Özbekistan'da Siyasi Alanın Demokratik Kalite Üzerindeki Etkisinin Analizi: V-Dem Veritabanı Kullanılarak Ekonometrik Bir Değerlendirme

Yıl 2024, Sayı: Özbekistan Özel Sayısı, 207 - 224, 26.10.2024

Anthony Papaoikonomou

https://doi.org/10.53791/imgelem.1460469

Öz

Bu çalışmada Özbekistan'da siyasi alanın demokratik kalite üzerindeki etkisini analiz eden bir çoklu regresyon modeli sunulmuştur. Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) veri tabanı kullanılmıştır. Politik şiddet, barışçıl toplanma özgürlüğü ve kutuplaşmış toplum endekslerine odaklanılmıştır. Bu çalışmanın temel hipotezi, Sovyetler Birliği'nin dağılmasından sonra gerçekleşen siyasi reformlar nedeniyle Özbek toplumunda ve siyasi sisteminde büyük değişiklikler gerçekleştiği ve bunun da gelecek için yeni zorluklar yarattığıdır. Özbekistan'da liberalleşmeye doğru bir kayma olduğu görülmektedir ki bu da ülkede siyasi, ekonomik ve sosyal açıklığı teşvik etmeye yönelik reformların uygulanmasını ifade etmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Özbekistan, Seçim Demokrasisi, V-Dem Veritabanı, Siyasi Alan.

Analyzing the Impact of Political Space on Democratic Quality in Uzbekistan: An Econometric Assessment Using the V-Dem Database

Öz

In this study a multiple regression model is presented analyzing the impact of political space on democratic quality in Uzbekistan. The Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) database is used. It is focused on the indices of political violence, freedom of peaceful assembly and polarized society. The main hypothesis of this study is that due to political reformations after the collapse of Soviet Union, major changes have been achieved in Uzbek society and its political system, a fact that has created new challenges for the future. It seems that there is a shift towards liberalization in Uzbekistan, a fact that denotes the implementation of reforms directed towards fostering political, economic, and social openness within the country.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Uzbekistan, Electoral Democracy, V-Dem Database, Political Space.

Kaynakça

• Bertelsmann Foundation (2014). Transformation Index BTI 2014. Gütersloh: Verlag Bertelssmann Stiftung. Bohr, A., Asian, C., Prospects, C., Russia, & Affairs), E. P. (Royal I. of I. (1998). Uzbekistan: Politics and Foreign Policy. Royal Institute of Internal Affairs, Russia and Eurasia Programme. https://books.google.gr/books?id=jxlpAAAAMAAJ
• Bühlmann, Marc, Wolfgang Merkel, Lisa Müller and Bernhard Wessels (2012). The Democracy Barometer: A new instrument to measure the quality of democracy and its potential for comparative research. European Political Science 11(4): 519–536.
• Coppedge, Michael and John Gerring, with David Altman, Michael Bernhard, Steven Fish, Allen Hicken, Matthew Kroenig, Staffan I. Lindberg, Kelly McMann, Pamela Paxton, Holly Semetko, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Jeffrey Staton and Jan Teorell (2011). Defining and Measuring Democracy: A new approach. Per-spectives on Politics 9(2): 247–267.
• Coppedge, Michael, John Gerring, Staffan I Lindberg, Jan Teorell, David Altman, Mi-chael Bernhard, Steven Fish, Adam Glynn, Allen Hicken, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Kelly McMann, Daniel Pemstein, Megan Reif, Svend-Erik Skaaning, Jeffrey Staton, Eitan Tzelgov, Yi-ting Wang and Brigitte Zimmerman (2015b) Varieties of Democracy: Methodology v4. Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project.
• Cunningham, Frank (2002). Theories of Democracy: A Critical Introduction. London: Routledge. Editör, E. (2021, August 18). The New Uzbekistan is Becoming a Country of Demo-cratic Transformations, Big Opportunities and Practical Deeds. ANKASAM | Ankara Center for Crisis and Policy Studies. https://www.ankasam.org/the-new-uzbekistan-is-becoming-a-country-of-democratic-transformations-big-opportunities-and-practical-deeds/?lang=en Human Rights Watch. (2023). Uzbekistan: Events of 2022. Στο World Report 2023. https://www.hrw.org/world-report/2023/country-chapters/uzbekistan Held, David (2006) Models of Democracy. Cambridge: Polity.