Efta Ülkelerinde Demokrasi Ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki Nedensellik Analizi

Yıl 2017, Cilt: 5 Sayı: 1, 23 - 35, 13.06.2017

Cihan Usta

Öz

Demokrasi ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki 19. yüzyıldan beri hem sosyal hem de siyaset
bilimcilerin incelediği bir konudur. Bu ilişkinin ilk başladığı dönemlerde siyaset bilimciler, kapitalist gelişmenin
bir sonucu olarak demokrasinin geleceğine inanmışlardır. Zamanla bu inanç yerini şüpheye bırakmıştır.
İktisatçılar ampirik çalışmalarla demokrasi ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedenselliğin yönünü belirlemeye
çalışmışlardır. Bu çalışmada da EIU- Economist Intelligence Unit’e göre dünyada demokrasi açısından üst
sıralarda yer alan verisine ulaşılamayan Lihtenştayn dışındaki EFTA ülkeleri (Norveç, İsviçre ve İzlanda) analiz
edilmiştir. Analizde EIU veritabanından demokrasi indeksi ve Dünya Bankası veritabanından da yıllık GSYİH
büyüme oranları değişken olarak kullanılmıştır. Çalışmada demokrasinin ekonomik büyüme üzerinde olumlu bir
etkisi olduğu fakat demokrasi ile ekonomik büyüme arasında Granger nedenselliğin olmadığı sonucuna
ulaşılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekonomik Büyüme, Demokrasi İndeksi, Granger Nedensellik Analizi

The Interaction Between Democracy And Economic Growth In Efta Countries

Öz

The relationship between democracy and economic growth has been a subject that has been studied by
both social and political scientists since the 19th century. In the early days of this relationship, political
scientists believed in the future of democracy as a consequence of capitalist development. Over time, this belief
has left its place in doubt. Economists have tried to determine the direction of causality between democracy and
economic growth through empirical studies. This study also analyzed the EFTA countries outside of
Liechtenstein (Norway, Switzerland and Iceland), which can not be reached in terms of democracy in the world
according to the EIU-Economist Intelligence Unit. In the analysis, the demographic index from the EIU
database and the annual GDP growth rates from the World Bank database were used as variables. Democracy
in work has a positive effect on economic growth, but it is the result of the absence of Granger causality between
democracy and economic growth.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic Growth, Democracy Index, Granger Causality Analysis

Kaynakça

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