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The Efficacy of Interest Subsidies as an Investment Incentive Instrument

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2, 12 - 26, 30.12.2023
https://doi.org/10.61192/indpol.1358282

Öz

Purpose: Since interest subsidies have always been a crucial part of investment policy in Türkiye, the study focused on the efficacy of interest subsidies as an investment incentive.
Methodology: First, the interest and cash-flow sensitivity of the investment expenditure are explored before touching upon the literature on the interest and credit subsidy sensitivity of the investments without omitting the influential financing parameters. Then, financing parameters in sectoral balance sheets and the financing outlook of the Turkish companies are examined to infer which type of credit subsidy should be preferred, before bringing concrete observations from the recent capital formation trend.
Findings: First, funding conditions, economic cycles and market frictions stemming from informational asymmetry influence the efficacy of the interest subsidies. Second, interest subsidies only become effective when economic and financial volatility surge, which implies a lesser effect than quasi-tax incentives. Third, monetary and interest subsidy authorities should coordinate. Finally, the credit guarantee mechanism is more powerful than interest subsidies to achieve policy goals since credit accession is a way bigger problem for Turkish companies.
Originality: To my knowledge, this is the first article ever written specifically examining the efficacy of interest subsidies in Türkiye, although there were many studies focusing on investment incentives in general.

Kaynakça

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  • Arestis, Philip, 1996. “Post-Keynesian Economics: Towards Coherence”, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 20: 1,111-35
  • Arping, S., Lóránth, G., & Morrison, A. D. (2010). Public initiatives to support entrepreneurs: Credit guarantees versus co-funding. Journal of Financial Stability, 6(1), 26-35.
  • Atiyas, I., & Bakış, O. (2014). Aggregate and sectoral TFP growth in Turkey: a growth accounting exercise (Turkey’de toplam ve sektörel toplam faktör verimliliği büyüme hızları: bir büyüme muhasebesi çalışması). İktisat, İşletme ve Finans, 29(341), 9-36.
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  • Basu, D.and Das, D. (2017), “Profitability and Investment: Evidence from India‟s Organized Manufacturing Sector”, Metroeconomica 68:1, 47-90
  • Başkan, S., & Benli, V. F. (2019). Kobi Finansman Sorunlarinin Çözümünde Kredi Garanti Fonu Sistemi’nin Etkileri: İstanbul İli Portföy Analiz Örneği. Istanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 18(35), 483-516.
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  • Cardoso, D. F., Teixeira, E. C., Gurgel, A. C., & Castro, E. R. D. (2011). Effects of the rural credit subsidy on economic growth and welfare of Brazilian regions (No. 1513-2016-131757, pp. 1-21).
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  • De Bruyne, G., & Van Rompuy, P. (1982). The impact of interest subsidies on the inter-regional allocation of capital: An econometric analysis for Belgium. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 12(1), 121-138.
  • Dailami, M., & Kim, E. H. (1994). The effects of debt subsidies on corporate investment behavior: The Korean experience. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2(1), 1-21.
  • De Maeseneire, W., & Claeys, T. (2012). SMEs, foreign direct investment and financial constraints: The case of Belgium. International Business Review, 21(3), 408-424.
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Yıl 2023, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2, 12 - 26, 30.12.2023
https://doi.org/10.61192/indpol.1358282

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Ahmed, S., & Islam, M. E. (2004). Interest rate responsiveness of investment spending in Bangladesh. The Bangladesh Development Studies, 65-109.
  • Akcay, Ü., & Güngen, A. R. (2019). The making of Turkey’s 2018-2019 economic crisis (No. 120/2019). Working Paper.
  • Akerlof, G. A. (1978). The market for “lemons”: Quality uncertainty and the market mechanism. In Uncertainty in economics (pp. 235-251). Academic Press.
  • Almeida, H., & Campello, M. (2010). Financing Frictions and The Substitution Between Internal And External Funds. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(3), 589-622.
  • Altay, A., & Karabulut, Ş. (2017). Turkey’de mali teşvik sistemi ve yatırımlara sağlanan mali teşviklerin değerlendirilmesi. Adnan Menderes Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 4(4), 189-202.
  • Antunes, A., Cavalcanti, T., & Villamil, A. (2015). The Effects of Credit Subsidies On Development. Economic Theory, 58(1), 1-30.
  • Arestis, Philip, 1996. “Post-Keynesian Economics: Towards Coherence”, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 20: 1,111-35
  • Arping, S., Lóránth, G., & Morrison, A. D. (2010). Public initiatives to support entrepreneurs: Credit guarantees versus co-funding. Journal of Financial Stability, 6(1), 26-35.
  • Atiyas, I., & Bakış, O. (2014). Aggregate and sectoral TFP growth in Turkey: a growth accounting exercise (Turkey’de toplam ve sektörel toplam faktör verimliliği büyüme hızları: bir büyüme muhasebesi çalışması). İktisat, İşletme ve Finans, 29(341), 9-36.
  • Ayyagari, M., Demirguc-Kunt, A., Maksimovic, V., (2012). “Financing of Firms in Developing Countries: Lessons from Research”. Policy Research Working Paper Series 6036. The World Bank
  • Basu, D.and Das, D. (2017), “Profitability and Investment: Evidence from India‟s Organized Manufacturing Sector”, Metroeconomica 68:1, 47-90
  • Başkan, S., & Benli, V. F. (2019). Kobi Finansman Sorunlarinin Çözümünde Kredi Garanti Fonu Sistemi’nin Etkileri: İstanbul İli Portföy Analiz Örneği. Istanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 18(35), 483-516.
  • Becchetti, L., Castelli, A., & Hasan, I. (2010). Investment–cash flow sensitivities, credit rationing and financing constraints in small and medium-sized firms. Small Business Economics, 35(4), 467-497.
  • Bernanke, B. S. (1983). The determinants of investment: Another look. The American Economic Review, 73(2), 71-75.
  • BloombergHT. (2018). Turkey’den 4 yılın en hızlı büyümesi. Economic Newsletter. Published on 23.03.2018. Accesible on: https://businessht.bloomberght.com/piyasalar/haber/1896123-turkiye-den-4-yilin-en-hizli-buyumesi
  • Bosworth, B. P., Carron, A. S., & Rhyne, E. H. (1987). The economics of federal credit programs. Brookings Inst Press.
  • Cardoso, D. F., Teixeira, E. C., Gurgel, A. C., & Castro, E. R. D. (2011). Effects of the rural credit subsidy on economic growth and welfare of Brazilian regions (No. 1513-2016-131757, pp. 1-21).
  • Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (CBRT), (2023). Sectoral Balance Sheet Data, Scope, Period and Time Frame. Last Edited on 09.08.2023. Accessible on: https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/TR/TCMB+TR/Main+Menu/Istatistikler/Reel+Sektor+Istatistikleri/Sektor+Bilancolari/Sektor+Bilanco+Verileri/
  • Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (CBRT), (2023). Data Central is Accessible at: https://evds2.tcmb.gov.tr/index.php?/evds/serieMarket
  • Cetenak, E. H., & Vural, G. (2015). Business group affiliation and financial constraints: Investment-cash flow sensitivity of Turkish Business Groups. Journal of Economics Finance and Accounting, 2(3), 313-330.
  • Clark, B. J., Francis, B. B., & Hasan, I. (2009). Do firms adjust toward target capital structures? Some international evidence. Some International Evidence (February 2009).
  • Correia, I., De Fiore, F., Teles, P., & Tristani, O. (2016). Credit subsidies (No. 1877). European Central Bank. Cull, R.; Li, W., Sun,B., and Xu, L.C. (2015). “Government Connections and Financial Constraints: Evidence from a Large Representative Sample of Chinese Firms”, Journal of Corporate Finance, 32, 271-294
  • Çonkar, M. K., Canbaz, M. F., & Arifoğlu, A. (2018). Mevduat Ve Katilim Bankalari Kredilerinin Ekonomik Büyüme İle İlişkisi: Ekonometrik Bir Analiz. Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 20(1), 1-11.
  • De Bruyne, G., & Van Rompuy, P. (1982). The impact of interest subsidies on the inter-regional allocation of capital: An econometric analysis for Belgium. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 12(1), 121-138.
  • Dailami, M., & Kim, E. H. (1994). The effects of debt subsidies on corporate investment behavior: The Korean experience. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2(1), 1-21.
  • De Maeseneire, W., & Claeys, T. (2012). SMEs, foreign direct investment and financial constraints: The case of Belgium. International Business Review, 21(3), 408-424.
  • De Meza, D., & Webb, D. C. (1987). Too much investment: a problem of asymmetric information. The quarterly journal of economics, 102(2), 281-292.
  • Demir, F. (2009). Financial liberalization, private investment and portfolio choice: Financialization of real sectors in emerging markets. Journal of Development Economics, 88(2), 314-324.
  • Demirgüneş, K. (2016). 2008 Küresel Krizi Sonrasında Küçük Ve Orta Ölçekli İşletmelerde Ticari Krediye Erişimin Belirleyicileri: Turkey Örneği. Proceedings E-Book Ii, 82.
  • Dethier, J.-J.; Hirn, M., and Straub, S. (2011). “Explaining Enterprise Performance in Developing Countries with Business Climate Survey Data.” World Bank Research Observer 26, 258-309.
  • Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı, (1979). Dördüncü Beş Yıllık Kalkınma Planı, 1979-1983. TC, Başbakanlık, Devlet Planlama Teşkilâtı.
  • Devlet Planlama Teşkilatı (DPT) (2000). Sekizinci Beş Yıllık Kalkınma Planı Bölgesel Gelişme Özel İhtisas Komisyonu Raporu. DPT.
  • Dinh, T. M., Malesky, E., To, T. T., & Nguyen, D. T. (2013). Effect of Interest Rate Subsidies on Firm Performance and Investment Behavior during Economic Recession: Evidence from Vietnam. Asian Economic Journal, 27(2), 185-207. Doruk, O. T. (2017). Determinants of investment in the manufacturing sector in Turkey. PhD Thesis Delivered on 30.11.2017. Accesible on: http://academicrepository.khas.edu.tr/xmlui/bitstream/handle/20.500.12469/1830/0097695OmerTugsalDoruk.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
  • Duran, M. S. (2019). Middle-Income Trap and Exit Recommendations from The Middle Income Trap: The Case Of Turkey. International Journal of Social and Economic Sciences (Ijses) E-Issn: 2667-4904, 9(2), 37-44.
  • Egimbaeva, B. (2012). Corporate Investment and Cash Flow Sensitivity: Evidence From Turkey (Master Thesis Dissertation, DEÜ Social Science Institute).
  • Fazzari, S. and Mott, T. (1986-1987). “The Investment Theories of Kalecki and Keynes: An Empirical Study of Firm Data, 1970-1982”. Journal of Post-Keynesian Economics, 9:2,171-187.
  • Fazzari, S., Hubbard, R. G., & Petersen, B. C. (1987). Financing constraints and corporate investment (No. w2387). National Bureau of Economic Research.
  • Fazzari, S. M., and Petersen, B.C. (1993) „Working Capital and Fixed Investment: New Evidence on Finance Constraints,‟ RAND Journal of Economics, XXIV, 328–342
  • Ferrara, W. L. (1966). Should investment and financing decisions be separated? The Accounting Review, 41(1), 106. Gezici, A. (2007). Investment under financial liberalization: channels of liquidity and uncertainty. University of Massachusetts Amherst.
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  • Gross, D. B. (1995). The investment and financing decisions of liquidity-constrained firms (Doctoral dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology).
  • Günay, H., & Kılınç, M. (2015). Credit market imperfections and business cycle asymmetries in Turkey. Journal of Empirical Finance, 34, 79-98.
  • Günçavdı, Ö., Bleaney,M., and McKay, A. (1998). “Financial Liberalisation and Private Investment: Evidence from Turkey”, Journal of Development Economics, 57 , 443–455
  • Günçavdi, Ö., & Küçük, A. E. (2013). Investment Expenditure and Capital Accumulation In An Inflationary Environment: The Case Of Turkey. Journal of Policy Modeling, 35(4), 554-571.
  • Günçavdı, Ö., & McKay, A. (2003). Macroeconomic adjustment and private manufacturing investment in Turkey: a time-series analysis. Applied Economics, 35(18), 1901-1909.
  • Hoshi, T., Kashyap, A., & Scharfstein, D. (1991). Corporate structure, liquidity, and investment: Evidence from Japanese industrial groups. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(1), 33-60.
  • Islam, E. M., & Begum, N. (2004). High lending rates in Bangladesh: An analytical review. Bank Parikrama, 29, 100-19. Janda, K. (2005). The comparison of credit subsidies and guarantees in transition and post-transition economies. Ekonomický časopis, 53(04), 383-398.
  • Janda, K. (2011). Inefficient credit rationing and public support of commercial credit provision. Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE)/Zeitschrift für die gesamte Staatswissenschaft, 371-391.
  • Jensen, C. (2009). Investment Under Uncertainty and Financial Crisis: A Comparison of Adjustment Cost in Foreign and Domestic Firms in Turkey. Available at SSRN 2319340.
  • Jo, I. H., & Senga, T. (2019). Aggregate consequences of credit subsidy policies: Firm dynamics and misallocation. Review of Economic Dynamics, 32, 68-93.
  • Kalecki, M. (1937). A Theory of The Business Cycle. The Review of Economic Studies, 4(2), 77-97.
  • Kandemir, Ş., & Kandemir, C. (2019). Türk Bankacılığı’nda Faiz Oranlarına Genel Bir Bakış: Politika ve Uygulama. Kaplan, S. N., & Zingales, L. (1997). Do investment-cash flow sensitivities provide useful measures of financing constraints? The quarterly journal of economics, 112(1), 169-215.
  • Karaca, O. (2004). Turkey de Bölgelerarası Gelir Farklılıkları: Yakınsama Var mı? (No. 2004/7). Discussion Paper.
  • Kaya, Şennur (2011) Firms’ Investment Behavior in The Financial Crisis Era: The Turkey Case. [Master Thesis Delivered in Sabanci University]
  • Kohli, R. (2001). Will Interest Rate Cut Work? Economic and Political Weekly, 809-810. Vol. 36, Issue No. 10, 10 Mar, 2001
  • Krainer, R. E. (1966). Interest Rates, Investment Decisions, and External Financing. Oxford Economic Papers, 18(3), 304-312.
  • Kredi Garanti Fonu (KGF) Credit Guarantee Fund (CGF), (2022). 2022 Faaliyet Raporu. Annual Report of 2022.
  • Lage de Sousa, P., & Ottaviano, G. I. (2014). Relaxing credit constraints in emerging economies: the impact of public loans on the performance of Brazilian manufacturers.
  • Lapar, M. L. A., & Graham, D. H. (1995). Microenterprise Credit: Is There a Need for Subsidy?
  • Lawrence, C., & Siow, A. (1985). Interest rates and investment spending: Some empirical evidence for post-war US producer equipment, 1947-1980. Journal of Business, 359-375.
  • Lazzarini, S. G., Musacchio, A., Bandeira-de-Mello, R., & Marcon, R. (2015). What do state-owned development banks do? Evidence from BNDES, 2002–09. World Development, 66, 237-253.
  • Lelarge, C., Sraer, D., & Thesmar, D. (2010). Entrepreneurship and credit constraints: Evidence from a French loan guarantee program. In International differences in entrepreneurship (pp. 243-273). University of Chicago Press.
  • Li, X., & Shen, Q. (2012). A study on urban private capital and the transfer of labor in the modern agriculture sector. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 15(2), 135-152.
  • Li, X., Shen, Q., Gu, C., & Ni, M. (2013). Analyzing the effect of advanced agriculture development policy. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 16(4), 349-367.
  • Lurie, I. (1982). A Note on the Inefficiency of Interest Subsidies. National Tax Journal, 35(4), 491-495.
  • Mankiw, N. G. (1986). The allocation of credit and financial collapse. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 101(3), 455-470.
  • Marquetti, A., Filho, E. M., and Lautert, V. (2010): “The Profit Rate in Brazil, 1953-2003”, Review of Radical Political Economics, 42:4, 485–504.
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  • Ministry of Industry and Technology MOIT (2023). The Framework of Investment Incentives Program in Turkey. DG Publication, accessible on: https://www.sanayi.gov.tr/destek-ve-tesvikler/yatirim-tesvik-sistemleri/md0403011615
  • Ministry of Industry and Technology MOIT (2023a). Investment Incentive Statistics for 2001-2023. Accessible on: https://www.sanayi.gov.tr/assets/doc/TesvikBelgesiVerileri2001-2023.xlsx
  • Mulier, K., Schoors, K., & Merlevede, B. (2016). Investment-cash flow sensitivity and financial constraints: Evidence from unquoted European SMEs. Journal of Banking & Finance, 73, 182-197.
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  • Okuyan, H. A., & Taşci, H. M. (2010). Sermaye Yapısının Belirleyicileri: Turkey’deki En Büyük 1000 Sanayi İşletmesinde Bir Uygulama. Journal of BRSA Banking & Financial Markets, 4(1).
  • Özen, A., & Erdem, E. (2016). Finansal Kısıtların Yatırımlar Üzerindeki Etkisi: Turkey Imalat Sanayii Firmaları Üzerinde Bir Inceleme. Uluslararası İşletme, Ekonomi ve Yönetim Perspekfifleri Dergisi, 1(1), 58-72.
  • Pazarbasioglu-Dutz, C., Byskov, S., Bonomo, M., Carneiro, I., Martins, B., & Perez, A. (2017). Brazil financial intermediation costs and credit allocation. World Bank.
  • Podpiera, J. (2011). Using Credit Subsidies to Counteract a Credit Bust: Evidence from Serbia. IMF Working Papers, 1-20.
  • Rapisarda, G., & Patacchini, E. (2003). A Study of the Effectiveness of Credit Subsidies: Evidence from a Panel of Italian Firms.
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  • Shapiro, M. (1986). Investment, Output, And the Cost of Capital. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1986(1), 111-164.
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  • Shoup, C. S. (1972). The Economic Theory of Subsidy Payments. In Joint Economic Committee of The Congress Of The United States, The Economics Of Federal Subsidy Programs: A Compendium Of Papers, Part (Vol. 1).
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  • Stiglitz, J. E., & Weiss, A. (1981). Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information. The American Economic Review, 71(3), 393-410.
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  • Wang, Y. (2013). Asymmetric Information, Government Credit Subsidy, and Economic Growth. In 2013 Meeting Papers (No. 767). Society for Economic Dynamics.
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  • Yeldan, E., Metin-Özcan, K. & Voyvoda, E. & (2002). The impact of the liberalization program on the price-cost margin and investment of Turkey’s manufacturing sector after 1980. Emerging Markets Finance & Trade, 72-103.
  • Yeşiltas, S. (2009). Financing constraints and investment: The case of Turkish manufacturing firms (Doctoral dissertation, Bilkent University).
Toplam 94 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Kalkınma Ekonomisi - Makro
Bölüm Research Articles
Yazarlar

Emir Çelebi 0000-0003-4012-6911

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 30 Aralık 2023
Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Aralık 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Çelebi, E. (2023). The Efficacy of Interest Subsidies as an Investment Incentive Instrument. Industrial Policy, 3(2), 12-26. https://doi.org/10.61192/indpol.1358282