Refah Göstergelerinin Türkiye’de İktisadi Büyüme Üzerine Etkileri

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 37 Sayı: 4, 991 - 1002, 10.11.2022

Yusuf Bayraktutan , Erdal Alancıoğlu

https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1040649

Öz

İktisadi büyüme tartışmaları, genellikle faktör arzı ve özellikle sermaye birikimi ve teknolojik kapasiteye odaklanır. İnsan yaşam kalitesi ve milli gelirin vatandaşlar arasında dağılımı, bu çalışmada, büyüme performansına etkileri bakımından değerlendirilmektedir. Türkiye’de büyüme, insani gelişme ve gelir dağılımı arasındaki ilişki ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı ve 1990- 2017 dönemi verileri ile analiz edilmektedir. Bulgular, seriler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin varlığını göstermektedir. Kişi başı GSYİH (GDP), İnsani Gelişme Endeksi (HDI) ve gelir dağılımı ölçütü (GINI) arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki; Granger nedensellik testine göre, HDI’den GDP’ye doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik tespit edilmiştir. Serilerin uzun dönem tahmin sonuçlarına göre, GDP ve HDI serileri arasında pozitif ve istatistiki olarak anlamlı; GDP ve GINI serileri arasında ise, negatif ve anlamlı bir ilişki olduğu görülmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Gini Coefficient, İktisadi Büyüme, İnsani Gelişme, Gini Katsayısı, Türkiye Ekonomisi

Effects of Welfare Indicators on Economic Growth in Turkiye

Öz

Debates over economic growth generally focus on factor supply, especially capital accumulation, labor stock and skill, natural resources, and technological capacity. Quality of human life, as well as distribution of national income among citizens are evaluated in terms of their effects on growth performance, in this study. The relationship between economic growth, human development, and income distribution in Turkiye is analyzed with ARDL test using the data of 1990-2017 period. Findings indicate that the series are cointegrated. A long run relationship was determined between Gross Domestic Product per capita (GDP), and human development index (HDI) and the measure of income distribution, namely the Gini coefficient (GINI). Granger causality test indicates a unidirectional causality from HDI to GDP. Based on the long-run estimation results, it has been observed that there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between GDP and HDI, while there is a negative and statistically significant relationship between GDP and GINI, in the long-run.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic Growth, Human Development, Gini Coefficient, Turkish Economy

Kaynakça

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