Araştırma Makalesi
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Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 2, 331 - 344, 30.06.2023
https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.1194845

Öz

Foresight is a methodical and comprehensive approach that prioritizes investment and research in order to shape the future and implement future strategies. Cybersecurity, one of the most important elements of Industry 4.0, is to protect information and communication systems against cyber attacks and to ensure the availability, confi-dentiality and integrity of these systems and the data therein. This study aims to make a theoretical and practical contribution to foresight and cybersecurity studies by summarizing the updated version of the methods and outputs used in the doctoral thesis titled “Technology Foresight and Modeling: Turkish Cybersecurity Foresight 2040”, con-ducted at Middle East Technical University (METU) in 2019. As a result of the study, Turkey's national cybersecurity technology foresight was given with different scenarios; Turkey's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats in terms of cybersecurity were determined; a cybersecurity technology taxonomy which is officially accepted by the Presidency of Defense Industries was created; the cybersecurity status of the universities and companies in Turkey has been determined; and concrete policy recommendations based on foresight outputs have been put forward. The study is the most comprehensive cybersecurity foresight in Turkey in terms of topics covered and participants, which comprises nearly 150 experts from government, military, academia, and the private sector. Overall, the study provides important insights into the current state of cybersecurity in Turkey and makes recommendations for the future. Its wide range of stakeholders and comprehensive analysis make it a valuable resource for understanding the complex landscape of cybersecurity in the country.

Destekleyen Kurum

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Proje Numarası

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Teşekkür

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Kaynakça

  • Bahuguna, A., Bisht, R. K., & Pande, J. (2020). Country-level cybersecurity posture assessment: Study and analysis of practices. Information Security Journal, 29(5), 250–266. https://doi.org/10.1080/19393555.2020.1767239
  • Brandes, S. (2013). The Newest Warfighting Domain: Cyberspace. Synesis, 90–95. https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:55688987
  • Braue, D. (2021). Global Cybersecurity Spending To Exceed $1.75 Trillion From 2021-2025. https://cybersecurityventures.com/cybersecurity-spending-2021-2025
  • Chen, H., Wakeland, W., & Yu, J. (2012). A two-stage technology foresight model with system dynamics simulation and its application in the Chinese ICT industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(7), 1254–1267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.02.007
  • Çifci, H. (2017). Her Yönüyle Siber Savaş (2nd ed.). TÜBİTAK.
  • Çifci, H. (2019). Technology Foresight and Modeling: Turkish Cybersecurity Foresight 2040 [Middle East Technical University]. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12623200/index.pdf
  • Conway, M. (2014). Foresight: an Introduction. Thinking Futures. http://choo.ischool.utoronto.ca/fis/courses/inf1005/foresight.intro.conway.pdf
  • Cyber Security Council. (2016). European Foresight Cyber Security Meeting. https://www.ospi.es/export/sites/ospi/documents/European-Foresight-Cyber-Security-2016.pdf
  • ENISA. (2012). National Cyber Security Strategies - Practical Guide on Development and Execution (Issue December). https://www.enisa.europa.eu/publications/national-cyber-security-strategies-an-implementation-guide
  • European Commission. (2013). Cybersecurity Strategy of the European Union: An Open, Safe and Secure Cyberspace. In European Commission. https://edps.europa.eu/data-protection/our-work/publications/opinions/cyber-security-strategy-european-union-open-safe-and_en
  • Keenan, M., Miles, I., & Koi-Ova, J. (2003). Handbook of Knowledge Society Foresight. European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions. https://www.eurofound.europa.eu/publications/2003/handbook-of-knowledge-society-foresight
  • Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 7(2), 139–168. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537329508524202
  • Martin, B. R., & Johnston, R. (1999). Technology Foresight for Wiring Up the National Innovation System-Experiences in Britain, Australia, and New Zealand. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 60(1), 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(98)00022-5
  • Miles, I. (2002). Appraisal of Alternative Methods and Procedures for Producing Regional Foresight. In Mobilising the regional foresight potential for an enlarged EU (Issue May). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/235407634_Appraisal_of_Alternative_Methods_and_Procedures_for_Producing_Regional_Foresight
  • NIST. (2018). Framework for Improving Critical Infrastructure Cybersecurity. https://doi.org/10.6028/NIST.CSWP.04162018
  • NIST. (2022). Glossary: cyberspace. https://csrc.nist.gov/glossary/term/cyberspace
  • Ogasawara, A. (2015). 1st Preliminary Report on The 10th Science and Technology Foresight Survey. 1–40. http://www.nistep.go.jp/wp/wp-content/uploads/2-1_Ogasawara.pdf
  • Popper, R. (2008). How are foresight methods selected? Foresight, 10(6), 62–89. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680810918586
  • Porter, A. L. (2010). Technology foresight: types and methods. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 6(1), 36–45. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2010.032664
  • Presidential Digital Transformation Office. (2022). Siber Kümelenme Projesi. https://cbddo.gov.tr/projeler/siber-kumelenme/
  • Rodrigues, B., Franco, M., Parangi, G., & Stiller, B. (2019). SEConomy: A Framework for the Economic Assessment of Cybersecurity BT - Economics of Grids, Clouds, Systems, and Services (K. Djemame, J. Altmann, J. Á. Bañares, O. Agmon Ben-Yehuda, & M. Naldi (eds.); pp. 154–166). Springer International Publishing. https://files.ifi.uzh.ch/CSG/staff/rodrigues/extern/publications/GECON-SEConomy.pdf
  • TGB. (2022). Duyurular: Teknopark sayımız 94’e ulaştı. https://teknopark.sanayi.gov.tr
  • The White House. (2015). National Security Strategy. 32. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2015_national_security_strategy_2.pdf
  • TÜBİTAK. (2004). Ulusal Bilim ve Teknoloji Politikaları - 2003-2023 Strateji Belgesi. In Ulusal Bilim ve Teknoloji Politikaları 2003-2023 Strateji Belgesi. https://www.tubitak.gov.tr/tubitak_content_files/vizyon2023/Vizyon2023_Strateji_Belgesi.pdf
  • Turkish Cybersecurity Cluster. (2022). About Us. https://siberkume.org.tr/About
  • World Economic Forum. (2021). The Global Risks Report 2021. https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_The_Global_Risks_Report_2021.pdf
  • Yüksel, N. (2018). A New Technology Foresight Model and Its Application in Turkish Defense Industry for Aerospace Communication Technologies of 2040 [Middle East Technical University]. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12622819/index.pdf
  • Yüksel, N., & Çifci, H. (2017). A New Model for Technology Foresight : Foresight Periscope Model (FPM). 2017 International Conference on Engineering, Technology and Innovation (ICE/ITMC), 807–817. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICE.2017.8279967
Yıl 2023, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 2, 331 - 344, 30.06.2023
https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.1194845

Öz

Proje Numarası

-

Kaynakça

  • Bahuguna, A., Bisht, R. K., & Pande, J. (2020). Country-level cybersecurity posture assessment: Study and analysis of practices. Information Security Journal, 29(5), 250–266. https://doi.org/10.1080/19393555.2020.1767239
  • Brandes, S. (2013). The Newest Warfighting Domain: Cyberspace. Synesis, 90–95. https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:55688987
  • Braue, D. (2021). Global Cybersecurity Spending To Exceed $1.75 Trillion From 2021-2025. https://cybersecurityventures.com/cybersecurity-spending-2021-2025
  • Chen, H., Wakeland, W., & Yu, J. (2012). A two-stage technology foresight model with system dynamics simulation and its application in the Chinese ICT industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(7), 1254–1267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.02.007
  • Çifci, H. (2017). Her Yönüyle Siber Savaş (2nd ed.). TÜBİTAK.
  • Çifci, H. (2019). Technology Foresight and Modeling: Turkish Cybersecurity Foresight 2040 [Middle East Technical University]. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12623200/index.pdf
  • Conway, M. (2014). Foresight: an Introduction. Thinking Futures. http://choo.ischool.utoronto.ca/fis/courses/inf1005/foresight.intro.conway.pdf
  • Cyber Security Council. (2016). European Foresight Cyber Security Meeting. https://www.ospi.es/export/sites/ospi/documents/European-Foresight-Cyber-Security-2016.pdf
  • ENISA. (2012). National Cyber Security Strategies - Practical Guide on Development and Execution (Issue December). https://www.enisa.europa.eu/publications/national-cyber-security-strategies-an-implementation-guide
  • European Commission. (2013). Cybersecurity Strategy of the European Union: An Open, Safe and Secure Cyberspace. In European Commission. https://edps.europa.eu/data-protection/our-work/publications/opinions/cyber-security-strategy-european-union-open-safe-and_en
  • Keenan, M., Miles, I., & Koi-Ova, J. (2003). Handbook of Knowledge Society Foresight. European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working Conditions. https://www.eurofound.europa.eu/publications/2003/handbook-of-knowledge-society-foresight
  • Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 7(2), 139–168. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537329508524202
  • Martin, B. R., & Johnston, R. (1999). Technology Foresight for Wiring Up the National Innovation System-Experiences in Britain, Australia, and New Zealand. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 60(1), 37–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(98)00022-5
  • Miles, I. (2002). Appraisal of Alternative Methods and Procedures for Producing Regional Foresight. In Mobilising the regional foresight potential for an enlarged EU (Issue May). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/235407634_Appraisal_of_Alternative_Methods_and_Procedures_for_Producing_Regional_Foresight
  • NIST. (2018). Framework for Improving Critical Infrastructure Cybersecurity. https://doi.org/10.6028/NIST.CSWP.04162018
  • NIST. (2022). Glossary: cyberspace. https://csrc.nist.gov/glossary/term/cyberspace
  • Ogasawara, A. (2015). 1st Preliminary Report on The 10th Science and Technology Foresight Survey. 1–40. http://www.nistep.go.jp/wp/wp-content/uploads/2-1_Ogasawara.pdf
  • Popper, R. (2008). How are foresight methods selected? Foresight, 10(6), 62–89. https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680810918586
  • Porter, A. L. (2010). Technology foresight: types and methods. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 6(1), 36–45. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFIP.2010.032664
  • Presidential Digital Transformation Office. (2022). Siber Kümelenme Projesi. https://cbddo.gov.tr/projeler/siber-kumelenme/
  • Rodrigues, B., Franco, M., Parangi, G., & Stiller, B. (2019). SEConomy: A Framework for the Economic Assessment of Cybersecurity BT - Economics of Grids, Clouds, Systems, and Services (K. Djemame, J. Altmann, J. Á. Bañares, O. Agmon Ben-Yehuda, & M. Naldi (eds.); pp. 154–166). Springer International Publishing. https://files.ifi.uzh.ch/CSG/staff/rodrigues/extern/publications/GECON-SEConomy.pdf
  • TGB. (2022). Duyurular: Teknopark sayımız 94’e ulaştı. https://teknopark.sanayi.gov.tr
  • The White House. (2015). National Security Strategy. 32. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2015_national_security_strategy_2.pdf
  • TÜBİTAK. (2004). Ulusal Bilim ve Teknoloji Politikaları - 2003-2023 Strateji Belgesi. In Ulusal Bilim ve Teknoloji Politikaları 2003-2023 Strateji Belgesi. https://www.tubitak.gov.tr/tubitak_content_files/vizyon2023/Vizyon2023_Strateji_Belgesi.pdf
  • Turkish Cybersecurity Cluster. (2022). About Us. https://siberkume.org.tr/About
  • World Economic Forum. (2021). The Global Risks Report 2021. https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_The_Global_Risks_Report_2021.pdf
  • Yüksel, N. (2018). A New Technology Foresight Model and Its Application in Turkish Defense Industry for Aerospace Communication Technologies of 2040 [Middle East Technical University]. http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12622819/index.pdf
  • Yüksel, N., & Çifci, H. (2017). A New Model for Technology Foresight : Foresight Periscope Model (FPM). 2017 International Conference on Engineering, Technology and Innovation (ICE/ITMC), 807–817. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICE.2017.8279967
Toplam 28 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Bilgisayar Yazılımı
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Hasan Çifci 0000-0002-2679-254X

Serhat Çakır 0000-0002-1588-1360

Proje Numarası -
Erken Görünüm Tarihi 21 Haziran 2023
Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Haziran 2023
Gönderilme Tarihi 28 Ekim 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Çifci, H., & Çakır, S. (2023). Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey. Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences, 9(2), 331-344. https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.1194845
AMA Çifci H, Çakır S. Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey. JARNAS. Haziran 2023;9(2):331-344. doi:10.28979/jarnas.1194845
Chicago Çifci, Hasan, ve Serhat Çakır. “Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey”. Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences 9, sy. 2 (Haziran 2023): 331-44. https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.1194845.
EndNote Çifci H, Çakır S (01 Haziran 2023) Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey. Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences 9 2 331–344.
IEEE H. Çifci ve S. Çakır, “Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey”, JARNAS, c. 9, sy. 2, ss. 331–344, 2023, doi: 10.28979/jarnas.1194845.
ISNAD Çifci, Hasan - Çakır, Serhat. “Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey”. Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences 9/2 (Haziran 2023), 331-344. https://doi.org/10.28979/jarnas.1194845.
JAMA Çifci H, Çakır S. Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey. JARNAS. 2023;9:331–344.
MLA Çifci, Hasan ve Serhat Çakır. “Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey”. Journal of Advanced Research in Natural and Applied Sciences, c. 9, sy. 2, 2023, ss. 331-44, doi:10.28979/jarnas.1194845.
Vancouver Çifci H, Çakır S. Cybersecurity Technology Foresight: 2040 Scenarios for Turkey. JARNAS. 2023;9(2):331-44.


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