SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GROWTH AND TOURISM IN EUROPE: PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 6 Sayı: 2, 1 - 20, 02.01.2019

Nalan Işık

https://doi.org/10.18825/iremjournal.365077

Cited By: 1

Öz

The
concept of sustainable development emphasizes a holistic approach to economic,
social and environmental elements. It is based on the idea that while the
prosperity of countries and individuals increases, the needs of future
generations should not be put at risk. 
While as a major sector of the world economy, tourism’s contribution to
economic growth is widely accepted, the situation is not clear when it comes to
sustainable development.  This study empirically
investigates whether there is a relationship between tourism and sustainable
development, growth in European countries which are located in front of the
world in terms of tourism movements, through panel data analysis. In the
empirical work used for the period 2000-2015, adjusted net savings were set as
sustainable development indicators, per capita income for economic growth, as
well as tourist arrivals and tourism revenues representing the tourism sector
were used. The variables were taken as cointegrated as a result of the panel
cointegration tests. A Panel Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (PDOLS) analysis
was then applied and long-term parameters were examined. According to the
results of empirical research, although the growth hypothesis of tourism led by
European countries has been confirmed, the number of tourists reached the
result that sustainable development is negative and tourism incomes are
positively affected.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Sustainable Development, Growth, Tourism, Europe, Panel Data

AVRUPA'DA SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR KALKINMA, BÜYÜME ve TURİZM: PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ

Öz

Sürdürülebilir kalkınma ekonomik, sosyal ve
çevresel öğelerin bir arada düşünülmesi gerektiğine vurgu yapar. Ülkelerin ve
bireylerin refah düzeyi arttırılırken gelecek nesillerin gereksinimlerinin
riske atılmamasını temel alır.  Dünya
ekonomisinin önemli sektörlerinden olan turizmin ekonomik büyümeye katkısı
kabul edilmekle birlikte sürdürülebilir kalkınma söz konusu olduğunda durum çok
açık değildir.  Bu çalışma ile turizm
hareketleri açısından dünyada ön sıralarda yer alan Avrupa ülkelerinde turizm ile
sürdürülebilir kalkınma, büyüme arasındaki ilişkiler panel veri analizi ile
araştırılmaktadır. 2000-2015 dönemi verilerinin kullanıldığı ampirik çalışmada
sürdürülebilir kalkınma göstergesi olarak düzeltilmiş net tasarruflar, ekonomik
büyüme için kişi başına düşen gelir, turizmi temsilen turist sayıları ile
turizm gelirleri serilerinden yararlanılmıştır. Panel eş bütünleşme testleri
sonucunda değişkenlerin eşbütünleşik olduğu kabul edilmiştir. Ardından uygulanan
Panel Dinamik En Küçük Kareler (PDOLS) analizi ile uzun dönem parametreler tahmin
edilmiştir. Ampirik araştırma sonuçlarına göre Avrupa ülkelerinde turizmin
önderliğindeki büyüme hipotezi teyit edilmesine rağmen turist sayısının
sürdürülebilir kalkınmayı negatif, turizm gelirlerinin pozitif etkilediği
sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma, Büyüme, Turizm, Avrupa, Panel Veri Analizi

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