ORTA ASYA: REKABETTEN İŞ BİRLİĞİNE ÇİN-RUSYA İLİŞKİLERİ
Yıl 2020,
Cilt: 5 Sayı: 10, 213 - 225, 30.06.2020
Alaeddin Yalçınkaya
,
Esra Hatipoğlu
Öz
Sovyetler Birliğinin dağılmasından sonra iki kutuplu sistemin de sona ermesi Orta Asya’nın içinde olduğu Sovyet dönemindeki Büyük Oyunu yeniden gündeme getirdi. Bu Yeni Büyük Oyun, uluslararası politikada oldukça sıradanlaştığı halde yeni aktörler de tarafları arasında yer almaya başladı. Bu bölgede, 1990’lı yıllardan itibaren ABD, Rusya ve Çin ile zaman zaman devreye giren diğer bir aktör ile bölge ülkeler arasında oyun sürmektedir. Söz konusu oyuncular, güçlerini ve etkilerini olabildiğince en üst düzeye çıkarmaya çalışırlar ve diğer oyuncuların daha etkili olmalarını engellemek için her şeyi yaparlar. Her oyuncunun kendisine göre avantajları/dezavantajları bulunmakta olup iş birliğini ilerletmek veya şartlara göre diğer oyuncular arasındaki çatışmayı teşvik etmek için çeşitli araçlar kullanırlar. Bu makale, Orta Asya’da Rusya ve Çin arasındaki ilişkilere odaklanmakta ve bu konudaki manevralarını tartışmaktadır. İlk bölümde Rusya ve Çin’in bölgesel rekabetteki konumlarını güçlendirmeye çalıştıkları politikalar tahlil edilmekte, daha sonra iki ülkeyi bir araya getirerek iş birliğine yönlendiren motivasyonlar ele alınmaktadır. Son olarak Rusya ile Çin için söz konusu iş birliğinin sürdürülebilir olup olmadığı analiz edilmektedir
Kaynakça
- Amanov, Ş. 2007. ABD’nin Orta Asya Politikaları. İstanbul: Gökkubbe.
- Aris, S. 2012. “The Response of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization to the Crisis in Kyrgyzstan”, Civil Wars, 14 (3): 451-476.
- Blagov, S. 2007. "Russia Urges Formation of Central Asian Energy Club". http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav110707a.shtml
- Blagov, S. 2005. “Russia and China Band Together to Oppose US in Space”, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 2(116).
- Blank, S. 2006. “China Makes Policy Shift, Aiming to Widen Access to Central Asian Energy”, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/business/articles/eav031306.shtml
- Bohm, M. 2013. "Why Putin Wants US Bases in Afghanistan", The Moscow Times, http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/why-putin-wants-us-bases-in-afghanistan/480087.html
- Caroe, O. 1953. Soviet Empire- The Turks of Central Asia and Stalinism. London: Macmillan/St. Martin's Press
- “Central Asia-Regional Framework Paper”. 2004. http://www.worldbank.org/eca/kazakhstan/share/CentralAsiaRegionalFrameworkfinal.pdf
- “China Joins the Great Central Asian Base Race”. 2005. http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav111605_pr.shtml
- Cohen, A. 2001. “The Russia-China Friendship and Co-operation Treaty: A Strategic Shift in Eurasia?”, The Heritage Foundation Backgrounder.
- Edwards, M. 2003.“The New Great Game and the New Great Gamers: Disciplines of Kipling and Mackinder”, Central Asian Survey, 22 (1): 83-102.
- Erol, M. S. 2013. "Avrasya'da Türkmen Hattı", http://www.usgam.com/tr/index.php?l=807&cid=1980&konu=0&bolge=15
- Henze, P. 1998. "Kaşgarya'da Büyük Oyun, Yakub Beg Nezdindeki İngiliz ve Rus Temsilcileri", Doğu Türkistan'ın Sesi, 14-35.
- Hill, F. 2004. “Russia’s Newly Found Soft Power”, Globalist.
- Indeo, F. 2014. “Central Asia Beyond 2014: Building Regional Security Architecture”, ISPI, http://www.ispionline.it/sites/default/files/pubblicazioni/analysis_262__2014.pdf
- Jiang, W. 2006. “Beijing’s New Thinking on Energy Security”, China Brief, 6 (8).
- Kimmage, D. 2005. “Central Asia: The Mechanics of Russian Influence”, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/pp091605_pr.shtml
- “Law on Ratification of Russian-Kyrgyzstani Agreement on Building and Operating Upper Naryn Cascade of Hydropower Plants, 2013. http://eng.kremlin.ru/acts/5399
- McGlinchey, E. 2005. “Avoiding the Great Game and Domestic Unrest in Eurasia”, PONARS Policy, 402 : 217-221
- “Meeting with President of the Pepole's Republic of China Hu Jintao”. 2010. http://eng.kremlin.ru/news/411
- Nam-ju, L. 2001. “From Partnership to Alliance?-The Development of Sino-Russian Relations”, East Asian Review, 13 (1).
- Nogayeva, A. 2011. Orta Asya’da ABD, Rusya ve Çin: Stratejik Denge Arayışları, Ankara, USAK.
- Norberg, J. and E. Holmquist (eds.). 2014. ISAF’s Withdrawal from Afghanistan-Central Asian Perspectives on Regional Security. http://www.ispionline.it/sites/default/files/pubblicazioni/analysis_262__2014.pdf
- Olcott, M. 2005. “The Great Powers in Central Asia”, http://www.currenthistory.com/archiveoct05/currentissue.html
- “Press Statements following Russian-Chinese Talks” 2010, http://eng.kremlin.ru/transcripts/5160
- “Russia’s Central Asia Energy Strategy Experiences a Few Setbacks”. 2013, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav051107_.shtml
- “Russian-Chinese Talks”. 2010. http://eng.kremlin.ru/news/5156
- Saray, M. 1984. Rus İşgali Devrinde Osmanlı Devleti İle Türkistan Hanlıkları Arasındaki Münasebetler 1775-1875, İstanbul: Türk Tarih Kurumu
- Schlapentokh, D. 2005. “Russia’s Foreign Policy and Eurasianism”, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav080205a.shtml
- Schuyler, E. 1966. Turkistan: Notes of Journey in Russian Turkestan, Khokand, Bukhara and Kuldja, New York: Frederick A. Praeger Publisher.
- Small, A. 2013. “Why is China Talking to the Taliban?”, http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1780882/Comment:-Why-is-China-talking-to-the-Taliban
- Swanström, N. 2005. “China and Central Asia: A New Great game or Traditional Vassal Relations?”, Journal of Contemporary China, 14 (45): 569-584.
- Togan, Z. V. 1942. Bugünkü Türkili (Türkistan) ve Yakın Tarihi, İstanbul: Enderun Kitabevi
- Trenin, D. 2005a. “Russian Foreign and Security Policy under Putin”, http://www.carnegie.ru/en/print/72804
- Trenin, D. 2005b. “Russia between America and China”, http://www.carnegie.ru/en/print/72788-print.htm
- Weir, F. 2005. “Russia, China could Form NATO of the East”, http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2005-10-25-russia-china-bloc_x.htm
- Weitz, R. 2012a. “Superpower Symbiosis: The Russia-China Axis”, World Affairs, 71-78.
- Weitz, R. 2012b. “Global Insight: Uzbekistan Key to Regional Stability”, World Politics Review, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/12421/global-insights-uzbekistan-key-to-regional-stability
- Xinhua. 2019. “Xi Urges Joint Efforts to Open up New Prospects for Asian Security, Development”. CinaDaily, 15.06. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201906/15/WS5d048adba3103dbf1432862d.html
- Yalçınkaya, A. 2006. Sömürgecilik-Panislamizm Işığında Türkistan, 1856-1922. Ankara: Lalezar.
RUSSIA - CHINA RELATIONS IN CENTRAL ASIA: FROM COMPETITION TO COOPERATION
Yıl 2020,
Cilt: 5 Sayı: 10, 213 - 225, 30.06.2020
Alaeddin Yalçınkaya
,
Esra Hatipoğlu
Öz
The disintegration of the Soviet Union followed by the demise of the bi-polar world system appeared to revive the Great Game in ex-Soviet space including Central Asia. This new Great Game has taken a very recognizable feature but now it seems that it is being played out with the expanded set of actors. Starting from the 1990s, we have been witnessing game within games taking place in the region. The first game is played between the USA, Russia and China while the the other one is played among the regional countries. The players try to maximize their power and influence and they do everything possible to prevent other players to become more influential. Each player has its own strengths/weaknesses and each one uses various tools in both furthering the cooperation or provoking competition with other actors according to the merits of the issue concerned. This article focuses on the relations between Russia and China and will discuss their objectives and maneuvering in Central Asia. In the first part, the policies whereby Russia and China seek to strengthen their positions in the regional competition will be analysed, then the motivations that bring Russia and China together in their relations and led them to cooperate will be explained. Finally, the sustainability of cooperation between Russia and China will be explored. Here, the historical and geopolitical infrastructure of this competition and cooperation policies are discussed.
Kaynakça
- Amanov, Ş. 2007. ABD’nin Orta Asya Politikaları. İstanbul: Gökkubbe.
- Aris, S. 2012. “The Response of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization to the Crisis in Kyrgyzstan”, Civil Wars, 14 (3): 451-476.
- Blagov, S. 2007. "Russia Urges Formation of Central Asian Energy Club". http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav110707a.shtml
- Blagov, S. 2005. “Russia and China Band Together to Oppose US in Space”, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 2(116).
- Blank, S. 2006. “China Makes Policy Shift, Aiming to Widen Access to Central Asian Energy”, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/business/articles/eav031306.shtml
- Bohm, M. 2013. "Why Putin Wants US Bases in Afghanistan", The Moscow Times, http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/why-putin-wants-us-bases-in-afghanistan/480087.html
- Caroe, O. 1953. Soviet Empire- The Turks of Central Asia and Stalinism. London: Macmillan/St. Martin's Press
- “Central Asia-Regional Framework Paper”. 2004. http://www.worldbank.org/eca/kazakhstan/share/CentralAsiaRegionalFrameworkfinal.pdf
- “China Joins the Great Central Asian Base Race”. 2005. http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav111605_pr.shtml
- Cohen, A. 2001. “The Russia-China Friendship and Co-operation Treaty: A Strategic Shift in Eurasia?”, The Heritage Foundation Backgrounder.
- Edwards, M. 2003.“The New Great Game and the New Great Gamers: Disciplines of Kipling and Mackinder”, Central Asian Survey, 22 (1): 83-102.
- Erol, M. S. 2013. "Avrasya'da Türkmen Hattı", http://www.usgam.com/tr/index.php?l=807&cid=1980&konu=0&bolge=15
- Henze, P. 1998. "Kaşgarya'da Büyük Oyun, Yakub Beg Nezdindeki İngiliz ve Rus Temsilcileri", Doğu Türkistan'ın Sesi, 14-35.
- Hill, F. 2004. “Russia’s Newly Found Soft Power”, Globalist.
- Indeo, F. 2014. “Central Asia Beyond 2014: Building Regional Security Architecture”, ISPI, http://www.ispionline.it/sites/default/files/pubblicazioni/analysis_262__2014.pdf
- Jiang, W. 2006. “Beijing’s New Thinking on Energy Security”, China Brief, 6 (8).
- Kimmage, D. 2005. “Central Asia: The Mechanics of Russian Influence”, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/pp091605_pr.shtml
- “Law on Ratification of Russian-Kyrgyzstani Agreement on Building and Operating Upper Naryn Cascade of Hydropower Plants, 2013. http://eng.kremlin.ru/acts/5399
- McGlinchey, E. 2005. “Avoiding the Great Game and Domestic Unrest in Eurasia”, PONARS Policy, 402 : 217-221
- “Meeting with President of the Pepole's Republic of China Hu Jintao”. 2010. http://eng.kremlin.ru/news/411
- Nam-ju, L. 2001. “From Partnership to Alliance?-The Development of Sino-Russian Relations”, East Asian Review, 13 (1).
- Nogayeva, A. 2011. Orta Asya’da ABD, Rusya ve Çin: Stratejik Denge Arayışları, Ankara, USAK.
- Norberg, J. and E. Holmquist (eds.). 2014. ISAF’s Withdrawal from Afghanistan-Central Asian Perspectives on Regional Security. http://www.ispionline.it/sites/default/files/pubblicazioni/analysis_262__2014.pdf
- Olcott, M. 2005. “The Great Powers in Central Asia”, http://www.currenthistory.com/archiveoct05/currentissue.html
- “Press Statements following Russian-Chinese Talks” 2010, http://eng.kremlin.ru/transcripts/5160
- “Russia’s Central Asia Energy Strategy Experiences a Few Setbacks”. 2013, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav051107_.shtml
- “Russian-Chinese Talks”. 2010. http://eng.kremlin.ru/news/5156
- Saray, M. 1984. Rus İşgali Devrinde Osmanlı Devleti İle Türkistan Hanlıkları Arasındaki Münasebetler 1775-1875, İstanbul: Türk Tarih Kurumu
- Schlapentokh, D. 2005. “Russia’s Foreign Policy and Eurasianism”, http://www.eurasianet.org/departments/insight/articles/eav080205a.shtml
- Schuyler, E. 1966. Turkistan: Notes of Journey in Russian Turkestan, Khokand, Bukhara and Kuldja, New York: Frederick A. Praeger Publisher.
- Small, A. 2013. “Why is China Talking to the Taliban?”, http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/1780882/Comment:-Why-is-China-talking-to-the-Taliban
- Swanström, N. 2005. “China and Central Asia: A New Great game or Traditional Vassal Relations?”, Journal of Contemporary China, 14 (45): 569-584.
- Togan, Z. V. 1942. Bugünkü Türkili (Türkistan) ve Yakın Tarihi, İstanbul: Enderun Kitabevi
- Trenin, D. 2005a. “Russian Foreign and Security Policy under Putin”, http://www.carnegie.ru/en/print/72804
- Trenin, D. 2005b. “Russia between America and China”, http://www.carnegie.ru/en/print/72788-print.htm
- Weir, F. 2005. “Russia, China could Form NATO of the East”, http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2005-10-25-russia-china-bloc_x.htm
- Weitz, R. 2012a. “Superpower Symbiosis: The Russia-China Axis”, World Affairs, 71-78.
- Weitz, R. 2012b. “Global Insight: Uzbekistan Key to Regional Stability”, World Politics Review, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/12421/global-insights-uzbekistan-key-to-regional-stability
- Xinhua. 2019. “Xi Urges Joint Efforts to Open up New Prospects for Asian Security, Development”. CinaDaily, 15.06. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201906/15/WS5d048adba3103dbf1432862d.html
- Yalçınkaya, A. 2006. Sömürgecilik-Panislamizm Işığında Türkistan, 1856-1922. Ankara: Lalezar.