel büyüme teorileri ve yeni ekonomik coğrafya
teorileri tarafından savunulan olası faktörler dikkate alınarak incelenmesi
hedeflenmektedir. Değişim katsayısı hesaplamaları bölgeler arasında en çok
değişen faktörlerin, kişi başına gelir ve yatırımın yanısıra, toplam
endüstriyel çıktının üretim içindeki payı, endüstrideki istihdam ve nüfus
yoğunluğu olduğunu göstermektedir. Tahmin sonuçları bölgelerarası kişi başına
gelir farklılıklarının temel belirleyenlerinin, fiziki ve beşeri sermaye
birikimi, istihdamın endüstriyel dağılımı ve demografik değişkenler olduğuna
işaret etmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Bölgesel büyüme, panel veri, yakınsama, içsel büyüme, yeni ekonomik coğrafya, değişim katsayısı

Bölgeler Arası Gelir Farklılıklarının Belirleyenleri: Türkiye Örneği

Öz

The basic goal of
this study is to enquire the major determinants of income and rate-of-growth
disparities amongst Turkish regions. Accordingly, coming up with a number of
policy proposals to tackle the question of cross-regional income distribution
is modestly one of the next objectives. The method we opt for is the empirical
estimation methods for panel data. To this end, a pooled data set of Turkish
provinces for the period 1980-2000 is employed. It is objected to examine the
main causes of income and growth differential among Turkish regions especially
by taking into account the likely factors advocated in the literature by
neoclassical theory, endogenous growth theories and new economic geography
models. The coefficient of variations shows that the most varying factors
amongst regions are the relative shares in total industrial output, industrial
employment rates and demographic concentration, besides per-capita investment
and income. Estimation results indicate that differences in physical and human
capital accumulation, the industrial composition of employment and demographic
variables are amongst the basic determinants of cross-provincial per-capita
income disparity.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Regional growth, panel data, convergence, endogenous growth, new economic geography, coefficient of variation

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