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Mekânsal ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara'daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi

Yıl 2024, Sayı: 48, 193 - 211, 05.07.2024
https://doi.org/10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461

Öz

Trafik kazaları, insan yaşamına yönelik önemli tehditlere ve sosyo-ekonomik etkilere yol açan yaygın bir küresel sorundur. Trafik kazaları, nüfus ve araç sayısındaki artış nedeniyle daha yaygın hale gelmekte ve bu nedenle insan hayatı için ciddi tehditler oluşturmaktadır. Bu çalışma, 2013-2020 yılları arasında Ankara ilinde meydana gelen trafik kazalarının mekânsal ve zamansal niteliğini araştırmayı amaçlamaktadır. Bu kapsamda, trafik kazalarının zamansal özelliklerini analiz etmek için kazaların yıllık, aylık, günlük ve saatlik dağılımı incelenmiştir. Ayrıca, mekânsal özellikleri analiz etmek için optimize edilmiş sıcak nokta analizi ve mekânsal-zamansal özellikleri ortaya koymak için gelişen sıcak nokta analizi kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlar, kaza sayılarının 2018'e kadar arttığını, ancak son iki yılda belirgin bir azalma gösterdiğini ortaya koymaktadır. Özellikle 2020'deki düşüşün, COVID-19 salgınıyla yakından ilişkili olduğu vurgulanmaktadır. Ayrıca, yaz aylarında, hafta sonlarında, gece ve sabah saatlerinde ölümlü kazaların sayısında bir artış görülmektedir. Trafik kazalarının ve yaralanmaların mekânsal olarak şehir merkezinde, ölümlü kazaların ise sadece şehir merkezinde değil, aynı zamanda çevre ilçe ve illerle ulaşımı sağlayan karayollarında da kümelendiği tespit edilmiştir. Mekânsal-zamansal dağılım ise bu bölgelerde farklı sıcak nokta desenleri ile artan eğilimleri göstermektedir. Elde edilen sonuçlar, kazanın türüne ve trafik aktörlerine göre değişen zamansal ve mekânsal desenlerin olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Bu çalışma, Ankara'daki trafik kazalarının azaltılmasına yönelik etkili yol güvenliği politikalarının belirlenmesinde yerel ve ulusal kurumlara rehberlik etmeyi amaçlamaktadır.

Kaynakça

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  • Basagana, X., & de la Pena-Ramirez, C. (2023). Ambient temperature and risk of motor vehicle crashes: A countrywide analysis in Spain. Environmental Research, 216(October 2022). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2022.114599 google scholar
  • Chance Scott, M., Sen Roy, S., & Prasad, S. (2016). Spatial patterns of off-the-system traffic crashes in Miami-Dade County, Florida, during 2005-2010. Traffic Injury Prevention, 17(7), 729-735. https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2016.1144878 google scholar
  • Chand, A., Jayesh, S., & Bhasi, A. B. (2021). Road traffic accidents: An overview of data sources, analysis techniques and contributing factors. Materials Today: Proceedings, 47, 5135-5141. https://doi. org/10.1016/j.matpr.2021.05.415 google scholar
  • Chen, S., Kuhn, M., Prettner, K., & Bloom, D. E. (2019). The global macroeconomic burden of road injuries: estimates and projections for 166 countries. The Lancet Planetary Health, 3(9), e390-e398. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30170-6 google scholar
  • Colak, H. E., Memisoglu, T., Erbas, Y. S., & Bediroglu, S. (2018). Hot spot analysis based on network spatial weights to determine spatial statistics of traffic accidents in Rize, Turkey. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 11(7). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3492-8 google scholar
  • Diler, Z., Haybat, H., & Özlü, T. (2023). Trafik Kazalarının Zamansal ve Mekânsal İncelenmesi: Konya Şehri Örneği. 21, 248-276. https://doi.org/10.33688/aucbd.1257076 google scholar
  • Doherty, S. T., Andrey, J. C., & MacGregor, C. (1998). The situational risks of young drivers: The influence of passengers, time of day and day of week on accident rates. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 30(1), 45-52. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(97)00060-2 google scholar
  • Erdogan, S. (2009). Explorative spatial analysis of traffic accident statistics and road mortality among the provinces of Turkey. Journal of Safety Research, 40(5), 341-351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. jsr.2009.07.006 google scholar
  • Erdogan, S., Yilmaz, I., Baybura, T., & Gullu, M. (2008). Geographical information systems aided traffic accident analysis system case study : city of Afyonkarahisar. 40, 174-181. https://doi. org/10.1016/j.aap.2007.05.004 google scholar
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  • ESRI (2024c). ArcGIS Pro Resources, Emerging Hot Spot Analysis (Space Time Pattern Mining). google scholar
  • Foster, S., Gmel, G., Estevez, N., Bahler, C., & Mohler-Kuo, M. (2015). Temporal patterns of alcohol consumption and alcohol-related road accidents in young swiss men: Seasonal, weekday and public holiday effects. Alcohol and Alcoholism, 50(5), 565-572. https:// doi.org/10.1093/alcalc/agv037 google scholar
  • Getis, A., & Ord, J. K. (1992). The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics. Geographical Analysis, 24(3), 189-206. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.1992.tb00261.x google scholar
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  • Gupta, M., Pawar, N. M., & Velaga, N. R. (2021). Impact of lockdown and change in mobility patterns on road fatalities during COVID-19 pandemic. Transportation Letters, 13(5-6), 447-460. https://doi.or g/10.1080/19427867.2021.1892937 google scholar
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  • Haybat, H., Zerenoğlu, H., Özlü, T. (2022). Temporal And Spatial Analysis Of Traffic Accidents : The Case Of Bursa City. International Journal of Geography and Geography Education, 45, 404-423. https://doi.Org/https://doi.org/10.32003/igge.1016204 google scholar
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Traffic Accidents in Ankara (Turkey) from a Spatiotemporal Perspective: Analysis of Fatalities and Injuries

Yıl 2024, Sayı: 48, 193 - 211, 05.07.2024
https://doi.org/10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461

Öz

Traffic accidents are a widespread global problem causing significant threats to human life and socioeconomic impacts. Traffic accidents are becoming more common due to the increase in population and the number of vehicles and therefore pose severe threats to human life. This study investigates the spatial and temporal characteristics of traffic accidents that occurred in Ankara between 2013 and 2020. In this context, the annual, monthly, daily, and hourly distribution of accidents were investigated to analyse the temporal characteristics of traffic accidents. In addition, Optimised Hot Spot Analysis was used to analyse the spatial characteristics, and Emerging Hot Spot Analysis was used to reveal spatiotemporal characteristics. The results reveal that the number of accidents increased until 2018 but showed a marked decrease in the last two years. It is emphasised that the decrease, especially in 2020, is closely related to the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition, there is an increase in the number of fatal accidents during the summer months, weekends, and night and morning hours. Traffic accidents and injuries are spatially clustered in the city centre, while fatal accidents are clustered not only in the city centre but also on the highways that provide access to the surrounding districts and provinces. The spatiotemporal distribution shows increasing trends with different hot spot patterns in these regions. The obtained results reveal that there are temporal and spatial patterns that vary according to the type of accident and traffic actors. This study guides local and national institutions in determining effective road safety policies to reduce traffic accidents in Ankara.

Kaynakça

  • Ackaah, W., Apuseyine, B. A., & Afukaar, F. K. (2020). Road traffic crashes at night-time: characteristics and risk factors. International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion, 27(3), 392-399. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457300.2020.1785508 google scholar
  • Akgüngör, A. P. (2007). Road traffic accidents and safety programme in Turkey. International Journal ofInjury Control and Safety Promotion, 14(2), 119-121. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457300701371961 google scholar
  • Anderson, T. K. (2009). Kernel density estimation and K-means clustering to profile road accident hotspots. 41, 359-364. https:// doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2008.12.014 google scholar
  • Basagana, X., & de la Pena-Ramirez, C. (2023). Ambient temperature and risk of motor vehicle crashes: A countrywide analysis in Spain. Environmental Research, 216(October 2022). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2022.114599 google scholar
  • Chance Scott, M., Sen Roy, S., & Prasad, S. (2016). Spatial patterns of off-the-system traffic crashes in Miami-Dade County, Florida, during 2005-2010. Traffic Injury Prevention, 17(7), 729-735. https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2016.1144878 google scholar
  • Chand, A., Jayesh, S., & Bhasi, A. B. (2021). Road traffic accidents: An overview of data sources, analysis techniques and contributing factors. Materials Today: Proceedings, 47, 5135-5141. https://doi. org/10.1016/j.matpr.2021.05.415 google scholar
  • Chen, S., Kuhn, M., Prettner, K., & Bloom, D. E. (2019). The global macroeconomic burden of road injuries: estimates and projections for 166 countries. The Lancet Planetary Health, 3(9), e390-e398. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(19)30170-6 google scholar
  • Colak, H. E., Memisoglu, T., Erbas, Y. S., & Bediroglu, S. (2018). Hot spot analysis based on network spatial weights to determine spatial statistics of traffic accidents in Rize, Turkey. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 11(7). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3492-8 google scholar
  • Diler, Z., Haybat, H., & Özlü, T. (2023). Trafik Kazalarının Zamansal ve Mekânsal İncelenmesi: Konya Şehri Örneği. 21, 248-276. https://doi.org/10.33688/aucbd.1257076 google scholar
  • Doherty, S. T., Andrey, J. C., & MacGregor, C. (1998). The situational risks of young drivers: The influence of passengers, time of day and day of week on accident rates. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 30(1), 45-52. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0001-4575(97)00060-2 google scholar
  • Erdogan, S. (2009). Explorative spatial analysis of traffic accident statistics and road mortality among the provinces of Turkey. Journal of Safety Research, 40(5), 341-351. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. jsr.2009.07.006 google scholar
  • Erdogan, S., Yilmaz, I., Baybura, T., & Gullu, M. (2008). Geographical information systems aided traffic accident analysis system case study : city of Afyonkarahisar. 40, 174-181. https://doi. org/10.1016/j.aap.2007.05.004 google scholar
  • Erenler, A. K., & Gümüş, B. (2019). Analysis of Road Tra ffi c Accidents in Turkey between. Medicina, 55(10), 1-6. www.mdpi.com/journal/ medicina google scholar
  • ESRI (2024a) ArcGIS Pro Resources, Optimized Hot Spot Analysis (Spatial Statistics). google scholar
  • ESRI (2024b) ArcGIS Pro Resources, How emerging hot spot analysis works. google scholar
  • ESRI (2024c). ArcGIS Pro Resources, Emerging Hot Spot Analysis (Space Time Pattern Mining). google scholar
  • Foster, S., Gmel, G., Estevez, N., Bahler, C., & Mohler-Kuo, M. (2015). Temporal patterns of alcohol consumption and alcohol-related road accidents in young swiss men: Seasonal, weekday and public holiday effects. Alcohol and Alcoholism, 50(5), 565-572. https:// doi.org/10.1093/alcalc/agv037 google scholar
  • Getis, A., & Ord, J. K. (1992). The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics. Geographical Analysis, 24(3), 189-206. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.1992.tb00261.x google scholar
  • Gundogdu, I. B. (2010). Applying linear analysis methods to GIS-supported procedures for preventing traffic accidents : Case study of Konya. Safety Science, 48(6), 763-769. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. ssci.2010.02.016 google scholar
  • Gupta, M., Pawar, N. M., & Velaga, N. R. (2021). Impact of lockdown and change in mobility patterns on road fatalities during COVID-19 pandemic. Transportation Letters, 13(5-6), 447-460. https://doi.or g/10.1080/19427867.2021.1892937 google scholar
  • Hashimoto, S., Yoshiki, S., Saeki, R., & Mimura, Y. (2016). ScienceDirect Development and application of traffic accident density estimation models using kernel density estimation. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering (English Edition), 3(3), 262-270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtte.2016.01.005 google scholar
  • Haybat, H., & Karakaş, E. (2020). İzmir şehrinde meydana gelen trafik kazalarının günlük aktivite alanları ile ilişkisi. International Journal of Geography and Geography Education, 42, 429-454. https://doi. org/https://doi.org/10.32003/igge.670506 google scholar
  • Haybat, H., Zerenoğlu, H., Özlü, T. (2022). Temporal And Spatial Analysis Of Traffic Accidents : The Case Of Bursa City. International Journal of Geography and Geography Education, 45, 404-423. https://doi.Org/https://doi.org/10.32003/igge.1016204 google scholar
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  • Infante, P., Jacinto, G., Afonso, A., Rego, L., Nogueira, P., Silva, M., Nogueira, V, Saias, J., Quaresma, P., Santos, D., G6is, P., & Manuel, P. R. (2023). Factors That Influence the Type of Road Traffic Accidents: A Case Study in a District of Portugal. Sustainability (Switzerland), 15(3), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15032352 google scholar
  • Kang, Y., Cho, N., & Son, S. (2018). Spatiotemporal characteristics of elderly population’s traffic accidents in Seoul using space-time cube and space-time kernel density estimation. PLoS ONE, 13(5), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0196845 google scholar
  • Karacasu, M., Er, A., Bilgi, S., & Barut, H. B. (2011). Variations in traffic accidents on seasonal, monthly, daily and hourly basis: Eskisehir case. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 20, 767775. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2011.08.085 google scholar
  • KGM (2023). Devlet ve il yolları envanteri, 2023. https://www.kgm. gov.tr google scholar
  • Kielminski, D., Atkinson, E., Peters, D., Willson, S., & Atkinson, T. (2023). Crash characteristics for classic/historic vehicles and comparisons to newer vehicles. Journal of Safety Research, 84, 18-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2022.10.004 google scholar
  • Kundakçı, E. (2014). In Partial Fulfillment of The Requirements for The Degree of Master Science in Geodetic and Geographic Information Technologies. Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences of Middle East Technical University, January. google scholar
  • Lee, J. J., Kim, B. W., Kong, S. Y., Park, G. J., Chai, H. S., Kim, Y. M., Park, H. J., Kim, H., Lee, S. W., & Kim, S. C. (2023b). Age-specific characteristics of road traffic injuries among children and adolescents in South Korea. Traffic Injury Prevention, 24(6), 482487. https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2023.2212308 google scholar
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Toplam 55 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Beşeri Coğrafya (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Seçkin Fidan 0000-0001-9970-0047

Mutlu Yılmaz 0000-0001-8914-1165

Ersin Ateş 0000-0002-1956-2017

Merve Altundal Öncü 0000-0003-2402-9134

Yayımlanma Tarihi 5 Temmuz 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 16 Şubat 2024
Kabul Tarihi 16 Mayıs 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Sayı: 48

Kaynak Göster

APA Fidan, S., Yılmaz, M., Ateş, E., Altundal Öncü, M. (2024). Mekânsal ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi. Coğrafya Dergisi(48), 193-211. https://doi.org/10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461
AMA Fidan S, Yılmaz M, Ateş E, Altundal Öncü M. Mekânsal ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi. Coğrafya Dergisi. Temmuz 2024;(48):193-211. doi:10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461
Chicago Fidan, Seçkin, Mutlu Yılmaz, Ersin Ateş, ve Merve Altundal Öncü. “Mekânsal Ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü Ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi”. Coğrafya Dergisi, sy. 48 (Temmuz 2024): 193-211. https://doi.org/10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461.
EndNote Fidan S, Yılmaz M, Ateş E, Altundal Öncü M (01 Temmuz 2024) Mekânsal ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi. Coğrafya Dergisi 48 193–211.
IEEE S. Fidan, M. Yılmaz, E. Ateş, ve M. Altundal Öncü, “Mekânsal ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi”, Coğrafya Dergisi, sy. 48, ss. 193–211, Temmuz 2024, doi: 10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461.
ISNAD Fidan, Seçkin vd. “Mekânsal Ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü Ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi”. Coğrafya Dergisi 48 (Temmuz 2024), 193-211. https://doi.org/10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461.
JAMA Fidan S, Yılmaz M, Ateş E, Altundal Öncü M. Mekânsal ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi. Coğrafya Dergisi. 2024;:193–211.
MLA Fidan, Seçkin vd. “Mekânsal Ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü Ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi”. Coğrafya Dergisi, sy. 48, 2024, ss. 193-11, doi:10.26650/JGEOG2024-1438461.
Vancouver Fidan S, Yılmaz M, Ateş E, Altundal Öncü M. Mekânsal ve Zamansal Perspektiften Ankara’daki Trafik Kazaları: Ölümlü ve Yaralanmalı Olayların Analizi. Coğrafya Dergisi. 2024(48):193-211.