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Yıl 2020, Cilt: 32 Sayı: 1, 15 - 32, 31.03.2020

Burcu Calda , Nazan An Mustafa Tufan Turp , Levent Kurnaz

https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.571001
Cited By: 7

Öz

Kaynakça

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İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 32 Sayı: 1, 15 - 32, 31.03.2020

Burcu Calda , Nazan An Mustafa Tufan Turp , Levent Kurnaz

https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.571001
Cited By: 7

Öz



 İklim değişikliği ile birlikte son yıllarda Akdeniz Havzasında orman yangınlarının sayısında ciddi bir artış gözlenmiştir. Gerçekleşen bu yangınlar ormanlara doğal felaketlerden daha çok zarar vermektedir. Çıkan yangınların bir kısmı artan kurak hava koşulları nedeniyle doğal yollardan meydana gelirken, diğer bir kısmı ise ihmal ya da kasıt sonucunda oluşan ve büyük ölçüde iklim elemanlarının (sıcaklık, yağış, rüzgâr, nem vb.) etkisiyle büyüklüğü değişen yangınlar olarak ortaya çıkmaktadır. Orman yangınlarının öngörülmesinde kuraklık ile orman yangınları arasındaki ilişkiyi ele alan farklı indisler kullanılmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, olası orman yangınlarını öngörmek amacıyla yaygın olarak kullanılan yangın indislerinden; Haines İndisi (HI), Kanada Orman Yangın Hava İndisi (FWI), Keetch-Byram Kuraklık İndisi (KBDI), F İndisi detaylı olarak, Entegre Yangın İndisi (IFI), McArthur Mark 5 (Mk5) Orman ve Mark 4 (Mk4) Otlak Yangın Tehlike İndisi (McArthur Mark 5 (Mk5)), Fosberg Yangın Hava İndisi (FFWI), Nesterov İndisi (NI) ve Angström İndisi (AI) kısaca ele alınmıştır. İklim değişikliğinin orman yangınlarına etkisiyle ilgili yapılan çalışmalar kapsamında Antalya, Çanakkale ve Muğla Orman Bölge Müdürlüklerine bağlı orman arazilerinde 2008 ve 2009 yıllarında çıkan yangınlar Kanada Orman Yangın Hava İndisi (FWI) kullanılarak incelenmiştir. Sonuçlar 2008 ve 2009 yılı yangın verileri ile tutarlılık göstermiştir ve FWI değerleri bu yıllar için yangın riskini öngörmede başarılı bulunmuştur.



 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Türkiye Akdeniz Havzası Haines İndisi (HI) Kanada Orman Yangın Hava İndisi (FWI) Keetch-Byram Kuraklık İndisi (KBDI)

Kaynakça

  • [1] Tatli, H., & Türkeş, M. (2014). Climatological evaluation of Haines forest fire weather index over the Mediterranean Basin. Meteorological Applications, 21(3), 545-552. [2] Werth, J., & Werth, P. (1998). Haines Index climatology for the western United States. Fire management notes (USA).
  • [3] Jenkins, M. A. (2002). An examination of the sensitivity of numerically simulated wildfires to low-level atmospheric stability and moisture, and the consequences for the Haines Index. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 11(4), 213-232.
  • [4] McCaw, L., Marchetti, P., Elliott, G., & Reader, G. (2007). Bushfire weather climatology of the Haines Index in southwestern Australia. Australian Meteorological Magazine, 56(2).
  • [5] Winkler, J. A., Potter, B. E., Wilhelm, D. F., Shadbolt, R. P., Piromsopa, K., & Bian, X. (2007). Climatological and statistical characteristics of the Haines Index for North America. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 16(2), 139-152.
  • [6] Trouet, V., Taylor, A. H., Carleton, A. M., & Skinner, C. N. (2009). Interannual variations in fire weather, fire extent, and synoptic-scale circulation patterns in northern California and Oregon. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 95(3-4), 349-360.
  • [7] Peace, M., McCaw, L., & Mills, G. (2012). Meteorological dynamics in a fire environment; a case study of the Layman prescribed burn in Western Australia. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 62(3), 127.
  • [8] Barberà, M. J., Niclòs, R., Estrela, M. J., & Valiente, J. A. (2015). Climatology of the stability and humidity terms in the Haines Index to improve the estimate of forest fire risk in the Western Mediterranean Basin (Valencia region, Spain). International Journal of Climatology, 35(7), 1212-1223.
  • [9] Cardil, A., Molina, D. M., Ramirez, J., & Vega-García, C. (2013). Trends in adverse weather patterns and large wildland fires in Aragón (NE Spain) from 1978 to 2010. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 13(5), 1393-1399.
  • [10] Johnson EA, Miyanishi K. (2001). Forest Fires: Behavior and Ecological Effects. Academic Press: San Diego, CA.
  • [11] Ruffault, J., Moron, V., Trigo, R. M., & Curt, T. (2017). Daily synoptic conditions associated with large fire occurrence in Mediterranean France: evidence for a wind‐driven fire regime. International Journal of Climatology, 37(1), 524-533.
  • [12] Türkeş, M., Tatlı, H., Altan, G., Öztürk, M. Z. (2011a). Analysis of forest fires for the year of 2010 in Çanakkale and Muğla with the Keetch-Byram drought index. In: Proceedings of the National Geographical Congress with International Participitation (CD-R), ISBN 978-975-6686-04-1, 7-10 September 2011, Türk Coğrafya Kurumu – İstanbul University.
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  • [14] Altan, G. (2011). Muğla ve Çanakkale İllerinde 2000-2008 döneminde gerçekleşen büyük orman yangınlarının klimatolojik ve meteorolojik analizi. Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi, Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Yayımlanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi.
  • [15] Yamak, Ç. (2006). Investigation over a national meteorological fire danger approach for Turkey with geographic information systems. A Thesis Submitted to the Graduate School of Natural and Applied Sciences of Middle East Techinical University in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geodetic and Geographic Information Technologies. 142 p.[16] Pausas, J. G., & Vallejo, V. R. (1999). The role of fire in European Mediterranean ecosystems. In Remote sensing of large wildfires (pp. 3-16). Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. [17] Pausas, J. G. (2004). Changes in fire and climate in the eastern Iberian Peninsula (Mediterranean basin). Climatic change, 63(3), 337-350. [18] Urbieta IR, Zavala G, Bedia J, Gutie´rrez JM, San Miguel-Ayanz J, Camia A, Keeley JE, Moreno JM. (2015). Fire activity as a function of fire–weather seasonal severity and antecedent climate across spatial scales in southern Europe and Pacific western USA. Environmental Research Letters, 10(11), 114013.
  • [19] Flannigan, M. D., Krawchuk, M. A., de Groot, W. J., Wotton, B. M., & Gowman, L. M. (2009). Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire. International journal of wildland fire, 18(5), 483-507. [20] Lagerquist, R., Flannigan, M. D., Wang, X., & Marshall, G. A. (2017). Automated prediction of extreme fire weather from synoptic patterns in northern Alberta, Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 47(9), 1175-1183.
  • [21] Gillett, N. P., Weaver, A. J., Zwiers, F. W., & Flannigan, M. D. (2004). Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires. Geophysical Research Letters, 31(18).
  • [22] Wang, X., Thompson, D. K., Marshall, G. A., Tymstra, C., Carr, R., & Flannigan, M. D. (2015). Increasing frequency of extreme fire weather in Canada with climate change. Climatic Change, 130(4), 573-586.
  • [23] Mhawej, M., Faour, G., Abdallah, C., & Adjizian-Gerard, J. (2016). Towards an establishment of a wildfire risk system in a Mediterranean country. Ecological informatics, 32, 167-184.
  • [24] Flannigan, M. D., Amiro, B. D., Logan, K. A., Stocks, B. J., & Wotton, B. M. (2006). Forest fires and climate change in the 21 st century. Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change, 11(4), 847-859.
  • [25] Peel, M. C., Finlayson, B. L., & McMahon, T. A. (2007). Updated world map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification. Hydrology and earth system sciences discussions, 4(2), 439-473.
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  • [46] Ager, A. A., Preisler, H. K., Arca, B., Spano, D., & Salis, M. (2014). Wildfire risk estimation in the Mediterranean area. Environmetrics, 25(6), 384-396.
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  • [73] Lawson, B. D., & Armitage, O. B. (2008). Weather guide for the Canadian forest fire danger rating system.
Toplam 66 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Burcu Calda 0000-0002-2511-9492

Nazan An Bu kişi benim

Mustafa Tufan Turp

Levent Kurnaz

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mart 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2020 Cilt: 32 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Calda, B., An, N., Turp, M. T., Kurnaz, L. (2020). İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences, 32(1), 15-32. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.571001
AMA Calda B, An N, Turp MT, Kurnaz L. İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi. JEPS. Mart 2020;32(1):15-32. doi:10.7240/jeps.571001
Chicago Calda, Burcu, Nazan An, Mustafa Tufan Turp, ve Levent Kurnaz. “İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 32, sy. 1 (Mart 2020): 15-32. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.571001.
EndNote Calda B, An N, Turp MT, Kurnaz L (01 Mart 2020) İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 32 1 15–32.
IEEE B. Calda, N. An, M. T. Turp, ve L. Kurnaz, “İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi”, JEPS, c. 32, sy. 1, ss. 15–32, 2020, doi: 10.7240/jeps.571001.
ISNAD Calda, Burcu vd. “İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 32/1 (Mart 2020), 15-32. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.571001.
JAMA Calda B, An N, Turp MT, Kurnaz L. İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi. JEPS. 2020;32:15–32.
MLA Calda, Burcu vd. “İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences, c. 32, sy. 1, 2020, ss. 15-32, doi:10.7240/jeps.571001.
Vancouver Calda B, An N, Turp MT, Kurnaz L. İklim Değişikliğinin Akdeniz Havzasındaki Orman Yangınlarına Etkisi. JEPS. 2020;32(1):15-32.

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