The Relationship between Innovation and Unemployent in Emerging Market Economies: Dynamic Panel Data Analysis
Yıl 2023,
Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 555 - 570, 25.10.2023
Serkan Manga
,
Abdulkadir Tuna
Öz
In economic litrature, there is a concensus on technological innovations have catalystic impact on economic growth. On the other hand, the discussions about effects of innovations on unemployment still continue. In this study; the debate between innovations and unemployment is examined in emerging market economies. Emerging markets are economies which are classifed in developing countries, also have some features of developed countries. While enjoying high economic growth rates, those economies also struggle with high unemployment rates. According to the findings of the study; there is a negative relationship between technological development and unemployment in emerging market economies. However, the strength of this negative relationship is weak.
Kaynakça
- (2022). Britannica İnternet Ansiklopedisi Web Sitesi: https://www.britannica.com/technology/artificial-intelligence adresinden alındı
- ACEMOĞLU, D., & RESTREPO, P. (2017). Pascual Restrepo, “Robots And Jobs:Evidence From Us Labor Markets. National Bureau of Economic Research.
- ANSAL, H., & CARDULLO, M. (1997). Impact Of Technology On Employment. Technology and Innovation Management:The Key to Global Leadership (s. 45-48). Portland: Portland International Conference on Management of Management and Technology.
- ARELLANO, M., & BOND, S. (1991). Some Tests Of Specification For Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence nd an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
- BOGLIACINO, F., PIVA, M., & VIVARELLI, M. (2012). R&D And Employment: An Application Of The LSDVC Estimator Using European Microdata. Economics Letter, 116(1), 56-59.
- BORREGO, C. A., & COLLADO, D. (2002). Innovation and Job Creation and Destruction. Recherches économiques de Louvain, 68(1), 148-168.
- BÖRTEÇİN, E. (2014). 4. Endüstri Devrimi Kapıda mı? Bilim ve Teknik, 28.
- BRYNJOLFSSON , E., & MCAFEE, A. (2014). The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies. New York: Norton&Company.
- CHANG, J.-H., RYNHART , G., & HUYNH, P. (2016). The future of jobs at risk of automation. International Labour Organisation, Bureau for Employers' Activities. https://www.ilo.org/actemp/publications/WCMS_579554/lang--en/index.htm adresinden alındı
- CIRERA, X., & SABETTI, L. (2016). The Effects Of Innovation On Employment In Developing Countries: Evidence From Enterprise Surveys. Industrial And Corporate Change. The World Bank Group, Trade and Competitiveness Global Pratice Group.
- COSTANTIELLO , A., & LEONGRANDE, A. (2020). The Innovation-Employment Nexus Europe. American Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Research, 4(11), 166-187.
- DORNBUSCH, R., FISHER, S., & STARTZ, R. (2016). Makro İktisat (12 b.). (D. Ak, Çev.) İstanbul: Literatür Yayıncılık.
- ERKAN , H., ATİK, H., TABAN, S., & ÖZSOY, C. (2013). Bilgi Ekonomisinin Tanımı Ve Özellikleri. (E. Kutlu, & B. T. Tosunoğlu, Dü) Eskişehir: Açıköğretim Yayınları.
- EVANGELISTA , R., & VEZZANI, A. (2012). The Impact Of Technological And Organizational Innovations On Employment In European Firms. Industrial and Corporate Change, 21(4), 817-899.
- FALKS, M., & HAGSTEN, E. (2017). Employment Impacts of Market Novelty Sales: Evidence for Nine European Countries. The Ratio Institute. Kasım 12, 2021 tarihinde http://ratio.se/app/uploads/2017/11/employment-mf_eh_impacts_of_market_novelty_sales_293.pdf adresinden alındı
- FELDMANN, H. (2013). Technological Unemployment In Industrial Countries. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 23(5), 1099-1126.
- FREY, C. B., & OSBORNE, M. B. (2017). The Future Of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs To Computerisation? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 114, 254-280.
- HALL, B. H., LOTTI, F., & MAIRESSE, J. (2006). Employment, Innovation And Productivity: Evidence From Italian Microdata. Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology. Aralık 25, 2021 tarihinde https://www.merit.unu.edu/publications/wppdf/2006/wp2006-043.pdf adresinden alındı
- HARRISON, R., JAUMANDREU, J., MAIRESSE, J., & PETERS , B. (2008). Does Innovation Stimulate Employment? A Firm-level Analysis Using Comparable Micro-data From Four European Countries. National Bureau of Economic Research. Aralık 25, 2021 tarihinde https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/18867/1/18867.pdf adresinden alındı
- KATZ, R. L., SUTER, S., & ZENHÄUSERN, P. (2010). The Impact of Broadband on Jobs and the German Economy. Intereconomics, 45(1), 26-34.
- KEYNES, J. M. (1936). The General Theory Of Employment, Interest And Money. Londra: Macmillan.
- KUZNETS, S. (1973). Modern Economic Growth: Findings and Reflections. The American Economic Review, 63(3), 247-258.
- MARX, K. (1887). Capital. Moskova: Progress Publishers.
- NÜBLER, I. (2016). New Technologies: A Jobless Futuure Or Golden Age Of Job Creation. ILO Reseach Department.
- OKUN, A. M. (1962). Its Measurement And Significance. (89-140).
- PINI, P. (1995). Economic Growth, Technological Change And Employment: Empirical Evidence For A Cumulative Growth Model With External Causation For Nine OECD Countries: 1960–1990. Structural Change And Economic Dynamics, 6(2), 185-213.
- PIVA, M., SANTARELLI, E., & VIVARELLI, M. (2005). The Skill Bias Effect Of Technological And Organisational Change: Evidence And Policy Implications. Research Policy, 34(2), 141-157.
- RICARDO, D. (1821). On The Principles Of Politiacal Economy And Taxation:3rd. Edition. Ontorio: Kitchener.
- ROODMAN, D. (2006). How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System. Center For Global Development.
- ROTTMANN, H., & LACHENMAIER, S. (2011). Effects of Innovation on Employment: A Dynamic Panel Analysis. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 29(2), 210-200.
- SARGAN, J. D. (1958). The Estimation of Economic Relationships using Instrumental Variables. Econometrica, 26(3), 393-415.
- SCHUMPETER, J. A. (1942). Capitalism, Socialism And Democracy:3rd Edition. New York: Harper Colins.
- SMITH, A. (2018). Ulusların Zenginliği. (A. Yunus, & M. Bakırcı, Çev.) İstanbul: Yeni Alan Yayıncılık.
- SOLOW, R. M. (1956). A Contribution To The Theory Of Economic Growth". Quarterly Journal of Economics., 70(1), 65-94.
- TAYLOR, G. W. (1940). Round Table On Collective Bargaining And Job Security. American Economic Review,, 30, 223-229.
- The World Bank. (2016). Digital Dividend. Aralık 19, 2021 tarihinde https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2016 adresinden alındı
- The World Bank Group. (2021). Establishing ‘Emerging Markets. Kasım 17, 2021 tarihinde International Finance Corporation: https://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/corp_ext_content/ifc_external_corporate_site/about+ifc_new/ifc+history/establishing-emerging-markets adresinden alındı
- UĞUR, M. (2019). Innovation, Technology Adoption And Employment: Evidence Synthesis. K. F. Zimmermann içinde, Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics (s. 1-23). Springer.
- ZAİM, S. (1997). Çalışma Ekonomisi (10 b.). İstanbul: Filiz Kitapevi.
Yükselen Piyasa Ekonomilerinde Teknolojik Gelişim ve İşsizlik İlişkisinin İncelenmesi: Dinamik Panel Veri Analizi
Yıl 2023,
Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 555 - 570, 25.10.2023
Serkan Manga
,
Abdulkadir Tuna
Öz
İktisat literatürü, teknolojik yeniliklerin ekonomik büyüme üzerinde katalizör etkisine sahip olduğu konusunda fikir birliği içerisindedir. Buna karşın, teknolojik yeniliklerin işsizlik üzerine etkileri konusunda tartışmalar devam etmektedir. Bu çalışmada; yükselen piyasa ekonomilerindeki teknolojik gelişimin, işsizlik üzerindeki etkisi incelenmiştir. Yükselen piyasa ekonomileri, gelişmekte olan ülkeler grubu içerisinde yer almasına karşın, bazı nitelikler nedeniyle gelişmiş ülkelere benzemektedirler. Yüksek ekonomik büyüme performansına sahip bu gruptaki ülkelerde, aynı zamanda yüksek işsizlik ile mücadele etmektedir. Çalışmanın bulgularına göre; yükselen piyasa ekonomilerinde teknolojik gelişim ile işsizlik arasında negatif ilişki tespit edilmiştir. İlişkinin negatif yönde olduğu fakat kuvvetinin zayıf olduğu görülmüştür.
Kaynakça
- (2022). Britannica İnternet Ansiklopedisi Web Sitesi: https://www.britannica.com/technology/artificial-intelligence adresinden alındı
- ACEMOĞLU, D., & RESTREPO, P. (2017). Pascual Restrepo, “Robots And Jobs:Evidence From Us Labor Markets. National Bureau of Economic Research.
- ANSAL, H., & CARDULLO, M. (1997). Impact Of Technology On Employment. Technology and Innovation Management:The Key to Global Leadership (s. 45-48). Portland: Portland International Conference on Management of Management and Technology.
- ARELLANO, M., & BOND, S. (1991). Some Tests Of Specification For Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence nd an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
- BOGLIACINO, F., PIVA, M., & VIVARELLI, M. (2012). R&D And Employment: An Application Of The LSDVC Estimator Using European Microdata. Economics Letter, 116(1), 56-59.
- BORREGO, C. A., & COLLADO, D. (2002). Innovation and Job Creation and Destruction. Recherches économiques de Louvain, 68(1), 148-168.
- BÖRTEÇİN, E. (2014). 4. Endüstri Devrimi Kapıda mı? Bilim ve Teknik, 28.
- BRYNJOLFSSON , E., & MCAFEE, A. (2014). The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies. New York: Norton&Company.
- CHANG, J.-H., RYNHART , G., & HUYNH, P. (2016). The future of jobs at risk of automation. International Labour Organisation, Bureau for Employers' Activities. https://www.ilo.org/actemp/publications/WCMS_579554/lang--en/index.htm adresinden alındı
- CIRERA, X., & SABETTI, L. (2016). The Effects Of Innovation On Employment In Developing Countries: Evidence From Enterprise Surveys. Industrial And Corporate Change. The World Bank Group, Trade and Competitiveness Global Pratice Group.
- COSTANTIELLO , A., & LEONGRANDE, A. (2020). The Innovation-Employment Nexus Europe. American Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Research, 4(11), 166-187.
- DORNBUSCH, R., FISHER, S., & STARTZ, R. (2016). Makro İktisat (12 b.). (D. Ak, Çev.) İstanbul: Literatür Yayıncılık.
- ERKAN , H., ATİK, H., TABAN, S., & ÖZSOY, C. (2013). Bilgi Ekonomisinin Tanımı Ve Özellikleri. (E. Kutlu, & B. T. Tosunoğlu, Dü) Eskişehir: Açıköğretim Yayınları.
- EVANGELISTA , R., & VEZZANI, A. (2012). The Impact Of Technological And Organizational Innovations On Employment In European Firms. Industrial and Corporate Change, 21(4), 817-899.
- FALKS, M., & HAGSTEN, E. (2017). Employment Impacts of Market Novelty Sales: Evidence for Nine European Countries. The Ratio Institute. Kasım 12, 2021 tarihinde http://ratio.se/app/uploads/2017/11/employment-mf_eh_impacts_of_market_novelty_sales_293.pdf adresinden alındı
- FELDMANN, H. (2013). Technological Unemployment In Industrial Countries. Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 23(5), 1099-1126.
- FREY, C. B., & OSBORNE, M. B. (2017). The Future Of Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs To Computerisation? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 114, 254-280.
- HALL, B. H., LOTTI, F., & MAIRESSE, J. (2006). Employment, Innovation And Productivity: Evidence From Italian Microdata. Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology. Aralık 25, 2021 tarihinde https://www.merit.unu.edu/publications/wppdf/2006/wp2006-043.pdf adresinden alındı
- HARRISON, R., JAUMANDREU, J., MAIRESSE, J., & PETERS , B. (2008). Does Innovation Stimulate Employment? A Firm-level Analysis Using Comparable Micro-data From Four European Countries. National Bureau of Economic Research. Aralık 25, 2021 tarihinde https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/18867/1/18867.pdf adresinden alındı
- KATZ, R. L., SUTER, S., & ZENHÄUSERN, P. (2010). The Impact of Broadband on Jobs and the German Economy. Intereconomics, 45(1), 26-34.
- KEYNES, J. M. (1936). The General Theory Of Employment, Interest And Money. Londra: Macmillan.
- KUZNETS, S. (1973). Modern Economic Growth: Findings and Reflections. The American Economic Review, 63(3), 247-258.
- MARX, K. (1887). Capital. Moskova: Progress Publishers.
- NÜBLER, I. (2016). New Technologies: A Jobless Futuure Or Golden Age Of Job Creation. ILO Reseach Department.
- OKUN, A. M. (1962). Its Measurement And Significance. (89-140).
- PINI, P. (1995). Economic Growth, Technological Change And Employment: Empirical Evidence For A Cumulative Growth Model With External Causation For Nine OECD Countries: 1960–1990. Structural Change And Economic Dynamics, 6(2), 185-213.
- PIVA, M., SANTARELLI, E., & VIVARELLI, M. (2005). The Skill Bias Effect Of Technological And Organisational Change: Evidence And Policy Implications. Research Policy, 34(2), 141-157.
- RICARDO, D. (1821). On The Principles Of Politiacal Economy And Taxation:3rd. Edition. Ontorio: Kitchener.
- ROODMAN, D. (2006). How to Do xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System. Center For Global Development.
- ROTTMANN, H., & LACHENMAIER, S. (2011). Effects of Innovation on Employment: A Dynamic Panel Analysis. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 29(2), 210-200.
- SARGAN, J. D. (1958). The Estimation of Economic Relationships using Instrumental Variables. Econometrica, 26(3), 393-415.
- SCHUMPETER, J. A. (1942). Capitalism, Socialism And Democracy:3rd Edition. New York: Harper Colins.
- SMITH, A. (2018). Ulusların Zenginliği. (A. Yunus, & M. Bakırcı, Çev.) İstanbul: Yeni Alan Yayıncılık.
- SOLOW, R. M. (1956). A Contribution To The Theory Of Economic Growth". Quarterly Journal of Economics., 70(1), 65-94.
- TAYLOR, G. W. (1940). Round Table On Collective Bargaining And Job Security. American Economic Review,, 30, 223-229.
- The World Bank. (2016). Digital Dividend. Aralık 19, 2021 tarihinde https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2016 adresinden alındı
- The World Bank Group. (2021). Establishing ‘Emerging Markets. Kasım 17, 2021 tarihinde International Finance Corporation: https://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/corp_ext_content/ifc_external_corporate_site/about+ifc_new/ifc+history/establishing-emerging-markets adresinden alındı
- UĞUR, M. (2019). Innovation, Technology Adoption And Employment: Evidence Synthesis. K. F. Zimmermann içinde, Handbook of Labor, Human Resources and Population Economics (s. 1-23). Springer.
- ZAİM, S. (1997). Çalışma Ekonomisi (10 b.). İstanbul: Filiz Kitapevi.